Tinted-Beverage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

153

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-21 19:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 87% -$9

Sports

21% 14% -$21

Other

20% 78% +$5

Politics

12% 45% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	4	$390	195	195	+0	No	$0	05-18 05:13
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$268	135	135	+0	No	$0	03-09 03:33
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$263	132	132	+0	No	$0	03-09 03:54
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$262	131	131	+0	No	$0	03-29 07:19
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$261	131	131	+0	No	$0	03-25 04:05
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$259	129	129	+0	No	$0	01-30 03:16
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$249	125	125	+0	No	$0	03-07 08:30
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$248	124	124	+0	No	$0	02-10 11:10
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$247	124	124	+0	No	$0	02-02 09:49
Will Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$246	123	123	+0	No	+$0	01-30 21:40
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$244	122	122	+0	No	$0	01-30 03:40
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$241	121	121	+0	No	$0	02-13 08:41
Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$228	114	114	+0	No	$0	05-06 11:47
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	$0	05-07 04:37
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$210	105	105	+0	No	$0	05-07 06:14
Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	05-09 11:17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$198	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	05-26 09:42
Will Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	2	$194	97	97	+0	No	$0	05-27 04:17
Will Yeom Tae-yeong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	2	$194	97	97	+0	No	$0	05-27 03:55
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$190	95	95	+0	No	$0	05-18 06:36
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 16	1	$132	132	0	+132	No	+$0	03-16 12:28
will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$132	132	0	+132	No	+$0	03-14 12:07
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 13	1	$132	132	0	+132	No	+$0	03-13 06:19
bitcoin above 64k on march 10	1	$132	132	0	+132	Yes	+$0	03-10 06:26
ethereum above 2400 on march 9	1	$131	132	0	+132	No	+$0	03-09 04:01
ethereum above 1900 on april 2	1	$131	132	0	+132	Yes	+$0	04-02 11:28
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 140 164	1	$131	131	0	+131	No	+$0	04-01 04:50
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 30	1	$131	131	0	+131	No	+$0	03-30 07:53
ethereum above 2300 on march 31	1	$131	131	0	+131	No	+$0	03-31 04:49
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 22	1	$131	131	0	+131	No	+$0	03-22 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 19:23:41	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 in October?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x69f707…
10-21 19:23:27	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $630 in October?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xee3684…
09-30 15:16:29	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in September?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcbca4b…
09-30 15:14:03	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7debf3…
08-14 10:37:42	will amzn reach 300 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x626d8e…
08-14 10:34:28	ufc nei ram2 2026 08 15	Ramiz Brahimaj	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x86cfff…
07-18 06:40:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x5faa02…
07-18 06:39:39	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x620265…
06-30 09:25:29	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x1f6a07…
06-01 07:34:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xff78e1…
06-01 07:28:44	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xecea51…
05-31 09:40:26	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x930e48…
05-30 10:09:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xa020b7…
05-30 10:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C or below on May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x97c7d3…
05-29 07:27:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x4bd1e9…
05-29 07:25:25	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3e2172…
05-28 10:21:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xf34b10…
05-28 10:09:30	Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x233103…
05-27 04:22:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0xf70215…
05-27 04:17:28	Will Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x556d35…
05-27 04:04:42	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	Heroic	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x9331e3…
05-27 03:57:22	Will Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xba8862…
05-27 03:55:58	Will Yeom Tae-yeong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xa85eea…
05-27 03:31:41	Will Yeom Tae-yeong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xce7d01…
05-26 09:47:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x7a2e6e…
05-26 09:42:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xbe0fce…
05-25 11:24:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x893bd6…
05-24 12:01:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x14a728…
05-24 11:54:30	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	T1	BUY	8	73¢	$5	0x3286a2…
05-23 08:06:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x0fa179…
05-23 08:00:26	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xe280bf…
05-22 07:05:08	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $465 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x6a6ad4…
05-21 03:46:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x5078c4…
05-19 05:33:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xca5203…
05-19 05:23:13	LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xd997c3…
05-18 06:45:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xefe424…
05-18 06:36:36	Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x2f4805…
05-18 05:21:44	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x6deb55…
05-18 05:14:16	Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x76c34b…
05-18 05:13:18	Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x8fa212…
05-18 04:56:34	Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x7d59ff…
05-17 08:09:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x8e8cd0…
05-16 12:18:44	Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xa21963…
05-13 07:24:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x630b03…
05-12 06:10:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x4cf4f1…
05-11 09:44:56	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x9335bb…
05-11 09:42:55	Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x36cf6d…
05-11 09:29:18	Parma: Federica Urgesi vs Maja Chwalinska	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	9	88¢	$7	0x9ddfe5…
05-11 09:22:57	Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x328469…
05-10 12:07:48	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x430a38…
05-10 11:48:42	LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	FlyQuest	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe177ca…
05-09 11:24:13	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x800108…
05-09 11:17:55	Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x643596…
05-09 10:57:58	Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe1825b…
05-07 06:19:29	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x6956da…
05-07 06:14:42	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x99ed13…
05-07 04:44:40	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BNK FEARX	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf0c834…
05-07 04:40:46	Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x1879d0…
05-07 04:37:42	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x3079e2…
05-07 04:20:26	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xeca30a…
05-06 11:53:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x8f8b2e…
05-06 11:48:04	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Caty McNally vs Daria Kasatkina	Caty McNally	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x4be6ba…
05-06 11:47:00	Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0xe39ce0…
05-06 11:30:22	Will Daniel Quintero win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xb5646c…
05-05 08:44:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x84871d…
05-04 08:56:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xee5463…
05-03 05:35:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on May 3?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x3b5624…
05-01 07:58:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0x1b5fc5…
04-30 06:28:36	Will Meta (META) close above $540 end of April?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x77a2cb…
04-29 08:03:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x5b6f32…
04-28 08:09:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x640df6…
04-27 08:58:26	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x7a3644…
04-25 12:38:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x358e2c…
04-24 05:14:54	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 24	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xd2bbd4…
04-24 04:53:16	Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x84caf1…
04-23 04:13:08	ethereum above 2000 on april 23	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x8a67ff…
04-22 05:56:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 22	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xa4ebb5…
04-20 03:16:08	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 20	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x91d801…
04-20 02:52:22	dota2 heroic vp 2026 04 20	Heroic	BUY	9	61¢	$5	0x43e262…
04-19 07:57:30	ethereum above 2500 on april 19	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x75a22c…
04-17 10:30:30	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x724dd4…
04-15 05:31:06	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on april 15	Yes	BUY	825	0¢	$2	0xa06e4f…
04-15 05:27:40	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	No	BUY	610	0¢	$2	0x2985ca…
04-14 08:20:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 14	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x6b9ce0…
04-13 06:40:59	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 215 239	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xe26b5e…
04-12 04:38:11	ethereum above 2000 on april 12	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x770734…
04-11 07:34:09	ethereum above 2100 on april 11	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x151212…
04-11 07:24:19	nhl las col 2026 04 11	Avalanche	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x1553b1…
04-10 04:52:21	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x9453fb…
04-09 11:56:21	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x737305…
04-08 09:03:15	bitcoin above 66k on april 8	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$47	0x840035…
04-08 09:02:49	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 8	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x671d92…
04-07 07:35:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0xe9b2c5…
04-06 05:00:47	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 6	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xde6221…
04-05 11:53:59	ethereum above 1900 on april 5	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0xb1e9e6…
04-04 12:21:13	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 4	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x7c47fc…
04-03 06:37:31	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x6d28cf…
04-03 06:36:53	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 3	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xceaead…
04-03 06:36:27	bitcoin above 62k on april 3	No	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0xade647…
04-02 11:28:09	ethereum above 1900 on april 2	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0x12d9df…