Bold-Project — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$84

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

286

Trades

503

lifetime

Volume

$4.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

1 position

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-19 01:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

81% 15% +$160

Politics

16% 23% -$216

Crypto

3% 13% -$26

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		-271	-$13	5¢	$-14	$0	10-19 00:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	9	$629	1,115	1,115	+0	Yes	+$159	03-17 15:20
will mrbeasts next video get between 52 and 55 million views on day 3	3	$266	327	327	+0	No	+$258	03-10 15:40
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	2	$240	250	250	+0	Yes	+$210	03-24 13:46
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	5	$126	216	216	+0	No	+$116	03-20 12:39
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	2	$107	81	81	+0	Yes	+$47	03-18 14:05
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	4	$98	182	182	+0	Yes	+$32	03-20 05:57
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$91	92	92	+0	No	-$5	03-03 21:18
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	7	$90	901	0	+901	No	-$90	04-05 14:25
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	4	$86	297	297	+0	No	+$68	03-29 23:29
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	2	$72	82	82	+0	Yes	+$62	04-05 11:31
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	4	$68	106	106	+0	No	$0	10-19 01:03
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 734	7	$67	65	65	+0	Yes	+$46	03-22 09:31
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$65	55	55	+0	No	-$1	03-03 01:01
Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	6	$65	2,123	2,123	+0	No	-$60	04-05 12:39
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$64	286	286	+0	No	+$4	03-23 22:29
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	4	$56	297	297	+0	No	+$16	03-29 02:44
will trump say epic fury or midnight hammer during womens history month event	1	$50	92	0	+92	No	-$50	03-12 13:46
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	1	$50	1,074	0	+1,074	No	-$50	03-11 12:17
will trump talk to vladimir putin in march 827	3	$50	31	31	+0	Yes	+$10	03-09 23:52
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	7	$48	379	46	+332	No	-$30	03-24 14:31
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 180 199	5	$45	651	651	+0	No	+$15	03-29 23:25
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	1	$45	119	0	+119	No	-$45	04-04 22:08
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	2	$44	568	450	+118	No	+$4	04-05 12:42
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	2	$42	23	23	+0	Down	+$2	03-02 13:33
gc up or down on march 2 2026	2	$42	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	03-02 18:58
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	3	$40	346	346	+0	No	+$26	03-20 12:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$39	82	82	+0	Yes	+$21	03-01 16:00
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	21	$37	986	175	+811	No	+$1	03-24 12:24
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$32	66	66	+0	No	+$2	03-01 22:37
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	2	$31	478	0	+478	No	-$31	03-29 23:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 01:03:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	32¢	$29	0xbded85…
10-19 00:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x74e789…
10-19 00:56:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0x32311d…
10-19 00:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x2c6347…
10-19 00:54:51	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0x119db6…
10-19 00:48:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	32¢	$34	0x59566a…
10-19 00:39:15	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	271	5¢	$13	0x3ec076…
05-13 23:44:34	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	5¢	$10	0xd71aee…
05-13 23:44:18	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	155	2¢	$3	0x363f8a…
05-13 23:44:07	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	1¢	$1	0x7555e7…
05-13 10:53:15	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0xcf8b20…
05-13 10:53:08	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x0f554c…
05-13 10:53:03	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xfafa31…
05-13 10:52:57	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x5bbfe4…
05-13 10:52:54	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	0¢	$1	0x2e83b7…
05-13 10:52:38	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	286	0¢	$0	0x579638…
05-13 10:52:33	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	286	0¢	$0	0x2e9b35…
05-13 10:52:28	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$0	0x714919…
05-13 10:52:24	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0x6d831f…
05-13 10:52:22	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0xb20f40…
05-13 10:52:12	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	0¢	$0	0x748f49…
05-13 10:52:08	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x8eb979…
05-13 10:52:00	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	182	0¢	$1	0x907ee0…
05-13 10:51:56	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	0¢	$1	0xc78ea0…
04-05 14:25:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xadc7bf…
04-05 13:43:09	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x1cf79a…
04-05 13:40:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	162	4¢	$7	0xac9c37…
04-05 12:43:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xd6caeb…
04-05 12:42:55	Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	450	5¢	$24	0x2af814…
04-05 12:40:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	112	8¢	$9	0x5e255a…
04-05 12:39:27	Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	2,123	0¢	$2	0xca7669…
04-05 11:31:39	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	243	18¢	$43	0xaac0b2…
04-05 11:31:11	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	77	18¢	$14	0xaabd65…
04-05 11:31:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	82	82¢	$67	0xd3d5f7…
04-04 22:12:31	Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	159	1¢	$1	0xd2194c…
04-04 22:08:51	Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	119	38¢	$45	0xf4378f…
04-04 22:08:33	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	418	2¢	$8	0x7dd347…
04-04 22:07:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	282	11¢	$30	0x2c60cc…
04-04 18:38:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	107	2¢	$3	0x83d05c…
04-04 18:38:29	Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	625	1¢	$5	0x48effb…
04-04 16:51:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0x1f41f8…
04-04 16:50:29	Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	422	5¢	$22	0xa81ef5…
04-04 16:49:07	Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	512	4¢	$19	0x529d58…
04-04 16:48:37	Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x890fdf…
04-04 16:48:29	Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	406	4¢	$15	0x240157…
04-04 14:26:17	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0x9f62a3…
04-04 14:19:25	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0xd11307…
04-04 14:18:25	israel military action against fordow nuclear facility by april 15	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x0b59fb…
04-03 23:35:33	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x1cd4b1…
04-03 23:34:07	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 440 459	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$2	0x63f2ab…
04-03 23:33:29	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 420 439	Yes	BUY	480	2¢	$9	0xac7a46…
04-03 23:32:41	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 420 439	Yes	BUY	1,688	1¢	$15	0x7dff78…
04-03 09:33:21	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	Yes	BUY	158	6¢	$10	0xb150aa…
03-30 17:54:15	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1240 1279	Yes	SELL	190	0¢	$0	0x2ae965…
03-30 09:15:06	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 60 79	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$2	0x2501b7…
03-30 09:14:06	donald trump of truth social posts march 24 march 31 60 79	Yes	BUY	160	2¢	$3	0xf39a5f…
03-30 06:32:26	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 65 89	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x54d210…
03-30 06:31:42	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0xb461fe…
03-30 06:23:10	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 340 359	Yes	BUY	391	3¢	$10	0x2dea58…
03-29 23:29:30	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1280 1319	Yes	SELL	40	40¢	$16	0x6482f4…
03-29 23:29:10	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	Yes	SELL	297	26¢	$77	0xf91050…
03-29 23:25:12	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	Yes	BUY	395	7¢	$26	0x6e1658…
03-29 23:25:00	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 180 199	Yes	SELL	325	7¢	$23	0x8d306e…
03-29 02:44:58	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x3a08ba…
03-29 01:06:02	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	SELL	272	12¢	$33	0x46c48d…
03-29 00:25:10	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	SELL	24	12¢	$3	0x87b87d…
03-27 22:14:09	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 360 379	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x549f83…
03-27 22:14:03	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 340 359	Yes	BUY	208	2¢	$5	0xc76a2c…
03-27 22:12:29	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 180 199	Yes	SELL	325	2¢	$7	0xa8f392…
03-27 15:37:23	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 380 399	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0xe5c8e6…
03-27 15:37:17	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 360 379	Yes	BUY	158	2¢	$3	0x6dbfe0…
03-27 15:31:33	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	297	7¢	$20	0x542895…
03-27 15:28:41	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 180 199	Yes	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0x4322a9…
03-27 14:05:31	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x76f4d6…
03-27 14:05:25	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xca3df5…
03-27 14:05:21	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xa9a521…
03-27 14:05:17	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xd90f46…
03-27 14:05:11	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xee2b9e…
03-27 14:05:05	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x9a718e…
03-27 14:05:01	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x36db42…
03-27 14:04:57	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xf022eb…
03-27 14:04:51	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x956953…
03-27 14:04:45	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x678f6a…
03-27 14:04:39	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x5a60b6…
03-27 14:04:33	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xf9d25c…
03-27 14:04:29	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x8c3f8b…
03-27 14:04:23	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xd185c6…
03-27 14:04:17	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xe7cfd7…
03-27 14:04:13	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xbb6b89…
03-27 14:04:05	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xab9027…
03-27 14:03:59	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x413860…
03-27 14:03:37	Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0xab094d…
03-27 14:03:33	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x7ca139…
03-27 14:03:27	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x0dd9cb…
03-27 14:03:23	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3d0590…
03-27 14:03:17	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x0b6caa…
03-27 14:03:11	Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xde7311…
03-27 14:03:01	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	1¢	$2	0x855f1a…
03-27 14:02:55	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x77a891…
03-27 14:02:31	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	3¢	$4	0xa5735e…