Realized P&L
+$3.20K
Unrealized P&L
+$88
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved
138
Trades
854
lifetime
Volume
$98.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$116
Open exposure
$3.62K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 10-29 20:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Other
66% 81% +$2,353
Sports
17% 59% +$2,591
Politics
15% 52% -$1,781
Crypto
2% 100% +$41
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +831 $699 73¢ $607 -$92 09-29 16:48
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +630 $544 96¢ $605 +$60 10-22 00:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +600 $510 86¢ $513 +$3 10-06 20:10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +650 $418 70¢ $458 +$40 10-27 19:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +300 $243 90¢ $272 +$28 10-13 00:13
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? No +365 $290 72¢ $261 -$29 10-28 05:22
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +310 $198 66¢ $206 +$8 10-29 02:08
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +175 $137 96¢ $167 +$31 10-24 14:21
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +200 $131 70¢ $141 +$10 10-24 14:23
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +100 $72 98¢ $98 +$26 10-19 18:28
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +140 $49 58¢ $82 +$33 10-27 14:22
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +100 $71 78¢ $77 +$6 10-29 04:02
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +100 $72 70¢ $70 -$2 10-29 03:47
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +100 $57 60¢ $60 +$3 10-29 03:42
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $10 6¢ $6 -$4 10-27 19:58
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +50 $34 3¢ $2 -$33 10-25 00:56