Lighthearted-Menorah — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$12.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 05-31 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 100% +$1

Other

27% 100% +$8

Sports

9% 0% $-1

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$586	293	293	+0	open	—	03-12 05:09
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$287	144	144	+0	open	—	03-08 09:34
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$282	142	142	+0	open	—	03-24 03:54
will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$282	142	142	+0	open	—	03-03 06:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$281	141	141	+0	open	—	04-19 03:40
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$281	142	142	+0	open	—	03-03 07:16
will missouri win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$280	140	140	+0	open	—	03-18 04:03
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$244	122	122	+0	open	—	03-02 04:10
ethereum above 1700 on march 9	1	$148	148	0	+148	open	—	03-09 09:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	1	$147	147	0	+147	open	—	05-21 05:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	1	$147	147	0	+147	open	—	05-26 06:57
bitcoin above 60k on march 7	1	$146	147	0	+147	open	—	03-07 05:09
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 260 279	1	$146	147	0	+147	open	—	03-06 08:40
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 5	1	$146	146	0	+146	open	—	03-05 12:17
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 16	1	$146	146	0	+146	open	—	03-16 07:41
will sweet dreams of joy viva verdi win best original song at the 98th academy awards	1	$145	146	0	+146	open	—	03-14 08:36
bitcoin above 78k on march 13	1	$145	145	0	+145	open	—	03-13 12:29
bitcoin above 76k on march 12	1	$145	145	0	+145	open	—	03-12 05:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	1	$145	145	0	+145	open	—	05-24 12:54
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 140 164	1	$145	145	0	+145	open	—	02-28 10:56
bitcoin above 82k on march 17	1	$144	144	0	+144	open	—	03-17 03:24
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	1	$144	144	0	+144	open	—	05-23 12:27
ethereum above 1800 on march 8	1	$143	144	0	+144	open	—	03-08 09:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	05-19 04:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	1	$142	142	0	+142	open	—	05-25 03:49
bitcoin above 64k on march 24	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	03-24 04:04
will the price of bitcoin be less than 56000 on march 2	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	03-02 04:20
ethereum above 2600 on april 17	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	04-17 08:56
ethereum above 2600 on april 19	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	04-19 03:45
ethereum above 2600 on april 20	1	$140	141	0	+141	open	—	04-20 07:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 07:16:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xa4b74b…
05-28 10:43:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xc2ddc1…
05-26 06:57:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xc3665f…
05-26 06:55:44	Vicenza: Mika Brunold vs Massimo Giunta	Massimo Giunta	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7939be…
05-25 03:49:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x499bb0…
05-24 12:54:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x1d0d73…
05-23 12:27:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x311876…
05-23 12:20:13	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x1582fc…
05-21 05:30:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	147	100¢	$147	0xaa7e76…
05-20 11:31:03	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 20?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0xde4829…
05-20 11:28:57	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lucia Bronzetti vs Lucrezia Stefanini	Lucia Bronzetti	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x492a53…
05-19 04:07:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x2343ec…
05-18 04:28:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xeec894…
05-18 04:17:32	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x0790ff…
05-16 03:21:44	Dota 2: Aurora vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Aurora	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x70e7da…
05-15 13:01:07	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	139	99¢	$137	0xaf4a25…
05-14 07:09:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0x3410ff…
05-14 06:47:58	San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers	San Diego Padres	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x2bba7d…
05-12 19:42:45	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 13?	No	BUY	138	94¢	$130	0x1ac47d…
05-11 08:33:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x57ea24…
05-11 08:26:46	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0e4d88…
05-10 03:26:43	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xd8240e…
05-09 07:37:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xe96616…
05-08 03:48:38	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x87e776…
05-07 08:56:17	Will Meta (META) close above $580 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xbfd707…
04-30 06:14:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xff741e…
04-27 08:16:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xe6cd94…
04-26 08:45:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	867	0¢	$3	0x623bf2…
04-26 08:34:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	1,067	0¢	$3	0x2d7c67…
04-26 08:34:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	875	0¢	$2	0x02ad98…
04-26 08:33:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xd72db8…
04-26 08:30:20	San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xfe6e06…
04-25 12:22:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xad868c…
04-25 12:18:36	Abidjan: Maxime Chazal vs Hamish Stewart	Maxime Chazal	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x23f1df…
04-24 12:09:58	ethereum above 2100 on april 24	No	BUY	750	0¢	$2	0x8daef7…
04-24 08:39:58	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	Yes	BUY	1,550	0¢	$3	0x89faf6…
04-24 08:37:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 24	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x90badd…
04-24 08:33:36	Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants	Miami Marlins	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xae321c…
04-23 06:38:10	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xab5fe0…
04-22 06:48:56	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 22	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x933164…
04-21 12:02:28	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 21	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x4e89df…
04-21 11:11:06	Abidjan: Gauthier Onclin vs Robert Strombachs	Robert Strombachs	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9c0291…
04-20 07:56:36	ethereum above 2600 on april 20	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x0b131e…
04-19 03:45:12	ethereum above 2600 on april 19	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x88c25b…
04-19 03:40:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0xa7d902…
04-19 03:21:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x3fc085…
04-17 08:56:28	ethereum above 2600 on april 17	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x06a392…
04-16 10:01:44	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0xe935b6…
04-14 02:23:23	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xc80dda…
04-13 06:15:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 13	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x6e0c39…
04-12 10:07:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 12	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x729e06…
04-11 04:21:27	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 11	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x479a5d…
04-10 10:18:49	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x1c6ed9…
04-09 03:59:55	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xf4748e…
04-08 03:44:09	bitcoin above 66k on april 8	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x213b9b…
04-08 03:37:47	atp travagl brancac 2026 04 08	Stefano Travaglia	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xc67e23…
04-07 10:47:37	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x0479cd…
04-06 02:19:51	ethereum above 1800 on april 6	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x454ff6…
04-05 11:48:35	bitcoin above 70k on april 5	No	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0xe4d9df…
04-04 08:29:11	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xec612c…
04-04 07:36:31	nhl col dal 2026 04 04	Avalanche	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xd64218…
04-02 10:15:43	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x59144f…
04-01 04:04:49	ethereum above 1800 on april 1	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x559165…
03-30 03:36:34	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x7e3a44…
03-29 11:44:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 29	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0xbafff3…
03-28 14:12:07	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0xa5bb84…
03-28 01:30:03	will bitcoin reach 69k on march 27	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x568eb7…
03-27 10:29:55	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x051a4d…
03-26 14:35:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 26	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x4d169f…
03-25 08:25:25	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	No	BUY	650	0¢	$1	0xbecf0a…
03-25 07:10:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 25	Yes	BUY	625	0¢	$1	0xf30821…
03-25 07:10:23	bitcoin above 66k on march 25	No	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0x7339a5…
03-25 07:09:13	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 115 139	Yes	BUY	1,123	0¢	$3	0x37a3b9…
03-25 06:38:07	nba mil por 2026 03 25	Bucks	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x25964d…
03-24 04:04:31	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xd20369…
03-24 03:54:49	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$141	0x4b17ac…
03-24 03:36:23	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$141	0x3c6bee…
03-22 04:37:51	will bitcoin reach 78k march 16 22	No	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0xf68781…
03-21 10:20:43	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x871d82…
03-20 08:49:21	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xe74535…
03-18 04:09:01	ethereum above 2000 on march 18	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xe34b27…
03-18 04:03:49	will missouri win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0x42e954…
03-18 03:39:15	will missouri win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xbf5072…
03-18 03:36:37	nba lal hou 2026 03 18	Rockets	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xa2e053…
03-17 03:24:59	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x868c00…
03-17 02:52:27	nba cle mil 2026 03 17	Bucks	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0xef91c0…
03-16 07:41:43	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 16	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xf172f6…
03-14 08:36:23	will sweet dreams of joy viva verdi win best original song at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0xc90a07…
03-13 12:29:05	bitcoin above 78k on march 13	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x52e567…
03-12 05:17:31	bitcoin above 76k on march 12	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xc0f279…
03-12 05:09:21	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	145	100¢	$145	0xdda2d3…
03-12 04:47:41	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0xd784ff…
03-12 04:45:35	atp bertran rybakov 2026 03 12	Alex Rybakov	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x16dfa2…
03-12 04:42:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x457c2b…
03-12 03:40:31	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x339364…
03-09 09:22:17	ethereum above 1700 on march 9	Yes	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x95f61c…
03-09 08:54:47	cehl kom mot 2026 03 09	Motor Ceske Budejovice	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xc59a72…
03-08 09:40:23	ethereum above 1800 on march 8	Yes	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0xc9ce38…
03-08 09:34:27	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	144	99¢	$143	0x9d6d52…
03-08 09:11:07	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0xb23e41…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	61	$198.9K	3,463	05-31 10:07
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	55	$2.52K	56	05-26 09:08
(anonymous) 0x90bb…531f	51	$575	2,396	04-26 18:37
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	50	$6.19K	4,782	04-27 02:24
Sick-Harpooner 0x8b76…c036	50	$578	2,249	04-26 12:29
Detailed-Rivulet 0xa2c0…fad2	50	$571	2,052	04-26 15:47
Incomparable-Outrage 0x3085…7568	47	$1.32K	734	05-24 01:55
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	46	$184.7K	1,359	05-26 14:07