(anonymous) 0xd29518…ab07d2
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$55
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
175
lifetime
Volume
$6.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$2.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-25
last 11-01 14:04
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
77% — —
Tech
13% — —
Politics
8% — —
Crypto
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +684 $554 72¢ $496 -$57 10-28 19:08
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +318 $242 84¢ $265 +$23 10-31 20:18
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +684 $132 28¢ $188 +$56 10-28 20:01
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +200 $152 80¢ $160 +$8 10-31 17:41
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +200 $156 80¢ $159 +$3 10-30 11:26
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +200 $164 77¢ $154 -$10 10-31 04:07
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? No +192 $150 80¢ $153 +$3 11-01 14:04
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +161 $113 86¢ $138 +$25 10-27 00:23
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +192 $118 64¢ $124 +$6 10-31 20:20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +161 $105 74¢ $118 +$14 10-30 19:28
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +157 $111 71¢ $112 +$1 10-30 16:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +136 $102 82¢ $112 +$10 10-26 16:39
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +145 $61 36¢ $52 -$9 11-01 11:27
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +157 $40 29¢ $45 +$5 10-30 20:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +161 $53 26¢ $43 -$10 10-31 01:41
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? Yes +200 $36 20¢ $41 +$5 10-30 12:44
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $44 20¢ $40 -$4 10-31 20:27
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5? Yes +192 $46 20¢ $39 -$7 10-31 18:52
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $36 39¢ $39 +$2 10-31 16:25
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? Yes +200 $54 16¢ $33 -$20 10-29 23:33
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +96 $44 32¢ $31 -$13 10-31 13:15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? No +137 $30 18¢ $25 -$6 10-28 09:45
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +161 $40 15¢ $23 -$17 10-27 08:18
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +53 $12 27¢ $14 +$2 11-01 17:20
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +16 $10 68¢ $10 +$1 11-01 03:06
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +12 $68 55¢ $7 -$61 10-29 17:41
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +11 $3 45¢ $5 +$2 10-29 00:25
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +35 $5 6¢ $2 -$3 11-01 08:38
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1 $3 56¢ $1 -$2 10-29 06:25
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +1 $1 56¢ $1 $0 10-29 12:20