Realized P&L
+$30
Unrealized P&L
-$25
Hit rate
49.8%
Resolved
790
Trades
1,464
lifetime
Volume
$13.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$137
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-20
last 11-02 21:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 100 days
Categories
Other
75% 50% +$185
Sports
19% 47% +$113
Politics
6% 29% -$268
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +19 $16 96¢ $18 +$2 08-03 05:25
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +21 $13 80¢ $17 +$4 08-06 19:53
No one announced as next James Bond? No +18 $14 82¢ $15 +$0 09-14 23:34
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +14 $10 90¢ $13 +$3 06-02 23:41
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No +13 $10 87¢ $11 +$1 05-23 01:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +13 $9 84¢ $11 +$2 08-12 12:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +56 $15 16¢ $9 -$6 07-21 04:47
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +9 $8 97¢ $9 +$1 08-05 12:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +9 $8 94¢ $8 +$0 08-03 08:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +8 $7 96¢ $8 +$1 05-20 12:02
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +28 $10 20¢ $5 -$4 07-28 02:13
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 Yes +17 $7 26¢ $5 -$2 07-25 08:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +35 $10 11¢ $4 -$6 06-02 23:41
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +14 $10 22¢ $3 -$7 05-23 01:57
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +648 $16 0¢ $2 -$14 07-30 05:00