Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$297

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

270

lifetime

Volume

$479.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.78K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-19 14:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

50% 100% +$297

Politics

46% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	13	$110.9K	64,753	64,753	+0	open	—	05-09 02:54
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	6	$83.7K	45,834	40,608	+5,225	open	—	05-18 02:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$59.4K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	04-24 18:36
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$50.2K	54,000	0	+54,000	open	—	01-08 19:32
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$49.1K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	01-30 05:59
will trump visit china by march 31	60	$41.9K	42,000	0	+42,000	open	—	03-27 22:00
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	55	$39.7K	43,160	0	+43,160	open	—	05-11 00:27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$17.3K	20,726	10,403	+10,323	open	—	06-01 13:33
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	6	$11.1K	5,686	5,686	+0	No	+$216	05-11 13:23
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	27	$3.1K	3,216	0	+3,216	Yes	+$81	04-25 00:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-30 02:14
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$2.0K	2,597	0	+2,597	open	—	04-10 23:25
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.6K	1,652	0	+1,652	open	—	04-09 15:15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	19	$1.2K	100,000	100,000	+0	open	—	02-03 19:48
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$1.2K	0	19,669	-19,669	open	—	01-08 19:31
will tisza win at least 90 seats	4	$1.1K	1,308	0	+1,308	open	—	04-11 00:24
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	3	$593	4,363	4,363	+0	open	—	03-08 05:12
btc updown 15m 1768779000	4	$565	579	572	+7	open	—	01-18 23:42
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	2	$369	300	300	+0	open	—	04-11 01:19
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$360	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-10 21:40
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$290	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-03 19:51
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$283	242	242	+0	open	—	03-26 19:43
bitcoin up or down january 18 5pm et	2	$281	200	200	+0	open	—	01-18 22:44
eth updown 15m 1768779000	3	$260	288	284	+4	open	—	01-18 23:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$220	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-01 01:35
mtb quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 15 2026 4	3	$206	296	0	+296	open	—	04-14 20:19
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	27	$164	3,200	3,200	+0	open	—	03-30 17:00
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	4	$136	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-06 16:39
btc updown 5m 1781878800	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	06-19 14:22
will the us next strike iran on february 6 2026 et	1	$4	126	0	+126	open	—	02-03 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 14:22:29	btc updown 5m 1781878800	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0619bd…
06-01 13:33:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,137	70¢	$5,000	0x3f91af…
06-01 13:07:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,590	74¢	$10,000	0x309848…
06-01 12:54:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10,403	22¢	$2,263	0x1d13e3…
05-18 02:08:37	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	17,692	95¢	$16,833	0x5b8443…
05-18 02:08:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	22,917	96¢	$22,096	0xd480a9…
05-15 04:26:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	39,000	98¢	$38,064	0x668bf1…
05-15 04:04:06	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,975	98¢	$1,926	0xb4ed84…
05-15 04:03:42	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	4,500	98¢	$4,388	0xbfb4da…
05-15 04:03:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	358	97¢	$349	0x1242fc…
05-11 13:23:06	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	5,686	100¢	$5,674	0x518092…
05-11 00:27:55	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3,044	92¢	$2,800	0x33c3e2…
05-09 05:34:34	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xd0799d…
05-09 05:31:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	4,833	92¢	$4,446	0x688766…
05-09 05:30:41	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	62	92¢	$58	0xb3cee7…
05-09 05:27:11	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	38	92¢	$34	0x1363fe…
05-09 05:26:33	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xb78330…
05-09 05:26:33	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3,733	92¢	$3,435	0xa78ef0…
05-09 05:26:33	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x3890e6…
05-09 05:22:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	62	92¢	$58	0x536be5…
05-09 05:21:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xdd1057…
05-09 05:21:35	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	62	92¢	$58	0x613981…
05-09 05:21:25	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x62aec2…
05-09 05:19:41	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x7e590b…
05-09 05:12:41	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x3a5e75…
05-09 05:12:38	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x6f4914…
05-09 05:06:01	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,250	92¢	$1,150	0xe7a256…
05-09 05:04:03	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x001e19…
05-09 04:55:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5,625	92¢	$5,175	0x92a951…
05-09 04:54:40	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x7afa62…
05-09 04:54:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0xfd5f15…
05-09 04:52:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,250	92¢	$1,150	0x42d814…
05-09 04:52:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	417	92¢	$384	0x1d9714…
05-09 04:43:37	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,750	92¢	$1,610	0x02d880…
05-09 04:43:26	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	93	92¢	$86	0x016ebc…
05-09 04:41:25	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x4932cb…
05-09 04:40:36	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x9b608a…
05-09 04:39:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x06612b…
05-09 04:37:41	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7e4d25…
05-09 04:35:07	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	750	92¢	$690	0x880e6f…
05-09 04:32:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x457d4f…
05-09 04:30:12	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x42f0ac…
05-09 04:28:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x0a4c01…
05-09 04:23:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x378575…
05-09 04:21:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	38	92¢	$34	0x5791cb…
05-09 04:17:50	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xeb6bd0…
05-09 04:17:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	250	92¢	$230	0xe24d4a…
05-09 04:05:42	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x1c2aa8…
05-09 03:54:23	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0x537d83…
05-09 03:52:31	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,436	92¢	$1,321	0x972599…
05-09 03:51:19	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	625	92¢	$575	0x43372e…
05-09 03:51:03	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xf81d92…
05-09 03:38:27	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xacdc43…
05-09 03:32:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xbb2b5d…
05-09 03:30:05	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	59	92¢	$54	0x89a679…
05-09 03:26:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,250	92¢	$1,150	0xe38ba6…
05-09 03:24:50	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	125	92¢	$115	0xcf6dd4…
05-09 03:17:01	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,198	92¢	$1,102	0x93c9a1…
05-09 03:16:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xda7b04…
05-09 03:14:43	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x6ccfef…
05-09 03:14:39	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	31	92¢	$29	0x51ceb0…
05-09 03:11:41	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x40dec6…
05-09 03:05:26	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	82	92¢	$76	0x41d61c…
05-09 03:03:22	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xa22ba2…
05-09 03:01:33	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	92¢	$2	0xf094af…
05-09 03:01:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	14,202	92¢	$13,066	0xfb9fa3…
05-09 02:54:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	40,130	100¢	$40,050	0x501e32…
04-25 01:30:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	19,829	98¢	$19,492	0x64d06a…
04-25 01:28:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x37fbbe…
04-25 01:26:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2,089	98¢	$2,053	0xa75615…
04-25 01:24:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x66184a…
04-25 01:19:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5,785	98¢	$5,687	0xc613c0…
04-25 00:54:20	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x4d54b7…
04-25 00:51:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x49e0b2…
04-25 00:44:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xc142fe…
04-25 00:28:48	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	68	98¢	$66	0x742ef4…
04-25 00:18:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0xd72f0e…
04-24 23:34:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,313	98¢	$1,288	0xb103f9…
04-24 21:53:26	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x76d213…
04-24 21:27:10	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x533eba…
04-24 21:24:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	73	98¢	$71	0x8063cf…
04-24 21:23:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6848c2…
04-24 21:17:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xe5279e…
04-24 21:17:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x245dca…
04-24 20:17:08	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0xb37062…
04-24 20:15:24	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbc4512…
04-24 19:00:14	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xf141b4…
04-24 18:55:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	77	98¢	$76	0xc54ca5…
04-24 18:53:54	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x052a5b…
04-24 18:47:46	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x30bcd5…
04-24 18:42:32	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x50d4c0…
04-24 18:39:34	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x0ef023…
04-24 18:36:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	20,713	99¢	$20,568	0x79c568…
04-24 18:35:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	87	99¢	$87	0x87bf79…
04-24 18:35:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	9,200	99¢	$9,145	0x2da4e8…
04-23 20:27:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	6,197	97¢	$6,036	0x462208…
04-23 18:55:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	6,223	97¢	$6,036	0x11d2e5…
04-22 15:44:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	12,445	92¢	$11,450	0xa743a2…
04-18 00:41:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	8,401	37¢	$3,067	0x325d2f…
04-17 16:17:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	8,401	55¢	$4,600	0xa3f662…