Close-Somebody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.89K

Unrealized P&L

-$57

Hit rate

19.9%

Resolved

Trades

270

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$13

1 position

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-27 20:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Politics

57% 29% -$1,486

Other

42% 41% -$463

Sports

2% 50% +$63

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-73	$44	18¢	$-13	-$57	10-27 20:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	14	$1.9K	117,266	85,566	+31,700	No	-$1,083	03-30 13:28
netanyahu out by march 31 854	13	$1.9K	35,274	35,274	+0	No	-$408	03-20 08:26
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$1.3K	2,855	2,855	+0	No	-$121	03-25 13:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	30	$1.2K	2,642	2,715	-73	open	—	10-27 20:36
Trump out as President by April 30?	14	$612	24,043	24,043	+0	No	-$158	04-12 05:43
Netanyahu out by April 30?	10	$414	12,332	12,332	+0	No	-$86	04-16 08:09
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$361	271	271	+0	Yes	+$14	04-04 19:23
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	6	$235	25,285	25,285	+0	No	-$37	08-22 15:23
Obama arrested before 2027?	8	$221	1,449	1,449	+0	open	—	06-14 06:35
Trump out as President by June 30?	11	$219	20,369	20,369	+0	No	-$102	06-25 06:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	3	$184	136	136	+0	Yes	+$89	04-29 13:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	3	$147	98	96	+2	Yes	+$47	04-28 10:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	2	$125	855	945	-89	No	-$12	05-01 13:43
fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	2	$113	65	65	+0	Under	+$1	06-28 03:45
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	6	$99	71	71	+0	Yes	+$43	06-27 05:06
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	4	$98	56	56	+0	Yes	+$5	06-23 18:04
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	2	$96	57	57	+0	Portugal	+$16	07-03 01:12
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?	2	$91	315	315	+0	open	—	05-22 04:20
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$91	62	62	+0	Yes	+$33	07-15 21:04
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	3	$86	7,231	7,231	+0	No	+$1	07-10 18:38
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	2	$82	44	44	+0	Argentina	+$6	07-07 18:13
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	5	$81	80	80	+0	Yes	+$42	06-25 21:59
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	7	$72	767	248	+519	Argentina	-$58	07-04 00:41
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?	3	$67	555	555	+0	open	—	06-03 12:07
fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	2	$58	38	38	+0	Over	+$18	06-28 03:42
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	6	$54	41	41	+0	No	-$2	06-21 20:23
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	2	$50	29	29	+0	Spain	+$8	07-10 21:00
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?	3	$49	100	100	+0	No	-$1	06-18 18:11
hillary clinton charged by march 31	3	$47	4,394	4,394	+0	No	-$35	03-30 13:28
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	2	$47	26	26	+0	Yes	+$5	06-22 19:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:36:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	210	19¢	$40	0xddc55e…
10-26 09:27:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	171	18¢	$31	0xd01e99…
10-26 09:26:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	57	18¢	$10	0xaf14e3…
10-24 09:20:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	160	19¢	$30	0xf8710f…
10-24 00:43:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	68	18¢	$12	0x0928e8…
10-23 02:55:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	332	16¢	$53	0x90cf7d…
10-22 06:47:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	119	16¢	$19	0xaf5940…
10-22 04:27:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	214	17¢	$36	0xc7263b…
08-23 00:58:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	206	16¢	$33	0x20a8a2…
08-22 15:24:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	206	17¢	$35	0x85ad00…
08-22 15:23:48	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	SELL	12,814	0¢	$36	0x1b6c25…
08-20 06:14:09	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	9,720	0¢	$39	0x54f27d…
08-19 19:17:36	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	2,844	0¢	$9	0x0c57e3…
08-18 17:49:48	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xc58e76…
08-17 12:34:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	319	16¢	$51	0x722477…
08-12 05:06:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	319	19¢	$61	0x838797…
08-12 05:05:45	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	SELL	12,471	0¢	$62	0x9d6077…
08-07 10:32:52	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	12,471	1¢	$87	0x3bf286…
08-07 09:41:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	539	17¢	$92	0xb804e8…
08-03 03:19:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0xccbf7d…
07-20 02:50:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	445	31¢	$138	0x3d6a7f…
07-19 20:02:43	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0xe82412…
07-19 20:01:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x2140a2…
07-19 19:00:39	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x3a2c06…
07-19 19:00:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	34	30¢	$10	0x22a065…
07-19 17:50:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	33	59¢	$20	0x1eeb89…
07-19 17:49:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	67	30¢	$20	0x665b0f…
07-17 18:36:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x8008df…
07-17 18:36:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0xaf06a2…
07-17 09:33:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5423fa…
07-17 07:14:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	46	22¢	$10	0xc3ecd5…
07-15 21:05:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	282	22¢	$62	0xaf9236…
07-15 21:04:28	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x46121f…
07-15 16:17:50	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	62	47¢	$29	0xdd2693…
07-15 16:17:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	175	17¢	$30	0xb03f45…
07-14 18:05:17	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	88	23¢	$20	0xe8fe60…
07-10 21:01:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	175	16¢	$28	0x3b2207…
07-10 21:00:38	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x79932f…
07-10 20:45:52	Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	60¢	$12	0x91732f…
07-10 20:42:35	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	34	36¢	$12	0xe7928b…
07-10 18:40:35	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x8bb61f…
07-10 18:40:23	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0x8f96f0…
07-10 18:38:16	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	SELL	7,231	1¢	$43	0x518aef…
07-10 01:28:01	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	3,231	1¢	$23	0xbc1186…
07-07 18:37:19	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$20	0xfeaed3…
07-07 18:13:49	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x5eb7ab…
07-07 12:05:44	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	44	86¢	$38	0xb05b50…
07-06 19:37:55	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xbbb67f…
07-06 19:35:26	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0xd21759…
07-06 18:09:01	Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x819e95…
07-06 18:08:40	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	SELL	13	64¢	$8	0x27d3a4…
07-06 06:20:10	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0xc59f73…
07-05 15:07:38	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe1433f…
07-04 00:41:35	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0x2052f6…
07-04 00:41:04	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	SELL	248	3¢	$7	0x262c5a…
07-04 00:21:43	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x37b998…
07-04 00:19:52	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x372fe5…
07-04 00:00:44	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe7e864…
07-04 00:00:29	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x4b5feb…
07-03 23:59:25	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x1fdeea…
07-03 23:30:20	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x558320…
07-03 23:22:31	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xe11e10…
07-03 22:09:41	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x849db9…
07-03 01:13:32	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	375	8¢	$30	0xb4ac1f…
07-03 01:12:20	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	SELL	57	100¢	$56	0x7a0c06…
07-02 18:23:25	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	57	71¢	$40	0xebd56b…
06-30 17:56:32	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x4e0790…
06-29 17:31:37	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x65b8f3…
06-29 17:25:01	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0efc34…
06-29 16:55:59	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x174ed9…
06-29 04:00:02	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x09ee28…
06-28 19:13:07	will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x2f46b9…
06-28 18:25:44	will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	No	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x596187…
06-28 18:24:41	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	No	SELL	42	47¢	$20	0x65848b…
06-28 18:23:25	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xc3e357…
06-28 03:45:08	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	65	87¢	$57	0x443eb6…
06-28 03:43:22	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	65	86¢	$56	0xa958ff…
06-28 03:42:35	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xe40c8a…
06-28 03:10:04	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xed7ae4…
06-27 23:33:58	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa23130…
06-27 19:11:16	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xeb3bbb…
06-27 05:06:22	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x663ee1…
06-27 05:02:20	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x320c0d…
06-27 04:57:53	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x26f0fa…
06-27 04:27:34	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xf651cf…
06-27 04:06:02	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x4922c5…
06-27 03:51:49	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7b8b6d…
06-27 03:20:58	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8b6065…
06-27 03:11:20	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xd7ed80…
06-27 00:42:17	Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x179fd9…
06-26 19:45:40	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x2d0bf9…
06-26 19:39:35	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x1e85ed…
06-26 17:56:32	Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x93fdaa…
06-26 02:58:22	Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x2772b8…
06-25 22:14:38	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xbf4f73…
06-25 22:01:22	Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	No	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x2a6a2f…
06-25 21:59:59	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xd372a7…
06-25 20:26:46	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x8ce986…
06-25 20:21:04	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x525cd5…
06-25 20:19:14	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0x72fbcb…