Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

131

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$4.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-03 23:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

68% 90% +$20

Tech

11% 70% -$10

Crypto

10% 73% -$52

Politics

6% 83% +$3

Sports

5% 86% +$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	5	$255	135	135	+0	Yes	+$12	05-15 15:42
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$150	78	78	+0	No	+$6	05-16 23:51
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$127	65	65	+0	No	+$3	05-16 23:51
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$84	43	43	+0	Yes	+$3	06-27 23:45
Will England win?	4	$82	43	43	+0	Yes	+$3	06-07 11:42
claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	2	$82	43	43	+0	Yes	+$4	04-16 16:16
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	5	$81	43	43	+0	No	+$2	06-15 09:06
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	4	$80	50	50	+0	Yes	-$12	06-07 17:22
will ethereum dip to 1400 june 1 7 2026	3	$78	41	41	+0	No	+$2	06-07 03:08
will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	4	$75	39	39	+0	No	+$2	06-29 05:20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$74	39	39	+0	No	+$3	03-23 17:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	3	$69	35	35	-0	No	+$2	05-18 03:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$1	04-21 10:28
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	2	$61	32	32	+0	Yes	+$3	04-19 22:30
Will "In the Grey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$60	31	31	+0	No	+$2	05-16 23:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$57	31	31	+0	Yes	+$3	03-23 17:17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$53	29	29	+0	No	+$2	05-18 10:59
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	3	$50	34	34	+0	No	-$11	06-05 16:06
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$50	27	27	+0	Yes	+$2	05-19 19:13
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	3	$50	27	27	+0	No	+$2	05-14 03:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	2	$49	26	26	+0	No	+$1	05-09 16:10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$48	31	31	+0	No	-$9	04-22 08:31
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	4	$47	24	24	-0	No	+$1	03-23 17:17
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	3	$46	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	05-17 01:56
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	3	$45	35	13	+22	No	+$2	03-24 03:00
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	4	$44	23	23	+0	No	+$1	03-24 12:03
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	1	$43	46	0	+46	Yes	-$43	05-15 21:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$43	45	0	+45	No	+$2	04-21 20:14
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	2	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$2	06-22 08:57
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?	2	$42	22	22	+0	No	+$2	06-12 15:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 23:19:43	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x9bd624…
07-03 23:19:41	will argentina reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120771	Yes	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0x90783c…
07-02 04:07:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x8f1376…
07-02 02:54:53	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x29593e…
07-01 18:04:58	will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xef0482…
07-01 16:06:49	will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x5ae1b9…
07-01 06:57:34	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xf4b316…
07-01 00:01:31	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x876450…
06-30 20:00:05	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xef07ad…
06-30 09:21:34	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x7425a1…
06-30 07:26:11	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x00db09…
06-30 06:00:34	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe11dc0…
06-30 05:57:58	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe81382…
06-30 03:00:43	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x4e7420…
06-29 23:34:23	will france reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120767	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x4b3ea1…
06-29 15:55:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x21a9b5…
06-29 05:20:11	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xf7ea1a…
06-28 22:15:25	will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0501a7…
06-28 08:24:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	10	91¢	$10	0x7a25c1…
06-28 08:24:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xd9d639…
06-28 08:23:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	No	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0x448ac1…
06-28 04:13:08	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xacb4bb…
06-27 23:45:23	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xa592a5…
06-27 23:45:16	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x027b00…
06-27 12:19:23	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x94dc50…
06-25 21:28:10	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x215d18…
06-25 11:25:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0xd36d1b…
06-25 11:25:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x4af12a…
06-23 21:16:52	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x4796a9…
06-23 20:56:59	Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x782fb4…
06-23 20:29:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x709c3a…
06-23 20:29:52	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x905672…
06-22 08:57:31	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x523ab0…
06-21 12:25:14	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x0fdd84…
06-20 20:50:19	Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0xfc393d…
06-20 20:50:14	Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x0f4746…
06-15 22:40:27	Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x49c8e6…
06-15 09:06:07	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x55a2f1…
06-13 22:51:16	Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xa735a3…
06-12 20:02:45	Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$19	0xd68f57…
06-12 19:56:22	Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x111400…
06-12 15:21:15	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x285ecb…
06-12 13:44:15	Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x1dbf16…
06-11 23:15:39	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xa3973f…
06-11 21:29:30	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0x205be7…
06-11 21:18:04	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe99560…
06-11 15:15:51	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 11	Bangladesh	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x95ca76…
06-11 13:15:28	crint bgd2 aus3 2026 06 11	Bangladesh	BUY	22	85¢	$18	0x953c92…
06-09 15:48:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xe8d686…
06-09 12:10:34	Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$10	0x16c590…
06-09 03:34:43	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x694161…
06-07 19:32:04	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x07c307…
06-07 17:22:10	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0xd3992a…
06-07 16:50:52	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x5cf5f2…
06-07 16:07:55	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x212be3…
06-07 16:07:54	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeb8cdb…
06-07 15:45:10	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?	No	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0xcdcff2…
06-07 11:42:09	Will England win?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x5da48d…
06-07 11:42:09	Will England win?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x26ab18…
06-07 08:55:00	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0xa18d5d…
06-07 08:54:31	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	BUY	18	90¢	$17	0xd1e95d…
06-07 03:08:21	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe2eaea…
06-07 03:08:00	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x8ccd3b…
06-06 16:15:57	Will England win?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xbc713e…
06-06 16:14:51	Will England win?	Yes	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xe9aebc…
06-06 13:08:37	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x95fff5…
06-06 10:30:46	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x989e4f…
06-06 03:38:37	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	SELL	32	50¢	$16	0x96e47e…
06-05 19:21:09	Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0xa24151…
06-05 16:06:34	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	34	57¢	$19	0xa7074e…
06-05 09:37:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 5	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x6bd4a7…
06-05 02:51:30	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xa955eb…
06-05 02:21:58	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xcd1893…
05-23 03:02:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x24ab26…
05-23 02:37:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc3d8a8…
05-23 02:37:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc20e4a…
05-23 02:37:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcce1f9…
05-23 02:37:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5f1640…
05-23 02:37:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x97b239…
05-23 02:28:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb7fb53…
05-23 02:28:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xee6bfd…
05-23 02:28:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa7296a…
05-20 22:13:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x285bb6…
05-20 00:21:12	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8ab109…
05-19 20:28:15	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x099a01…
05-19 20:15:23	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x20b673…
05-19 19:13:35	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0x1aefd5…
05-18 15:04:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x44d7bb…
05-18 14:30:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x1b6de2…
05-18 10:59:13	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0x9f8cbd…
05-18 07:56:26	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x08a385…
05-18 03:55:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xfac58a…
05-17 23:40:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$20	0x6f77a6…
05-17 23:40:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x2c70b4…
05-17 16:36:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x159542…
05-17 16:10:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	29	90¢	$26	0xed9855…
05-17 01:56:55	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	Yes	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x49d9ec…
05-17 01:31:34	Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xadffde…
05-16 23:58:31	Will "In the Grey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xb57d35…
05-16 23:51:10	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x7fa3bb…