Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.27K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

1,809

Trades

378,069

lifetime

Volume

$8.34M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-26 07:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Other

65% 59% -$758

Politics

18% 66% +$1,486

Sports

15% 65% +$1,656

Tech

2% 62% -$116

Pop-Culture

0% 80% +$2

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	3,663	$74.9K	51,952	52,885	-933	No	-$90	01-30 11:39
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2,704	$74.3K	40,259	39,431	+828	No	+$39	03-10 15:01
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	3,471	$67.8K	35,088	35,346	-258	No	+$17	03-10 10:15
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2,373	$64.0K	34,614	33,107	+1,507	No	+$126	03-14 21:17
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2,230	$62.3K	33,351	31,449	+1,902	No	+$97	02-25 22:24
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2,043	$58.0K	30,438	29,858	+580	No	+$40	03-10 15:25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4,400	$57.9K	64,489	65,164	-675	Yes	+$463	03-08 21:24
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2,546	$56.1K	30,414	29,227	+1,187	No	+$96	03-03 19:56
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	1,772	$52.8K	27,942	26,868	+1,075	No	+$74	03-12 00:07
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1,900	$51.8K	31,063	31,175	-113	No	-$117	03-08 21:07
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	1,895	$51.0K	27,322	26,223	+1,099	No	+$16	02-19 01:19
will finland win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	1,823	$50.9K	27,296	26,590	+707	No	+$57	02-20 18:10
will the us next strike iran on february 21 2026 et	1,851	$50.8K	26,673	25,836	+838	No	+$45	02-21 22:55
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2,856	$48.6K	25,954	25,720	+235	No	+$42	03-10 15:20
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2,141	$47.4K	28,477	28,531	-54	No	+$1	03-15 00:48
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	1,959	$46.2K	29,322	29,024	+298	No	-$36	03-06 14:01
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	1,750	$45.6K	24,305	23,986	+318	Yes	-$288	02-27 21:03
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	1,782	$45.5K	24,736	23,887	+850	No	+$74	03-28 10:15
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	1,317	$45.5K	24,016	23,933	+82	No	+$2	03-03 14:00
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	1,808	$44.5K	26,916	27,079	-163	No	-$83	02-10 12:36
will italy win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1,507	$44.3K	23,267	22,525	+742	No	+$49	02-16 12:05
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	1,552	$43.2K	22,759	22,248	+512	No	+$51	02-27 21:02
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1,264	$43.0K	22,251	22,076	+175	No	+$38	03-04 02:45
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	1,742	$42.3K	23,231	24,259	-1,029	No	-$95	01-30 06:57
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1,456	$40.0K	21,193	20,058	+1,135	No	+$54	02-21 04:03
will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	1,463	$39.9K	20,623	20,649	-25	No	+$25	02-20 23:29
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	1,557	$39.4K	23,652	24,386	-733	No	-$152	02-06 12:03
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	1,376	$38.3K	21,834	21,821	+13	No	-$77	03-03 09:56
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3,514	$37.6K	24,086	24,391	-305	No	-$40	03-10 14:13
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	1,616	$37.3K	25,157	25,317	-161	Yes	+$149	02-06 11:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 07:29:17	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in september 2026	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x462dc7…
06-22 10:11:07	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xf17d03…
04-01 10:53:19	Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x95c186…
03-31 17:56:37	Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x99e177…
03-31 13:14:35	Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xb95e23…
03-28 23:18:34	will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x73c63f…
03-28 23:15:38	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0xde5333…
03-28 23:14:48	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x373634…
03-28 23:14:48	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1a91f8…
03-28 20:17:00	will anthropic have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xa97ab6…
03-28 17:22:25	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x3d7a90…
03-28 17:04:33	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xcfe0d2…
03-28 16:51:15	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xe89951…
03-28 15:59:55	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x4a0595…
03-28 15:57:27	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	No	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0xb72a0a…
03-28 15:56:45	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xe1c3d2…
03-28 15:56:45	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 420 439	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa07ca9…
03-28 15:56:45	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x97b82f…
03-28 15:56:45	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x62b62f…
03-28 15:56:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1e3e64…
03-28 15:56:43	military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfeb986…
03-28 15:56:43	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb61d8e…
03-28 15:56:43	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	No	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x25dfce…
03-28 15:56:37	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x519c3c…
03-28 15:53:25	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xedd80d…
03-28 15:53:13	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xce88a3…
03-28 15:53:01	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x05de4c…
03-28 15:52:19	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4d3af7…
03-28 15:51:05	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x81f120…
03-28 15:49:37	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xc13242…
03-28 15:48:03	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xcb2e0a…
03-28 15:48:03	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x4d4965…
03-28 15:48:03	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x17db3f…
03-28 15:48:03	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x1797a1…
03-28 15:46:11	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xb05f86…
03-28 15:45:55	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x487a97…
03-28 15:37:57	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0xfdfda7…
03-28 15:36:41	military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe76c55…
03-28 15:32:45	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x6fa26a…
03-28 15:32:25	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	No	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xba579c…
03-28 15:26:59	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xfe8fd2…
03-28 15:24:27	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xab1fd1…
03-28 15:19:17	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xe2db10…
03-28 15:18:17	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x102bb9…
03-28 15:15:47	will jannik sinner win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x512433…
03-28 15:15:47	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x1e0416…
03-28 15:11:17	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x66f1c4…
03-28 15:11:03	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf84d92…
03-28 15:09:49	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xdd5ffd…
03-28 15:09:13	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x9be9f0…
03-28 15:05:57	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xeb0dbd…
03-28 15:05:57	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x4a4876…
03-28 15:01:25	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x6ed3bb…
03-28 15:00:17	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x84b35d…
03-28 14:57:13	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1c028b…
03-28 14:53:09	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0xfaec95…
03-28 14:42:39	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9b8af2…
03-28 14:41:19	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0xd12d8c…
03-28 14:39:57	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x7c4aaf…
03-28 14:38:51	will there be 5 or fewer us strikes on somalia in march 2026	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x209c2c…
03-28 14:37:49	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x73f713…
03-28 14:36:21	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x67dc4b…
03-28 14:35:35	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xc96947…
03-28 14:35:21	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x55d1d9…
03-28 14:35:11	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xe4786a…
03-28 14:32:35	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x645679…
03-28 14:31:25	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x09c363…
03-28 14:28:23	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4fee15…
03-28 14:24:03	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x7e8b06…
03-28 14:23:03	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0x7f17ae…
03-28 14:21:49	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x4fb717…
03-28 14:21:41	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	5	83¢	$5	0x7b7c1b…
03-28 14:19:31	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	5	83¢	$5	0x818a51…
03-28 14:19:27	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbcca8b…
03-28 14:17:13	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xa64049…
03-28 14:16:19	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x50bac0…
03-28 14:16:17	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xe3322f…
03-28 14:13:47	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0b29e0…
03-28 14:13:29	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xd93014…
03-28 14:13:09	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x5cc04a…
03-28 14:12:03	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3a2fd2…
03-28 14:09:41	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x3ff537…
03-28 14:08:25	will the dhs shutdown end between march 28 31 2026	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x6f567e…
03-28 14:07:19	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x62439d…
03-28 14:06:43	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xf3bb25…
03-28 14:01:31	will the dhs shutdown end between march 28 31 2026	No	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x7e2e8c…
03-28 14:01:17	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x3a5061…
03-28 14:00:25	will the dhs shutdown end between march 28 31 2026	No	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0xc0f4f4…
03-28 13:58:15	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x6f185b…
03-28 13:46:23	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xfea834…
03-28 13:44:41	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x142936…
03-28 13:35:51	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x3ddb9a…
03-28 13:25:25	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc8f09d…
03-28 13:19:03	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x9c9c4b…
03-28 13:18:33	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x636167…
03-28 13:18:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0x4def7e…
03-28 13:17:29	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x7a6ced…
03-28 13:16:55	will the dhs shutdown end between march 28 31 2026	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x94615d…
03-28 13:08:57	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xdaab0c…
03-28 13:02:57	Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0xc74698…