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Realized P&L
-$119
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
69.7%
Resolved
634
Trades
1,399
lifetime
Volume
$3.73K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$47
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-06
last 11-13 05:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Other
98% 63% -$114
Politics
2% 80% -$2
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 No +6 $2 77¢ $4 +$2 10-01 14:04
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? Yes +74 $5 4¢ $3 -$3 10-17 19:00
Manchester City punishment announced by December 18? No +3 $2 96¢ $2 +$1 10-11 01:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 11-07 07:32
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-06 18:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +3 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 11-10 17:28
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 11-10 15:51
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2 $2 93¢ $2 +$0 11-08 22:07
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-02 10:29
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +23 $2 8¢ $2 $0 11-07 19:31
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +4 $1 37¢ $1 +$0 11-02 05:41
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +2 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 11-03 20:37
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 10-11 01:42
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 10-17 15:22
Manchester City punishment announced by December 4? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-11 01:40
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 11-07 07:17
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 08-11 10:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 15, 2026? No +1 $1 87¢ $1 +$0 11-10 17:28
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? Yes +3 $1 39¢ $1 +$0 11-13 05:11
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 11-05 02:21
Manchester City punishment announced by November 20? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 10-11 01:40
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 11-11 08:18
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 11-07 07:26
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? Yes +16 $1 7¢ $1 +$0 11-13 04:34
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 10-17 15:20
Will "Ebenezer" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 11-09 15:16
Venezuela election scheduled by November 30, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 11-02 06:19
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 10-14 14:59
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 11-08 05:49
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 10-12 16:19