Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$2.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-09 15:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% 100% +$2

Crypto

15% 100% +$1

Politics

10% — —

Tech

8% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	5	$255	135	135	+0	open	—	05-15 15:42
claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	2	$82	43	43	+0	open	—	04-16 16:16
will ethereum dip to 1400 june 1 7 2026	3	$78	41	41	+0	open	—	06-07 03:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$74	39	39	+0	open	—	03-23 17:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	3	$69	35	35	-0	open	—	05-18 03:55
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	2	$63	33	33	+0	open	—	04-21 10:28
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	04-19 22:30
Will "In the Grey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	05-16 23:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$57	31	31	+0	open	—	03-23 17:17
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	3	$50	34	34	+0	open	—	06-05 16:06
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	3	$50	27	27	+0	open	—	05-14 03:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	2	$49	26	26	+0	No	+$1	05-09 16:10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$48	31	31	+0	open	—	04-22 08:31
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 480 499	4	$47	24	24	-0	open	—	03-23 17:17
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	3	$45	35	13	+22	open	—	03-24 03:00
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	4	$44	23	23	+0	open	—	03-24 12:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$43	45	0	+45	open	—	04-21 20:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$42	26	26	+0	open	—	04-07 22:03
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 480 499	2	$38	20	20	+0	open	—	03-11 08:05
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 165 189	3	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	03-22 14:43
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-02 05:43
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 15:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	1	$36	39	0	+39	open	—	04-19 08:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$35	39	0	+39	open	—	03-07 09:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$35	22	22	+0	open	—	04-21 08:29
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	2	$34	18	18	+0	open	—	03-13 16:01
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	4	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	04-03 15:43
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	03-12 12:07
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	05-18 07:56
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	4	$31	18	18	+0	open	—	03-12 22:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 15:48:24	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xe8d686…
06-09 03:34:43	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x694161…
06-07 19:32:04	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x07c307…
06-07 03:08:21	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe2eaea…
06-07 03:08:00	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x8ccd3b…
06-06 10:30:46	will ethereum dip to 1400 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x989e4f…
06-05 16:06:34	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	34	57¢	$19	0xa7074e…
06-05 09:37:07	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 5	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x6bd4a7…
06-05 02:51:30	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	4	90¢	$3	0xa955eb…
06-05 02:21:58	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xcd1893…
05-20 22:13:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x285bb6…
05-18 15:04:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x44d7bb…
05-18 07:56:26	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x08a385…
05-18 03:55:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xfac58a…
05-17 23:40:38	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$20	0x6f77a6…
05-17 23:40:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x2c70b4…
05-16 23:58:31	Will "In the Grey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xb57d35…
05-16 22:51:40	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x2a9851…
05-16 00:52:37	Will "In the Grey" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	31	92¢	$29	0x860748…
05-15 15:42:58	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	135	99¢	$133	0xb4a53d…
05-15 13:31:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x61cb26…
05-15 13:31:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$16	0x5ac3e8…
05-14 15:39:08	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x32cd0d…
05-14 10:18:12	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb17ec7…
05-14 03:54:47	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0xcccf74…
05-14 03:47:07	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x1fd32d…
05-13 17:36:20	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x6ecfb4…
05-12 21:23:51	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0x55d2e5…
05-12 21:23:31	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0xa06a8c…
05-12 21:23:17	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0x61dfdb…
05-12 18:52:51	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0xbcc554…
05-09 16:10:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x885141…
05-08 22:15:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	26	90¢	$24	0x6b124a…
05-07 12:25:16	T20 Series Malta vs Gibraltar: Malta vs Gibraltar	Malta	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x58ad1a…
04-22 08:31:20	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	31	63¢	$19	0x4dcae9…
04-21 20:14:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	45	95¢	$43	0x455adc…
04-21 10:28:54	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xb55fae…
04-21 08:29:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x451b56…
04-21 08:28:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x80b1ff…
04-20 16:49:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xf9bfb3…
04-20 16:49:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x112189…
04-20 05:18:04	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	31	92¢	$28	0x90425e…
04-19 22:30:32	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0xa415a0…
04-19 19:50:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0x07a51b…
04-19 19:46:56	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0xf3575e…
04-19 12:23:44	Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Karachi Kings	Multan Sultans	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x57cc4b…
04-19 08:20:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	39	93¢	$36	0x368bc9…
04-17 15:04:56	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	BUY	32	89¢	$29	0x6eae68…
04-16 16:16:40	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xfa6c77…
04-16 10:28:14	claude 4pt7 released by april 17 411	Yes	BUY	43	91¢	$39	0x270d84…
04-12 20:33:47	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xec492f…
04-12 16:33:23	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x8114d6…
04-12 03:15:41	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	9	92¢	$9	0x7b6f65…
04-10 16:35:49	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 12 2026	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x0c2bd8…
04-10 04:04:23	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xf79c75…
04-08 00:03:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x81bd38…
04-07 23:27:05	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xe37698…
04-07 22:49:01	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xfb383d…
04-07 22:03:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	21	62¢	$13	0x2fddf0…
04-07 19:48:17	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xe6f598…
04-07 08:26:33	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x25d653…
04-06 10:12:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x409e3a…
04-05 16:08:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x74bc11…
04-04 04:03:27	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x61362a…
04-03 21:43:49	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xe51f15…
04-03 15:43:47	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7c8e36…
04-03 09:43:45	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x3e63ee…
04-03 09:31:09	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x7607ef…
04-03 07:42:47	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xabc01d…
04-02 19:43:47	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x54fc75…
04-02 18:06:53	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x3309bf…
04-02 17:43:45	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x267dd9…
04-02 08:52:37	will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	No	BUY	11	94¢	$11	0x73f490…
04-02 06:14:59	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x5b0c57…
04-02 06:03:19	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	No	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xb67a47…
04-02 05:43:57	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x884193…
04-02 02:03:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc48057…
04-01 23:45:05	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 300 319	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb68239…
04-01 20:46:11	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe451e3…
04-01 15:44:09	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 320 339	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xef2096…
04-01 15:44:05	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2e1046…
04-01 00:04:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xad30e1…
03-31 19:23:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x8e3a6f…
03-31 16:03:23	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8a1205…
03-31 10:33:41	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xdd3191…
03-31 01:43:41	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x5feb80…
03-30 02:20:10	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x04b5de…
03-28 20:33:56	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x1fe01e…
03-27 03:46:01	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x845681…
03-27 01:37:27	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xfcc115…
03-26 23:10:19	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa3c3fb…
03-26 20:06:03	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	No	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xb6a9fa…
03-26 11:46:29	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x82e264…
03-26 09:37:21	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x5345c8…
03-26 00:06:49	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xdaf177…
03-25 23:37:25	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x668963…
03-25 14:03:21	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 360 379	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa3b222…
03-25 12:00:03	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	No	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x18a36a…
03-24 20:42:41	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	No	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0xe95f4a…
03-24 18:43:21	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 360 379	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xe247c8…