Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$7

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved (7d)

192

Trades (7d)

338

5,003 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$163

$1.93K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-25

last 11-01 06:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

65% 16% +$291

Politics

30% 13% +$90

Sports

3% 4% -$26

Tech

1% 29% +$3

Crypto

1% 18% -$2

Pop-Culture

0% 25% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 252 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?	Yes		+2	$0	36¢	$1	+$1	09-23 11:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes		+25	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	10-25 23:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mike Rogers by October 31, 2026?	2	$46	50	50	+0	open	—	10-08 07:08
Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?	7	$44	100	50	+50	Yes	+$42	09-15 02:54
Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in September?	3	$40	50	50	+0	No	+$40	10-10 02:36
will jio platforms ipo by july 31 2026 20260629175908106	6	$32	82	32	+50	No	+$31	07-12 13:34
Will Sanderson win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?	12	$32	136	136	+0	No	+$31	09-12 20:16
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?	4	$30	50	50	+0	open	—	10-20 12:51
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?	4	$30	50	50	+0	Yes	+$30	07-26 01:57
Will Catherine Parenteau reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?	5	$28	45	45	+0	open	—	09-20 01:40
Will Variational launch a token by November 30, 2026?	4	$27	41	41	+0	open	—	10-16 20:49
Will downtown LA's 100°F streak last exactly four days?	4	$23	100	50	+50	No	+$22	10-07 13:11
Will Amanda Bell be the WI-06 Democratic nominee?	4	$22	50	50	+0	No	+$21	08-12 02:18
will hyperliquid dip to 36 in august	4	$21	100	100	+0	No	+$19	08-07 03:42
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$20	50	50	+0	open	—	10-25 20:37
will hyperliquid reach 72 in august	3	$20	100	50	+50	Yes	+$19	08-19 19:19
will pete crow armstrong win a 2026 nl gold glove award	2	$16	50	50	+0	open	—	10-29 17:48
Does Ox Alpha belong to Safe Superintelligence?	2	$15	34	34	+0	No	+$14	08-24 18:44
Will Marcelo Crivella win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	2	$15	50	50	+0	No	+$15	08-21 18:43
trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260710184334567	3	$15	50	50	+0	Yes	+$14	07-30 08:44
Will Gimcheon Sangmu be relegated from the 2026 K-League?	3	$15	15	15	+0	open	—	09-13 20:47
Will Michal Uherčík win the 2026 Martin mayoral election?	3	$14	20	20	+0	Yes	+$14	10-25 02:11
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?	2	$14	50	50	+0	No	+$13	08-30 17:50
andrew tate released from custody by august 31 2026 20260728183326903	4	$14	50	50	+0	No	+$12	08-09 10:02
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?	4	$13	50	50	+0	No	+$12	07-23 12:35
Will Domingos Sávio win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	4	$13	30	30	+0	Yes	+$13	10-03 22:24
Will Helena da Asatur win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	7	$12	103	103	+0	No	+$12	10-04 21:13
Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes?	3	$12	50	50	+0	Yes	+$11	09-15 12:27
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	2	$12	44	44	+0	open	—	08-30 13:48
Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 in August?	4	$12	100	60	+40	No	+$10	08-25 15:02
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	5	$11	16	16	+0	open	—	10-24 08:18
will hyperliquid dip to 48 in august	3	$11	60	50	+10	No	+$10	08-21 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 07:32:15	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" have a Metascore of at least 70?	No	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x1ea6d3…
11-01 07:08:21	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" have a Metascore of at least 70?	No	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xf9a5c7…
11-01 06:44:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x3afed0…
11-01 06:39:13	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Indonesia this month?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa83f53…
11-01 05:32:33	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xe40e21…
11-01 05:32:25	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xc01b25…
11-01 05:00:25	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Mexico this month?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xffa753…
11-01 05:00:25	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Philippines this month?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8d0e38…
11-01 05:00:25	Will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur in Peru this month?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x3c956a…
11-01 03:54:57	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the June meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x9156ec…
11-01 03:46:10	Will Cam Smith win a 2026 AL Gold Glove Award?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xeeb98b…
11-01 02:33:34	Will NYC have more than 5.75 inches of precipitation in November?	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x9e8b83…
11-01 01:30:40	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the cash rate target by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x5c02c8…
10-31 23:27:45	Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xfeea3c…
10-31 23:18:54	Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 300m?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x6b0932…
10-31 23:02:30	Will Democrats win fewer than 7 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xce2056…
10-31 23:01:43	Will Västerås SK finish 3rd in the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x7abdb5…
10-31 23:00:36	Will Democrats win 12 or more House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0x67d259…
10-31 23:00:36	Will Democrats win fewer than 7 House seats in Pennsylvania in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x499be0…
10-31 20:13:52	Will NYC have more than 5.75 inches of precipitation in November?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x48c977…
10-31 19:32:03	Will América de Cali be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x42d98f…
10-31 18:11:18	Will November 2026 be the 4th or lower on record?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa3c1c9…
10-31 18:02:16	Will US births in 2026 be between 3.50 million and 3.53 million?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x2eccf0…
10-31 17:57:15	Will the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0xda4e19…
10-31 17:51:07	Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Texas in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xaae9b7…
10-31 17:50:12	Will Falkenbergs FF be promoted to Allsvenskan (Sweden)?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xc0f957…
10-31 16:15:27	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the cash rate target by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xfcc883…
10-31 16:07:10	Will 1win launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xe03f88…
10-31 16:01:21	Will 1win launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x016ec6…
10-31 16:01:19	Will 1win launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x455372…
10-31 15:09:57	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xf9c09d…
10-31 15:04:42	Will Lyn be promoted to Norway Eliteserien?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x4c8170…
10-31 14:21:15	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x04f001…
10-31 12:31:01	Will London have less than 35mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x67a1d6…
10-31 12:27:03	Will London have between 45-60mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xeaaefe…
10-31 11:30:43	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be less than $303,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x64cf73…
10-31 11:17:18	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the cash rate target by 25 bps at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x86a5ea…
10-31 11:15:22	Will Femi Olaniyi win the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0xf6f0fb…
10-31 10:58:31	Will Universidad de Concepción keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Chile Primera?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x1f5a09…
10-31 10:47:52	Will Unión La Calera keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Chile Primera?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xccdcdd…
10-31 10:29:04	Will Universidad de Concepción keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Chile Primera?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x83b368…
10-31 10:29:01	Will Universidad de Concepción keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Chile Primera?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xb0e12a…
10-31 10:28:27	Will Unión La Calera keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Chile Primera?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x95557b…
10-31 10:28:25	Will Unión La Calera keep the most clean sheets in the 2026 Chile Primera?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xad3783…
10-31 07:30:19	Bill Maher visits White House again in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x77471a…
10-31 06:43:52	Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xbe627d…
10-31 04:57:19	Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol by November 30?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xc3cf33…
10-31 03:42:58	Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xa97518…
10-31 01:46:01	Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $423,000 on December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x8e1cfd…
10-31 01:32:12	will trump speak to reza pahlavi by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0xbc8d54…
10-31 00:59:37	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x9d600c…
10-31 00:59:36	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3d7f1f…
10-31 00:59:34	will trump speak to yoon suk yeol by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x69e4f9…
10-31 00:59:24	will trump speak to nicolas maduro by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd4ac4b…
10-31 00:21:22	Will Dundalk finish 8th in the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x4e1589…
10-31 00:21:22	Will Waterford finish 8th in the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x39c8a9…
10-30 23:05:42	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa35635…
10-30 23:02:58	Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x0427f7…
10-30 22:53:39	Will the Bank of Japan decrease the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2f6f8a…
10-30 22:45:31	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x060710…
10-30 22:22:10	Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x7b990b…
10-30 22:15:10	Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x71f076…
10-30 21:16:45	Will Okta (OKTA) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xdd50a4…
10-30 20:47:30	Will Jaques Wagner be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x041b47…
10-30 20:27:49	Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x290d17…
10-30 20:27:48	Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xba8ec3…
10-30 20:27:48	Will the Bank of Japan increase the uncollateralized overnight call rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x637634…
10-30 19:15:28	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 900,000 and 1,000,000?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xa7f0be…
10-30 19:08:27	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	1¢	$0	0xee4db0…
10-30 18:39:13	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x41765d…
10-30 18:39:09	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xb2d4ed…
10-30 18:00:54	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $280 end of October?	No	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0xc951d5…
10-30 15:54:58	will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the uptspt by november 30 2026	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x7c94b7…
10-30 15:54:37	will there be at least 4600 measles cases in the uptspt by november 30 2026	No	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x812501…
10-30 15:49:54	will there be at least 4600 measles cases in the uptspt by november 30 2026	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf12e7a…
10-30 15:13:42	Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x812560…
10-30 15:03:49	Will Jaques Wagner be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xf4d08c…
10-30 14:57:51	Will the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) win the most seats in the next Uttar Pradesh Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x840ae9…
10-30 14:40:07	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be at least $6.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x5d11dd…
10-30 14:40:06	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be at least $6.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x4bbd02…
10-30 14:17:55	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0xddb22c…
10-30 12:33:58	Will Jaques Wagner be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x008f4f…
10-30 12:18:16	Will 1win launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x791068…
10-30 11:35:34	Will the next Israeli government hold between 70 and 72 seats?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x1c2515…
10-30 10:41:48	Will Lugano finish first in UECL league phase?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x403b68…
10-30 10:25:15	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd064e3…
10-30 08:43:37	Will Naheem Balogun win the 2027 Lagos State gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x690b26…
10-30 07:46:16	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in November?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x602b72…
10-30 07:05:39	Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x9443a5…
10-30 06:36:19	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x82913b…
10-30 06:03:22	Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xdca083…
10-30 05:36:36	Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x053ce6…
10-30 05:34:46	Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0xb9cdad…
10-30 05:34:46	Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x0c1205…
10-30 05:34:45	Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xf922e5…
10-30 05:34:45	Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xc815bd…
10-30 03:50:03	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbddc9b…
10-30 03:22:52	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be at least $6.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x69f9e0…
10-30 03:22:49	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be at least $6.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x875c4e…
10-30 03:22:48	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be at least $6.00T at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xab0f55…