Realized P&L
+$222
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
54.9%
Resolved
657
Trades
2,817
lifetime
Volume
$7.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$22
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-26 10:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Other
52% 30% +$51
Politics
34% 66% +$174
Tech
10% 70% +$14
Sports
3% 30% +$4
Crypto
1% 29% -$20
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -38 -$18 36¢ $-13 +$4 04-30 16:36
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +500 $6 1¢ $5 $0 10-23 15:50
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — -730 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 06-27 08:48
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +670 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 10-14 23:34
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -400 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$1 05-30 14:08
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +160 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 06-23 02:23