Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$130

Unrealized P&L

+$813

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$122.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$370

Open exposure

$8.19K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-26 08:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Politics

57% 77% -$1,895

Other

43% 100% +$1,764

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		+8,398	$7,374	97¢	$8.2K	+$810	05-25 21:50
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No		+5	$1	98¢	$5	+$4	10-23 18:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	15	$15.2K	9,879	9,879	+0	Yes	-$4,313	04-12 09:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	3	$14.1K	7,378	7,378	+0	No	+$199	04-01 09:41
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	6	$9.1K	4,584	4,584	+0	No	+$45	03-31 12:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$7.4K	8,398	0	+8,398	open	—	05-25 21:50
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	5	$6.3K	6,699	0	+6,699	No	+$396	01-15 11:05
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	5	$5.0K	5,463	0	+5,463	No	+$492	04-15 10:30
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	1	$4.6K	4,667	0	+4,667	No	+$107	03-31 12:03
bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	2	$4.2K	4,242	0	+4,242	No	+$8	03-18 14:41
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	17	$4.2K	2,349	2,672	-323	No	+$294	01-27 12:38
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	24	$3.7K	2,009	2,002	+7	No	+$329	03-11 06:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$3.5K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$480	10-19 12:40
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	2	$3.2K	3,546	0	+3,546	No	+$304	01-28 20:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	9	$2.9K	1,086	1,871	-785	No	+$28	01-28 20:04
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	6	$2.9K	1,481	1,481	+0	No	+$79	01-28 23:44
another us strike on venezuela on january 12	1	$2.7K	2,751	0	+2,751	No	+$19	01-10 15:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	21	$2.6K	2,732	0	+2,732	No	+$84	03-11 05:45
will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	4	$2.3K	2,322	0	+2,322	Yes	+$6	03-09 16:19
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	6	$2.3K	2,419	0	+2,419	No	+$126	03-05 21:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	22	$2.1K	3,095	0	+3,095	Yes	+$1,032	06-15 14:54
will the us invade iran by march 31	13	$1.8K	977	1,162	-185	No	-$44	03-26 07:13
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	9	$1.5K	1,215	304	+912	No	+$10	01-06 18:57
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	9	$1.4K	1,018	509	+509	Yes	+$43	01-31 14:33
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	7	$1.4K	1,449	0	+1,449	Yes	+$49	01-30 12:37
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$1.3K	1,296	0	+1,296	No	+$14	03-13 20:21
another us strike on venezuela on january 6	5	$1.2K	1,177	0	+1,177	No	+$6	01-06 19:09
another us strike on venezuela on january 4	5	$1.1K	1,128	0	+1,128	No	+$5	01-05 00:41
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	4	$1.0K	596	596	+0	No	+$126	01-16 11:05
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	1	$1.0K	1,064	0	+1,064	No	+$53	06-15 20:35
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$1.0K	505	571	-66	No	+$67	03-31 11:05
will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	2	$947	950	0	+950	Yes	+$3	03-07 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 08:18:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	192	95¢	$182	0xd87df5…
10-23 18:14:03	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0xb6aa53…
10-19 15:34:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	425	85¢	$361	0xcf4967…
10-19 15:04:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x12195b…
10-19 15:04:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x45a8f0…
10-19 14:55:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x32e074…
10-19 14:55:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xecc38f…
10-19 12:40:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,000	88¢	$3,520	0x81ed81…
10-14 04:40:11	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	219	86¢	$188	0xee3857…
10-14 04:28:22	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xd68434…
10-14 02:37:04	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x2139b1…
10-14 00:59:40	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x7f0e10…
10-13 22:19:28	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	98	86¢	$84	0xc46f5e…
10-13 15:30:02	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	186	97¢	$181	0xad2d7c…
10-13 15:17:10	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xe3a919…
10-13 15:12:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x12c998…
10-13 15:12:14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xb5a1e0…
10-13 15:12:14	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x679d4e…
10-13 14:30:02	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	260	86¢	$224	0xe75fc3…
10-13 13:37:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	211	98¢	$206	0xa83167…
10-13 13:28:44	Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x26d708…
10-13 13:05:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x368c5c…
10-13 13:02:55	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	499	86¢	$432	0x0e0a10…
10-13 13:02:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x0db52c…
10-13 13:01:41	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x38a941…
07-03 11:46:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xc241fc…
07-03 11:46:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbf143f…
07-03 11:46:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x7a9051…
07-03 11:46:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x418310…
07-03 11:46:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2a9b79…
07-03 11:46:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x15ffb1…
07-03 11:46:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfbdd84…
07-03 11:46:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf28342…
07-03 11:46:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xe61a1e…
07-03 11:46:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xe1ad21…
07-03 11:46:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x9219bb…
07-03 11:46:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8d2ce4…
07-03 11:46:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x81170c…
07-03 11:46:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x443d36…
07-03 11:46:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x349ed0…
07-03 11:46:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1ccf6f…
07-03 11:46:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x03982a…
07-03 11:46:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7fc8e…
07-03 11:41:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xec653b…
06-15 20:35:33	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	1,064	95¢	$1,011	0x0c4f7e…
06-15 14:54:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	299	97¢	$289	0xa391df…
06-15 14:53:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0xec0b5e…
06-15 14:53:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	97¢	$192	0x21e7ae…
06-15 14:52:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xd5fb35…
06-15 14:52:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x8d75e2…
05-28 20:43:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	253	40¢	$101	0x4d7b97…
05-28 20:41:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	40¢	$52	0x8859e5…
05-28 20:37:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	336	29¢	$97	0x8530aa…
05-28 20:36:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa719fc…
05-28 20:35:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	29¢	$45	0xe23216…
05-28 20:34:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xa4340d…
05-28 20:32:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0x619232…
05-28 20:25:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xa52d79…
05-28 20:23:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xedd0b4…
05-28 20:23:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	23¢	$32	0xa4686a…
05-28 20:23:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	29¢	$29	0xf5b043…
05-28 20:23:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xe13b15…
05-28 20:23:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x8ce05e…
05-28 20:23:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x6c2c24…
05-28 20:23:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x1611a3…
05-28 20:23:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xc869d1…
05-28 20:23:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x034399…
05-28 20:22:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	208	40¢	$83	0x5a111f…
05-25 21:50:38	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1,593	87¢	$1,386	0xb5e578…
05-25 17:44:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	57¢	$103	0x52e11f…
05-25 17:37:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa10c68…
05-25 17:30:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	57¢	$85	0x3b0fe3…
05-25 17:14:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0xed045c…
05-25 17:14:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe69212…
05-25 17:12:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0xb3ba84…
05-25 13:56:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x1d6a3c…
05-25 13:53:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	57¢	$38	0xe0cf3a…
05-25 13:47:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	724	57¢	$413	0x55a385…
05-25 13:30:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	257	50¢	$128	0xf77fd9…
05-25 13:09:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0xe6531c…
05-25 13:09:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xa9a9a6…
05-25 13:03:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	72¢	$130	0xf7cd2a…
05-25 13:02:55	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	6,805	88¢	$5,989	0x237492…
04-17 13:32:08	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	65	87¢	$57	0x348415…
04-15 10:52:28	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	508	87¢	$440	0x832429…
04-15 10:30:36	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	136	91¢	$123	0xc490a7…
04-15 10:27:36	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	83	91¢	$76	0x6b1c3b…
04-15 10:17:42	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	79	91¢	$72	0x480927…
04-15 10:17:24	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xfc7965…
04-15 10:16:08	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	5,165	91¢	$4,700	0xfefd24…
04-12 09:04:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	234	45¢	$105	0x759b67…
04-12 09:03:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	2,019	45¢	$913	0xa67f66…
04-08 02:42:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	466	56¢	$260	0x646a31…
04-08 02:42:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0x158815…
04-08 02:42:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	600	56¢	$335	0x1ea1b7…
04-08 02:39:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	500	55¢	$275	0x25c37e…
04-08 02:32:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	1,001	59¢	$590	0x188626…
04-08 02:31:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xc7ded1…
04-08 02:31:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0x8dc849…
04-08 02:31:21	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x2fa271…