(anonymous) 0xd48714…86a674 Create alert
bot 24W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$467
Unrealized P&L
+$57
Hit rate
66.6%
Resolved
1,961
Trades
5,376
lifetime
Volume
$2.03K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$61
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-25
last 11-06 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Other
65% 16% +$310
Politics
30% 14% +$184
Sports
3% 4% -$26
Tech
1% 26% +$1
Crypto
1% 20% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 25% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 252 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government? Yes +50 $0 21¢ $10 +$10 11-01 20:08
Will the next Israeli government hold between 70 and 72 seats? Yes +50 $0 12¢ $6 +$6 10-30 11:35
Will the Fed Pause-Pause-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +38 $0 14¢ $5 +$5 10-01 06:18
Will there be 3 or more government shutdowns by December 31, 2027? Yes +35 $0 14¢ $5 +$5 11-05 01:53
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? Yes +33 $0 10¢ $3 +$3 09-18 17:51
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%? Yes +25 $0 11¢ $3 +$3 10-30 05:36
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting? Yes +25 $0 10¢ $3 +$3 11-04 05:30
Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? Yes +21 -$1 12¢ $2 +$3 10-30 23:02
Will XRP reach $1.80 in November? Yes +50 $0 4¢ $2 +$2 11-05 21:15
Will Zumretay Arkin win the 2026 Laurier—Sainte-Marie by-election? Yes — +34 $0 6¢ $2 +$2 11-05 22:37
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in November? Yes +50 $0 4¢ $2 +$1 11-06 01:44
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30? Yes +50 $0 3¢ $2 +$1 11-05 03:30
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 300m? Yes +24 $0 6¢ $1 +$1 10-31 23:18
Will the Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election? Yes +41 $0 3¢ $1 +$1 11-05 07:41
will trump speak to reza pahlavi by november 30 2026 Yes +39 $0 3¢ $1 +$1 10-31 01:32
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in October? Yes +6 -$1 20¢ $1 +$2 10-05 10:03
Will Podemos win the most seats in the Senate in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +50 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 11-04 04:07
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No — +50 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 11-06 00:36
Will Matt Weston win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? Yes — +50 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 10-28 01:52
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? Yes +48 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 11-03 19:26
Will "The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time" have a Metascore of at least 60? No +50 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 11-04 17:42
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in September 2026 be at least 0.6%? Yes +20 -$1 4¢ $1 +$2 11-05 10:27
Will Flávio Bolsonaro return to Brazil by November 30, 2026? Yes +49 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 11-05 20:03
Josh Shapiro Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30? Yes +50 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-05 03:09
Will "The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time" have a Metascore of at least 90? No +50 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 11-04 17:52
Will "I Play Rocky" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +19 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 11-05 14:46
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 10-13 12:19
Will Josh Kerr win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award? Yes +25 $0 2¢ $0 +$1 10-28 02:44
Will "The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time" have a Metascore of at least 80? No +25 -$1 2¢ $0 +$1 11-04 19:46
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30? Yes +50 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-05 23:16