Crowded-Teenager — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

114

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$1.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 08-31 04:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Other

92% 55% -$11

Politics

7% 100% +$3

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-21 16:31
Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 02:46
Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	2	$27	14	14	+0	Yes	+$1	06-06 15:25
Will Julia Letlow finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?	2	$25	13	13	+0	Yes	+$1	05-17 03:18
First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-02 15:56
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$0	05-25 08:39
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-29 02:48
israeli forces enter beirut by june 30	2	$23	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-30 13:16
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	06-03 14:01
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 30?	7	$20	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-29 07:34
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-25 12:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-11 12:44
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 12?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-12 02:11
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on May 7?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-06 13:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 14?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-14 03:41
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 27?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-27 02:16
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 23?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	06-23 10:40
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 1?	3	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 16:03
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C or below on May 10?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-12 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 9?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	06-08 15:56
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-28 03:40
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 1?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 15:00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 7?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-07 06:54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-13 06:39
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 27?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-27 12:52
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 11?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 19:45
Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.2M in April?	1	$14	15	0	+15	Yes	-$14	06-01 16:27
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on May 8?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-07 16:41
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on May 8?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-08 23:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 04:10:03	Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 36 and 39 inclusive?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x208076…
08-31 03:26:03	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6edac6…
07-28 05:35:31	will tsla reach 450 in july 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x68b66a…
06-30 13:16:07	israeli forces enter beirut by june 30	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc38747…
06-29 05:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x9630d6…
06-29 05:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xa0720f…
06-29 04:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xcd3e0b…
06-29 04:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on June 29?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x531cd4…
06-29 03:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe96049…
06-29 02:48:59	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x353cb7…
06-28 17:34:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on June 29?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7e3c2a…
06-28 04:19:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb3abfb…
06-28 04:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x734117…
06-27 12:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0a08a7…
06-27 12:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xc8bc9b…
06-27 12:20:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8800fc…
06-27 06:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 27?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc4219e…
06-26 10:27:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x01e9aa…
06-26 10:08:20	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x03368a…
06-25 12:56:29	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x64c120…
06-25 12:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 41°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x85d3e4…
06-25 12:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 41°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x886a74…
06-24 16:04:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x6ee898…
06-24 12:27:08	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 25?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb19f10…
06-23 10:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 23?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x993db1…
06-23 10:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x960dd6…
06-22 06:59:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x9881d3…
06-22 06:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 22?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xee3826…
06-21 16:31:31	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x53fc41…
06-20 18:58:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xe193ce…
06-20 15:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 21?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x015277…
06-20 14:48:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 21?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb43330…
06-19 22:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x907493…
06-19 19:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xae5736…
06-19 18:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on June 20?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe12b27…
06-18 04:01:25	Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x0f1ea4…
06-16 18:35:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 16?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xaa3aac…
06-16 06:00:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 16?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xca939a…
06-15 05:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xa2485f…
06-15 05:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xfd3363…
06-14 14:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x149868…
06-14 11:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x082a5f…
06-14 08:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 14?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb943bc…
06-13 06:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x5c3f19…
06-13 06:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x445dea…
06-12 04:07:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x9eb81c…
06-12 04:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 12?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x22b0f6…
06-11 15:02:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe70e25…
06-11 12:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd88c27…
06-10 12:48:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xbbba94…
06-10 12:29:42	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 11?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x03856c…
06-08 15:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x79bbc8…
06-08 12:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 9?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x69549f…
06-08 00:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xd7c204…
06-07 23:19:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 8?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x822e05…
06-07 11:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 7?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x4f4f5f…
06-07 09:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 7?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x0bebb2…
06-06 23:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x172951…
06-06 15:25:36	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x79a50f…
06-06 14:40:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 63.5 and 64 million views in week 1?	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xa69a1e…
06-06 02:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe96f1d…
06-06 02:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 6?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x790478…
06-06 02:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 6?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2973d0…
06-05 12:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 6?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcfb7fd…
06-04 19:46:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xa4c814…
06-04 19:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 5?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2758cc…
06-04 05:40:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7b57ca…
06-04 05:32:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x071c51…
06-04 05:12:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 4?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc2ca7f…
06-03 14:01:25	Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x247fd2…
06-02 22:18:55	Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x2b1964…
06-02 15:56:59	First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe533cc…
06-02 10:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x436b4e…
06-02 10:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x8dea4b…
06-02 10:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbf7aa1…
06-02 08:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 2?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x616aa7…
06-01 16:27:46	Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.2M in April?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x0efe5f…
06-01 07:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xf6b799…
06-01 07:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x17557d…
06-01 06:18:36	First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x9b2671…
05-31 14:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 1?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x32694f…
05-31 07:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 31?	No	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x0a52a6…
05-31 07:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf4f682…
05-30 17:09:09	Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x1dd335…
05-30 04:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x30d65b…
05-30 04:11:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on May 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x7b0ad5…
05-29 07:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xe7079f…
05-29 07:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd18c41…
05-29 07:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x7b273f…
05-29 07:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x95e4f0…
05-29 07:34:00	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x15fe8b…
05-29 07:33:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 30?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xf578b3…
05-29 07:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 30?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8760bd…
05-29 04:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x6a6a40…
05-28 17:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 29?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x001a7f…
05-28 12:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x9b8be6…
05-28 10:54:46	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on May 28?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x9ed478…
05-28 03:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x99fb1b…
05-27 13:32:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 28?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x4f5025…
05-27 02:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xfbde08…