Accomplished-Stain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$85

Unrealized P&L

-$47

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

Trades

4,265

lifetime

Volume

$353.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

$553

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 05-31 12:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

42% 100% +$19

Other

36% 75% +$65

Crypto

23% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No		-513	$-443	92¢	$-474	$-31	05-31 12:28
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?	No		-90	$-64	88¢	$-79	$-16	05-31 12:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	23	$15.2K	8,319	8,319	+0	open	—	03-27 19:59
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	90	$9.7K	6,529	5,812	+717	open	—	01-30 23:30
will uae strike iran by march 31	21	$8.3K	4,843	4,843	+0	open	—	03-29 14:50
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	3	$8.0K	8,200	0	+8,200	open	—	02-19 09:44
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	26	$7.8K	4,905	5,491	-586	open	—	01-29 16:08
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	10	$7.7K	4,209	4,209	+0	open	—	02-03 00:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	17	$7.7K	4,027	4,080	-52	open	—	05-29 19:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	63	$7.6K	4,125	5,288	-1,163	open	—	05-29 20:52
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	66	$7.5K	5,880	5,880	+0	open	—	02-19 02:05
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	21	$7.4K	3,923	3,923	+0	open	—	02-19 09:34
will bahrain strike iran by march 31	20	$7.3K	3,770	4,174	-403	open	—	03-31 06:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	25	$6.8K	4,928	2,092	+2,836	open	—	04-30 19:52
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	23	$6.7K	3,597	3,574	+23	open	—	03-31 08:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	30	$6.3K	2,813	3,838	-1,025	open	—	04-30 23:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	55	$5.5K	3,099	3,099	+0	open	—	05-25 11:59
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	28	$4.5K	2,839	3,105	-266	open	—	01-29 16:14
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	13	$4.3K	2,424	2,424	+0	open	—	03-31 17:20
us forces enter iran by march 7	24	$4.3K	2,247	2,247	+0	open	—	03-07 18:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	24	$4.2K	2,070	2,410	-341	open	—	05-15 21:32
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	48	$4.0K	2,060	2,381	-322	open	—	03-31 16:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	20	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-25 08:43
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	5	$3.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-01 07:34
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	16	$3.8K	2,154	1,955	+200	open	—	03-29 08:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	8	$3.7K	2,320	1,418	+902	open	—	04-30 19:15
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	5	$3.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	03-09 19:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	7	$3.5K	1,900	1,789	+111	open	—	05-27 10:43
will qatar strike iran by march 31	19	$3.4K	1,895	1,895	+0	open	—	03-30 19:36
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	1	$3.0K	0	3,304	-3,304	open	—	05-31 12:27
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	9	$2.9K	1,597	1,597	+0	open	—	03-30 17:14
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	02-22 23:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 12:28:33	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	No	SELL	44	82¢	$36	0xcc3d1e…
05-31 12:28:32	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0xd71eb7…
05-31 12:28:28	Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?	No	SELL	90	71¢	$64	0x8b2d18…
05-31 12:28:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	400	98¢	$391	0xf588ef…
05-31 12:28:23	Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	513	86¢	$443	0x9d9928…
05-31 12:28:16	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	610	96¢	$584	0x09c964…
05-31 12:27:39	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?	No	SELL	1,058	97¢	$1,029	0x664015…
05-31 12:27:36	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,342	99¢	$1,326	0x1d3d60…
05-31 12:27:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,726	94¢	$1,622	0x71b00b…
05-31 12:27:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,786	98¢	$1,751	0x2159fa…
05-31 12:27:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	2,000	98¢	$1,970	0x10f8b8…
05-31 12:27:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	2,264	97¢	$2,197	0x42d7fd…
05-31 12:27:15	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	3,304	92¢	$3,040	0x09ffe8…
05-31 11:59:20	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x4c1350…
05-31 10:25:11	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0xf1dc50…
05-31 06:05:01	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xe09fb5…
05-31 06:03:42	Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xbab237…
05-31 05:51:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xb921d5…
05-31 05:40:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$194	0x0ee112…
05-31 04:36:30	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xc37757…
05-30 21:07:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xc3956e…
05-30 21:07:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	178	89¢	$158	0x40c748…
05-30 03:14:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	81¢	$49	0xd88c38…
05-29 22:30:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	140	73¢	$102	0x9de7e3…
05-29 20:52:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	622	100¢	$621	0xbd6394…
05-29 19:28:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0953fb…
05-29 19:08:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	4,080	100¢	$4,076	0x652054…
05-29 16:22:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0xba50e9…
05-29 16:04:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcd910e…
05-29 15:59:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe9af25…
05-29 15:43:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfebf30…
05-29 15:41:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x399e89…
05-29 15:04:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	1,766	98¢	$1,731	0xb9bc6f…
05-29 14:18:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb364c0…
05-29 14:12:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x576db0…
05-29 13:52:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xbbe1c9…
05-29 13:31:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xea66f5…
05-29 12:51:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x9c1957…
05-29 10:22:07	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x1ff2ca…
05-29 09:42:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0ad43f…
05-29 09:41:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x55fb2d…
05-29 08:45:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	255	100¢	$255	0x92a0b0…
05-29 08:09:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x82ad23…
05-27 21:30:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	1,428	100¢	$1,421	0xd116bf…
05-27 14:00:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $92 in May?	No	SELL	315	100¢	$313	0xa7ac7f…
05-27 10:43:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	1,157	100¢	$1,155	0x87fe68…
05-27 09:22:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	288	100¢	$287	0x9da71d…
05-27 09:07:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	219	100¢	$219	0xc51ac0…
05-27 07:51:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	118	100¢	$118	0x80598f…
05-27 07:43:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$6	0x2de17c…
05-27 02:58:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	89	98¢	$88	0x43453e…
05-27 02:58:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	169	98¢	$166	0x9968fa…
05-27 02:58:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x1cdb68…
05-26 17:47:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x2b3297…
05-26 16:51:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xea2fa4…
05-26 15:21:04	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x9c599c…
05-26 14:04:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x582c40…
05-26 14:04:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	140	88¢	$123	0x239d75…
05-26 14:03:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x4702f1…
05-26 13:55:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x085286…
05-26 06:32:39	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $96 in May?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x5e8c1f…
05-25 22:30:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$396	0x5343ce…
05-25 21:40:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?	Yes	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0x6c0483…
05-25 11:59:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	2,611	99¢	$2,585	0x0a71d9…
05-25 08:28:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x532e24…
05-25 07:56:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	438	99¢	$434	0xc1a0fe…
05-25 02:24:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	344	98¢	$337	0x29442f…
05-24 19:48:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x20967e…
05-24 06:49:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	600	95¢	$571	0xc0b26e…
05-24 04:57:20	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	200	68¢	$136	0xf09c8e…
05-24 03:29:33	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	174	68¢	$119	0xbb4425…
05-24 03:27:02	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x33ad54…
05-24 03:26:22	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0xadb48a…
05-24 03:26:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xeebe6a…
05-24 03:25:57	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	69¢	$18	0x08ca02…
05-24 03:24:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	68¢	$137	0xeb6dfb…
05-24 03:24:32	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0xa05786…
05-23 23:22:07	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	93	82¢	$76	0xd31157…
05-23 23:20:42	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	75	82¢	$61	0x0ad653…
05-23 23:19:16	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	150	82¢	$124	0x8a84d9…
05-23 23:18:50	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	150	83¢	$124	0x1590fc…
05-23 23:18:16	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x5af0d4…
05-23 23:17:17	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x1bf6e1…
05-23 23:16:40	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xe393dd…
05-23 18:27:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x049f1b…
05-23 12:49:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xce5d1a…
05-23 12:32:17	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2a73e1…
05-23 10:58:01	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xb44108…
05-23 10:00:50	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xef1ce1…
05-23 09:33:00	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x962578…
05-23 08:56:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x41994e…
05-23 08:00:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x183a5f…
05-23 05:38:16	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	300	59¢	$178	0xb11140…
05-22 18:31:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	315	100¢	$315	0xe3be9f…
05-22 18:30:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9e7b1b…
05-22 17:18:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x785da6…
05-22 16:43:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	259	100¢	$258	0x7f42c1…
05-22 16:38:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x25277e…
05-22 16:23:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4e90c4…
05-22 14:00:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x589ead…