Acrobatic-Cytokine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$155

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.2%

Resolved

Trades

243

lifetime

Volume

$7.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-08 12:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

88% 17% $-155

Politics

9% — —

Crypto

2% 0% $-0

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	16	$502	420	420	+0	open	—	05-01 12:57
lol wb jdg 2026 04 18	4	$425	500	250	+250	open	—	04-18 14:13
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	2	$391	200	200	+0	open	—	05-03 07:21
spy up or down on april 17 2026	8	$370	400	400	+0	open	—	04-17 08:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	10	$338	300	300	+0	open	—	04-18 08:47
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	12	$309	405	405	+0	open	—	04-16 05:13
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 4?	4	$259	150	150	+0	Yes	$-4	05-04 09:38
spx opens up or down on april 16 2026	10	$245	219	219	+0	open	—	04-16 11:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	7	$210	180	180	+0	Down	$-6	05-04 16:08
highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 27c	10	$197	200	200	+0	open	—	04-18 09:44
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	2	$195	100	100	+0	open	—	04-25 11:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	2	$194	100	100	+0	open	—	04-18 04:26
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$187	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 14:38
wti up or down on april 17 2026	4	$175	200	200	+0	open	—	04-17 04:43
spx opens up or down on april 20 2026	2	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	04-20 02:30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$163	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 08:05
wti up or down on april 16 2026	6	$152	150	150	+0	open	—	04-16 11:14
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	2	$149	100	100	+0	Up	$-32	05-07 17:12
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	4	$148	120	120	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 10:21
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	2	$145	100	100	+0	open	—	04-25 11:49
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$124	100	100	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 10:19
Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?	6	$115	138	138	+0	open	—	04-16 12:14
lol nip blg 2026 04 23	5	$107	65	60	+5	open	—	04-23 12:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 8?	2	$107	100	100	+0	No	$-7	05-08 11:15
ng up or down on april 16 2026	4	$102	100	100	+0	open	—	04-16 09:22
btc updown 5m 1776578100	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	04-19 06:00
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	04-26 12:51
will jim parillo win the legend trade series	10	$100	215	215	+0	open	—	04-17 03:45
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	2	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	04-16 07:32
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	4	$87	50	50	+0	open	—	04-29 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 12:03:44	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xea5bf7…
05-08 12:02:16	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xe34350…
05-08 11:15:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 8?	No	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x2113fd…
05-08 11:09:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 8?	No	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xd7d0f4…
05-08 10:33:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 8?	No	SELL	100	35¢	$35	0x48e77e…
05-08 10:27:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 8?	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xb75f2a…
05-08 08:04:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	99	28¢	$28	0x124f9a…
05-08 06:24:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	99	33¢	$33	0x1837c1…
05-08 05:37:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x977c94…
05-08 05:34:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x4f61a2…
05-07 17:12:25	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x92fd01…
05-07 16:10:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x357b3c…
05-07 13:47:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	41¢	$40	0x5b7326…
05-07 13:42:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	47¢	$47	0x2c0361…
05-07 13:00:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	35	74¢	$26	0x3cee1e…
05-07 12:58:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	35	73¢	$25	0x1c42cc…
05-07 12:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf4e269…
05-07 12:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6f3273…
05-07 12:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x087985…
05-07 11:44:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0xff08f5…
05-07 11:24:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xe9a67c…
05-07 10:26:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x2491aa…
05-07 10:24:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x51ab44…
05-07 10:21:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x197f07…
05-07 10:08:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xafdaf6…
05-07 08:58:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xf29a36…
05-07 08:54:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x1840e2…
05-06 15:17:43	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$21	0x2447ca…
05-06 15:13:48	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x9b0605…
05-06 12:23:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	SELL	24	36¢	$9	0x91205b…
05-06 12:20:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x1ffb13…
05-06 11:31:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?	No	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x8edcc7…
05-06 11:07:16	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 6?	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x358a81…
05-06 10:19:52	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	100	62¢	$62	0x12334b…
05-06 10:13:42	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x766170…
05-06 08:06:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xd59ca8…
05-06 08:05:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x419351…
05-06 08:02:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xdea997…
05-06 07:58:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x3ba54c…
05-05 14:26:36	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	SELL	57	40¢	$23	0x4496bf…
05-05 14:24:00	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xc927a6…
05-05 14:22:16	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0xedd7af…
05-05 04:06:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	61	65¢	$40	0xac3147…
05-05 04:04:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	61	65¢	$40	0xf878fa…
05-04 16:08:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	47	90¢	$42	0xe7ffb7…
05-04 16:07:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xb0b964…
05-04 16:01:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x899a18…
05-04 15:58:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x99c730…
05-04 15:57:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xb1c7de…
05-04 10:50:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xb969e6…
05-04 10:49:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?	No	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x1986fb…
05-04 10:49:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x645306…
05-04 10:49:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xe407b2…
05-04 10:49:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?	No	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x4c3a74…
05-04 10:35:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0xb470fc…
05-04 10:35:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x1500ff…
05-04 10:35:40	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	43	9¢	$4	0xed72e8…
05-04 10:35:00	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	95	30¢	$29	0xa75235…
05-04 10:33:52	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x112425…
05-04 10:32:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x0ac06d…
05-04 10:32:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	98	7¢	$7	0x1ad551…
05-04 10:29:10	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	95	27¢	$26	0x61808c…
05-04 10:28:44	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0x4e5729…
05-04 09:38:00	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	75	84¢	$63	0xeae946…
05-04 09:36:48	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	75	88¢	$66	0xbecdf7…
05-04 09:34:38	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	75	86¢	$64	0xaa45d2…
05-04 09:32:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	75	87¢	$65	0x684ba8…
05-04 09:09:24	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	33	73¢	$24	0xb3aa25…
05-04 09:08:32	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x2107d6…
05-04 09:08:14	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0xc7fd55…
05-04 09:07:42	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xeba4f4…
05-04 07:19:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x483751…
05-04 06:59:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf4bc72…
05-04 06:17:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xdabda9…
05-03 07:21:26	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0x973065…
05-03 07:18:00	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xf8e913…
05-01 15:17:16	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x801e6a…
05-01 15:15:32	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of April 27 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xa5a932…
05-01 14:38:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x4d78ed…
05-01 14:30:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xc7fa61…
05-01 12:57:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x473be2…
05-01 12:55:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xa46e2f…
05-01 08:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xcfbac1…
05-01 08:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xd4e4e4…
05-01 08:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	42¢	$1	0xc7fee3…
05-01 08:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xacd6ed…
05-01 08:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xc638dc…
05-01 08:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x8a7f15…
05-01 07:45:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xa3604a…
05-01 07:45:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0xe698a6…
05-01 07:03:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xa41e40…
05-01 06:41:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xdb98de…
05-01 06:08:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x404b5e…
05-01 06:07:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xe94ff0…
05-01 06:06:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xd47ba9…
05-01 05:23:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Up	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x3396e2…
05-01 05:03:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Up	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xbb1fd5…
05-01 04:41:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x9ca887…
05-01 04:39:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x256ea5…
05-01 04:17:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x5468a6…