Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1.30K
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
83
lifetime
Volume
$16.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$193
Open exposure
$3.35K
5 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 06-29 22:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
88%
Other
11%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +14,678 $2,640 14¢ $2.0K $-659 06-19 20:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -1,780 $-712 74¢ $-1326 $-614 05-28 21:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +667 $100 $43 $-57 05-28 03:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +777 $100 $2 $-98 06-08 04:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -270 $-129 $-1 +$129 05-29 17:50