Lighthearted-Menorah — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

138

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-30 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 83% -$8

Other

34% 71% +$35

Sports

12% 24% -$6

Politics

6% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$586	293	293	+0	No	$0	03-12 05:09
Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?	4	$464	232	232	+0	No	$0	05-18 04:14
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$287	144	144	+0	No	$0	03-08 09:34
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$282	142	142	+0	No	$0	03-24 03:54
will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$282	142	142	+0	No	$0	03-03 06:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$281	141	141	+0	No	$0	04-19 03:40
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$281	142	142	+0	No	-$1	03-03 07:16
will missouri win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$280	140	140	+0	No	$0	03-18 04:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$260	130	130	+0	No	+$0	05-04 10:51
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$260	130	130	+0	No	$0	05-19 04:02
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$260	131	131	+0	No	$0	05-14 06:42
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$256	129	129	+0	open	—	05-11 07:45
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$256	129	129	+0	No	$0	05-14 07:02
Will Veronika Kudermetova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$250	125	125	+0	No	$0	05-16 06:33
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$244	122	122	+0	No	$0	03-02 04:10
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$240	121	121	+0	open	—	05-11 08:17
will msft reach 540 by august 10 2026	1	$158	158	0	+158	No	+$0	08-14 10:18
Will Meta (META) close at $610-$620 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	1	$152	152	0	+152	No	+$0	06-26 07:19
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	1	$148	148	0	+148	No	+$0	05-27 10:24
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	1	$148	148	0	+148	No	+$0	07-10 03:47
ethereum above 1700 on march 9	1	$148	148	0	+148	Yes	+$0	03-09 09:22
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $360-$370 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	1	$147	147	0	+147	No	+$0	05-22 10:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	1	$147	147	0	+147	No	+$0	05-21 05:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	1	$147	147	0	+147	No	+$0	05-26 06:57
bitcoin above 60k on march 7	1	$146	147	0	+147	Yes	+$0	03-07 05:09
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 260 279	1	$146	147	0	+147	No	+$0	03-06 08:40
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 5	1	$146	146	0	+146	No	+$0	03-05 12:17
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 16	1	$146	146	0	+146	No	+$0	03-16 07:41
will sweet dreams of joy viva verdi win best original song at the 98th academy awards	1	$145	146	0	+146	No	+$0	03-14 08:36
bitcoin above 78k on march 13	1	$145	145	0	+145	No	+$0	03-13 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:14:15	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $376 in October?	No	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x6528cc…
10-30 17:11:00	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7ee823…
08-14 10:18:15	will msft reach 540 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x77c659…
08-14 10:15:19	ufc chi1 joe 2026 08 15	Joel Álvarez	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4298fb…
07-10 03:47:55	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x827d06…
07-10 03:45:22	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x5e5f2b…
06-26 07:19:37	Will Meta (META) close at $610-$620 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xd47107…
05-31 07:16:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xa4b74b…
05-31 07:08:43	Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In	RUSTEC	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xee9c56…
05-31 07:01:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 1?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x03c4a6…
05-30 10:34:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x0f9c89…
05-30 10:22:01	Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x080159…
05-28 10:43:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xc2ddc1…
05-28 10:34:28	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x81223b…
05-27 10:24:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x682ee9…
05-26 06:57:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xc3665f…
05-26 06:55:44	Vicenza: Mika Brunold vs Massimo Giunta	Massimo Giunta	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7939be…
05-25 03:49:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x499bb0…
05-25 03:46:34	Vicenza: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Frederico Ferreira Silva	Manoj Dhamne Manas	BUY	7	37¢	$2	0x67f825…
05-24 12:54:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x1d0d73…
05-23 12:27:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x311876…
05-23 12:20:13	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x1582fc…
05-22 10:36:17	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $360-$370 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0x34be2d…
05-21 05:30:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xaa7e76…
05-20 11:31:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 20?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xde4829…
05-20 11:28:57	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lucia Bronzetti vs Lucrezia Stefanini	Lucia Bronzetti	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x492a53…
05-19 04:07:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x2343ec…
05-19 04:02:58	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x59dd68…
05-19 03:41:01	Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x4200b4…
05-18 04:28:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xeec894…
05-18 04:17:32	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x0790ff…
05-18 04:14:57	Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6aa3fd…
05-18 04:12:30	Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4ae274…
05-18 04:05:17	Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x80a3db…
05-18 03:42:22	Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x0a520d…
05-16 07:16:41	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0xca5007…
05-16 06:33:27	Will Veronika Kudermetova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xbb558c…
05-16 03:21:44	Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Aurora	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x70e7da…
05-16 03:18:28	Will Veronika Kudermetova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x3bb41c…
05-15 13:01:07	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	139	99¢	$137	0xaf4a25…
05-14 07:09:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0x3410ff…
05-14 07:02:58	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	129	99¢	$128	0x6014e2…
05-14 06:47:58	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	San Diego Padres	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x2bba7d…
05-14 06:44:11	Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0x555f00…
05-14 06:42:56	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	131	99¢	$130	0x262584…
05-14 06:15:38	Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x0be803…
05-12 19:42:45	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	138	94¢	$130	0x1ac47d…
05-12 04:00:52	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x7dbc7a…
05-11 08:33:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x57ea24…
05-11 08:26:46	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0e4d88…
05-11 08:17:42	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	121	99¢	$120	0xcb2776…
05-11 07:46:10	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xbf7547…
05-11 07:45:07	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	129	99¢	$128	0xbc644e…
05-11 07:15:13	Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0xbb2eba…
05-10 03:26:43	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xd8240e…
05-09 07:37:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xe96616…
05-08 03:48:38	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x87e776…
05-07 08:56:17	Will Meta (META) close above $580 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xbfd707…
05-06 04:54:22	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xc827c5…
05-04 10:56:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	132	99¢	$130	0xeb8571…
05-04 10:51:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0x7ef800…
04-30 06:14:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xff741e…
04-29 03:46:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x0b6fbc…
04-27 08:16:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xe6cd94…
04-26 08:45:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	867	0¢	$3	0x623bf2…
04-26 08:34:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	1,067	0¢	$3	0x2d7c67…
04-26 08:34:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	875	0¢	$2	0x02ad98…
04-26 08:33:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xd72db8…
04-26 08:30:20	San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xfe6e06…
04-25 12:22:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xad868c…
04-25 12:18:36	Abidjan: Maxime Chazal vs Hamish Stewart	Maxime Chazal	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x23f1df…
04-24 12:09:58	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	No	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x8daef7…
04-24 08:39:58	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	Yes	BUY	1,550	0¢	$3	0x89faf6…
04-24 08:37:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 24	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x90badd…
04-24 08:33:36	Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants	Miami Marlins	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xae321c…
04-23 06:38:10	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xab5fe0…
04-22 06:48:56	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 22	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x933164…
04-21 12:02:28	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 21	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x4e89df…
04-21 11:11:06	Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Robert Strombachs	Robert Strombachs	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9c0291…
04-20 07:56:36	ethereum above 2600 on april 20	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x0b131e…
04-19 03:45:12	ethereum above 2600 on april 19	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x88c25b…
04-19 03:40:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0xa7d902…
04-19 03:21:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x3fc085…
04-17 08:56:28	ethereum above 2600 on april 17	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x06a392…
04-16 10:01:44	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0xe935b6…
04-14 02:23:23	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xc80dda…
04-13 06:15:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 13	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x6e0c39…
04-12 10:07:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 12	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x729e06…
04-11 04:21:27	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 11	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x479a5d…
04-10 10:18:49	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x1c6ed9…
04-09 03:59:55	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xf4748e…
04-08 03:44:09	bitcoin above 66k on april 8	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x213b9b…
04-08 03:37:47	atp travagl brancac 2026 04 08	Stefano Travaglia	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xc67e23…
04-07 10:47:37	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x0479cd…
04-06 02:19:51	ethereum above 1800 on april 6	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x454ff6…
04-05 11:48:35	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	No	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0xe4d9df…
04-04 08:29:11	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xec612c…
04-04 07:36:31	nhl col dal 2026 04 04	Avalanche	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xd64218…
04-02 10:15:43	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x59144f…
04-01 04:04:49	ethereum above 1800 on april 1	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x559165…