Limp-Woolens — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$516

Unrealized P&L

+$59

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

694

Trades

937

lifetime

Volume

$3.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$67

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-06 11:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

76% 59% +$580

Crypto

18% 70% -$7

Politics

6% 0% -$45

Sports

0% 0% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+75	$60	58¢	$43	-$17	10-06 11:49
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-379	-$72	5¢	$-20	+$52	06-06 11:41
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-61	-$29	4¢	$-3	+$26	06-06 11:41
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	+25	$3	2¢	$1	-$2	06-22 11:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	6	$614	529	529	+0	Yes	+$416	02-27 08:35
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	5	$395	251	251	+0	Yes	+$103	02-27 08:35
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	8	$304	617	617	+0	open	—	10-05 17:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	11	$145	2,114	2,083	+31	No	-$7	04-11 13:42
will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31	2	$106	134	134	+0	open	—	06-06 12:54
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	2	$104	77	77	+0	Yes	+$4	08-16 07:00
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$72	0	379	-379	open	—	06-06 11:41
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	4	$67	152	0	+152	open	—	10-06 11:53
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?	1	$60	0	63	-63	No	-$3	04-29 08:08
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?	2	$60	75	0	+75	open	—	10-06 11:49
will russia capture all of rodynske by april 30	2	$53	72	0	+72	Yes	+$19	03-03 11:43
will russia capture hryshyne by february 28 2026	2	$43	25	25	+0	No	+$3	02-17 13:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$38	10,079	0	+10,079	Yes	-$38	04-10 22:03
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?	5	$36	109	0	+109	Yes	+$73	05-28 09:22
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	3	$30	37	27	+10	No	+$1	01-15 18:30
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$29	0	61	-61	open	—	06-06 11:41
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	2	$27	14	24	-10	No	-$3	01-01 17:10
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	3	$25	34	0	+34	Yes	+$9	02-01 09:49
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	3	$23	24	16	+8	No	+$1	04-01 14:12
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	05-28 09:19
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	1	$20	25	0	+25	No	+$5	02-27 14:16
will russia capture hryshyne by june 30 2026 484 168 415	1	$20	26	0	+26	Yes	+$6	02-27 14:02
will russia capture lyman by january 31 2026	1	$20	24	0	+24	No	+$4	01-05 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13?	4	$14	20	20	+0	Yes	-$2	06-13 12:17
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 07:00 UTC	9	$12	9	7	+2	Down	$0	03-12 07:10
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	04-24 09:44
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	2	$11	37	0	+37	No	-$11	07-28 20:42
will bitcoin reach 72k march 23 29	1	$11	12	0	+12	Yes	+$1	03-23 14:43
will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	1	$11	16	0	+16	Yes	-$11	02-27 14:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 09:05 UTC	7	$10	8	6	+2	Down	$0	03-12 09:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 11:53:34	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0x2f1315…
10-06 11:49:58	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xebce3f…
10-05 17:25:38	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xe1c7f5…
10-05 17:24:55	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	437	12¢	$53	0x7f8ea1…
10-03 20:27:04	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	65	37¢	$24	0xe34705…
10-03 20:26:29	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x628117…
10-03 20:26:11	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	20¢	$25	0x86f537…
10-03 16:14:27	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xb21298…
09-04 16:59:34	atp bublik paul 2026 09 04	Alexander Bublik	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x713cd5…
08-16 07:00:40	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	77	70¢	$54	0xaa6381…
08-10 14:43:18	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x374ed3…
07-28 20:42:13	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x385613…
07-16 08:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 18?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8a2cf6…
07-15 08:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 17?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8a8dd0…
07-15 08:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 16?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x362d80…
07-13 12:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 15?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x02b31e…
07-12 06:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 14?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9a8e13…
07-11 11:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 13?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x888273…
07-10 15:44:14	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xaf16b9…
07-10 15:43:55	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x68a01e…
07-10 08:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 12?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6b8147…
07-09 11:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 11?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8395d2…
07-08 07:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 10?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x82892e…
07-07 15:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 9?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc576aa…
07-07 15:39:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 7?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xfdef7f…
07-07 15:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 7?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7a25de…
07-07 15:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 7?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x25c7af…
07-07 15:38:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 9?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x9529b2…
07-07 06:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 9?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x53e841…
07-05 18:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 7?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcfa050…
07-05 18:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 7?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x20af14…
07-05 18:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 7?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x135eaf…
07-04 13:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 6?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x659ae0…
07-03 16:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 5?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb7bf53…
07-02 16:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 3?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x0693dc…
07-02 16:19:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x576c7b…
07-02 11:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 4?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x00dcaa…
07-02 11:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 2?	No	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x1dee56…
07-01 12:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?	No	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xa4f033…
07-01 09:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 1?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x303b1b…
07-01 08:42:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 3?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x863682…
06-30 11:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 30?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x514bf0…
06-30 05:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 2?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9a09ab…
06-29 09:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 1?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x038070…
06-28 09:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 30?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xfc5943…
06-27 08:58:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 29?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x03930e…
06-27 08:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 28?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xec5810…
06-27 08:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 28?	No	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0xfd94a3…
06-26 06:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 28?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x3c5da9…
06-25 09:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xd34130…
06-25 06:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 27?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xb3fcdc…
06-24 13:22:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 26?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xa76a86…
06-24 11:24:07	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x51a689…
06-24 11:23:50	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x3bdcad…
06-24 06:40:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on June 26?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6efd8f…
06-23 11:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 25?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x1649a9…
06-22 11:48:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 24?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x706bcb…
06-22 11:18:55	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xd90da1…
06-21 06:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 23?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x035ee4…
06-20 08:04:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 22?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x14d69b…
06-19 08:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 21?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xe76a1b…
06-18 08:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on June 20?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x883aea…
06-16 10:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 17?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x725220…
06-15 14:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 16?	No	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x1b9557…
06-15 07:51:10	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xa87654…
06-14 20:43:52	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x33f8fd…
06-14 18:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 16?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd7e240…
06-13 12:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13?	No	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x8cd091…
06-13 12:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13?	No	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x4fc2ae…
06-13 12:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13?	No	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x712904…
06-13 08:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 15?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3288ce…
06-12 12:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 14?	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x16fd96…
06-12 12:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 14?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x4dd68d…
06-12 07:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on June 14?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x0be0ec…
06-11 15:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x5d4503…
06-10 05:54:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 12?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x408b59…
06-09 11:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 11?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x01ced3…
06-09 07:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 11?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xf1f2a7…
06-08 17:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 10?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x5b14f9…
06-08 07:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 9?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x87e121…
06-08 07:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xda7c25…
06-07 06:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 9?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x6ae110…
06-07 06:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 8?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xfe1846…
06-07 06:44:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 8?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x889f23…
06-06 12:55:04	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xa80c17…
06-06 12:54:27	will russia capture all of bilytske by december 31	Yes	SELL	134	42¢	$56	0xafd192…
06-06 11:42:09	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	304	33¢	$100	0x059d08…
06-06 11:41:16	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	47¢	$29	0xe57f68…
06-06 11:41:10	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	379	19¢	$72	0x68fb19…
06-06 11:40:33	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	174	29¢	$50	0x83584d…
06-06 08:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 7?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x5e4154…
06-06 08:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 7?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xae91ef…
06-05 07:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 6?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x21042f…
06-03 17:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x286c97…
06-03 17:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 5?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x027d06…
06-02 07:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on June 2?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x37529a…
06-01 11:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 3?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x3d8c46…
05-31 09:27:14	Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?	Yes	BUY	134	37¢	$50	0x2365cd…
05-29 20:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 31?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x0525e6…
05-29 20:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 31?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xddfab1…