Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$540
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
43
lifetime
Volume
$11.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$277
Open exposure
$3.98K
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 06-09 21:08
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
90%
Other
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14,104 $2,550 18¢ $2.5K $-82 06-09 21:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -1,780 $-712 70¢ $-1255 $-543 05-28 21:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +777 $100 12¢ $92 $-8 06-08 04:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +667 $100 12¢ $83 $-17 05-28 03:47
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +1,000 $50 $55 +$5 06-09 09:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -270 $-129 10¢ $-26 +$104 05-29 17:50