Realized P&L
-$16
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
4
Trades
408
lifetime
Volume
$986
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$53
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-09
last 06-29 16:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
83% 50% $-16
Other
17%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +22 $18 76¢ $17 $-1 06-21 01:15
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 83¢ $10 $-0 06-19 09:10
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 06-29 16:20
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +8 $6 84¢ $7 +$1 06-11 20:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $2 74¢ $3 +$1 06-25 12:31
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +5 $4 66¢ $3 $-1 06-12 09:15
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 $-0 06-13 23:07
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +4 $2 38¢ $1 $-1 06-26 04:26