Realized P&L
+$5.72K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.01K
Hit rate
19.8%
Resolved
138
Trades
109,904
lifetime
Volume
$12.4M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$112
Open exposure
$11.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 10-26 21:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Sports
46% 29% -$10,488
Politics
30% 37% -$2,522
Other
23% 41% +$19,277
Tech
0% 0% -$548
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 1251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +3,000 $1,790 66¢ $2.0K +$175 10-26 18:11
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2,000 $1,742 92¢ $1.8K +$88 10-26 17:12
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,490 $1,347 92¢ $1.4K +$16 10-26 18:42
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +3,000 $1,168 38¢ $1.1K -$43 10-26 21:08
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +1,500 $833 66¢ $983 +$150 10-26 22:10
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,473 $795 66¢ $965 +$170 10-26 22:22
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +2,000 $1,062 34¢ $690 -$372 10-26 19:51
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +595 $533 92¢ $550 +$17 10-24 01:36
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +649 $483 64¢ $412 -$71 10-26 21:02
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +200 $196 98¢ $197 +$0 06-17 17:19
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +516 $232 36¢ $188 -$43 10-26 22:12
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -500 $134 34¢ $-172 -$306 10-26 21:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +175 $820 94¢ $164 -$657 10-15 12:33
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +203 $99 74¢ $149 +$50 10-26 19:09
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +508 $359 26¢ $135 -$224 10-26 21:49
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -234 -$108 36¢ $-83 +$25 07-12 15:08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -1,000 -$52 8¢ $-75 -$23 10-22 02:37
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +62 $61 96¢ $60 -$1 06-22 15:02
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No -500 -$83 8¢ $-42 +$40 10-25 16:48
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +491 -$9 8¢ $42 +$51 10-26 03:34
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -60 -$28 64¢ $-39 -$11 07-15 22:28
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +34 $34 98¢ $33 -$1 07-15 21:17
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -500 -$78 4¢ $-20 +$58 07-12 16:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -400 -$82 4¢ $-17 +$66 05-08 23:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +175 $1,029 6¢ $11 -$1,017 10-15 12:30
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +200 $4 2¢ $3 $0 06-22 15:25
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +62 $2 4¢ $2 +$0 07-12 13:32
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +34 $4 2¢ $1 -$3 06-27 17:40
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +0 $21 62¢ $0 -$21 06-19 02:49
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $123 90¢ $0 -$123 10-21 17:49