Lasting-Hash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$8.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-08 08:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Politics

33% 0% $-2

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	7	$458	236	236	+0	No	$-2	05-08 20:03
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$309	281	281	+0	open	—	04-12 15:22
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	4	$301	152	152	+0	open	—	04-29 22:05
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	5	$300	161	161	+0	open	—	04-13 20:03
will sepp straka win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$289	147	147	+0	open	—	04-07 07:19
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$280	142	142	+0	open	—	04-09 01:02
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	6	$247	211	211	+0	open	—	03-25 03:40
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	5	$207	105	105	+0	open	—	03-31 22:22
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	5	$182	177	177	+0	open	—	03-28 04:00
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	2	$179	94	94	+0	open	—	04-02 22:18
nba den mem 2026 01 25 total 222pt5	3	$176	93	93	+0	open	—	03-17 10:48
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	2	$174	105	105	+0	open	—	03-24 08:30
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$170	87	87	+0	open	—	03-25 09:42
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	3	$165	85	85	+0	open	—	04-03 00:53
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$164	101	101	+0	open	—	03-23 06:48
bitcoin above 76k on march 16	2	$163	84	83	+1	open	—	03-16 13:25
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	4	$160	112	112	+0	open	—	04-14 06:13
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	2	$159	81	81	+0	open	—	04-16 12:46
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	2	$158	80	80	+0	open	—	03-24 04:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$158	86	86	+0	open	—	04-20 23:59
Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	3	$158	80	80	+0	open	—	04-20 16:26
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	2	$157	80	80	+0	open	—	04-22 07:31
will the uk join the board of peace	2	$156	79	79	+0	open	—	03-30 21:35
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$156	82	82	+0	open	—	03-31 04:53
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 340 359	3	$156	80	80	+0	open	—	03-30 07:40
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$155	80	80	+0	open	—	03-29 04:56
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 300 319	2	$154	78	78	+0	open	—	03-30 12:53
will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	3	$154	83	83	+0	open	—	03-26 20:57
will kuwait strike iran by march 31	2	$152	78	78	+0	open	—	03-23 16:55
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	3	$150	84	84	+0	open	—	04-03 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 08:23:31	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0xcc13b8…
05-19 12:17:35	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xe92de4…
05-19 12:17:35	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x8b025a…
05-19 12:17:35	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x200a2e…
05-19 05:24:52	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x2a038d…
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	No	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xd63777…
05-13 06:37:55	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xc41371…
05-12 13:41:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	54	95¢	$51	0xf2dfd5…
05-12 13:41:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x6bde4d…
05-12 09:21:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	74	95¢	$70	0xe1e5f2…
05-10 14:27:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	4¢	$3	0xf1cc53…
05-10 12:32:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x9aaff3…
05-10 12:32:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x571489…
05-09 16:00:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	3¢	$3	0x043961…
05-09 14:36:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	4¢	$3	0x513e73…
05-08 20:03:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	73	97¢	$71	0xc6ea8d…
05-08 18:28:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xd46774…
05-08 12:34:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	74	96¢	$71	0x01f7ab…
05-08 10:18:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x1c326a…
05-08 10:18:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x938c28…
05-08 06:35:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	81	97¢	$79	0x8a7324…
05-08 06:34:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	81	97¢	$79	0x5d849b…
05-07 22:18:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	78	96¢	$75	0x27ab33…
05-07 22:18:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x156adf…
05-07 22:17:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	82	96¢	$79	0x686179…
05-06 22:26:49	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	168	2¢	$3	0xc93c8e…
05-06 21:09:51	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x24ac8c…
05-06 21:09:37	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x04737b…
05-06 21:09:35	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0xcbfde7…
05-05 17:41:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0x2ac02e…
05-05 14:44:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xb01332…
05-03 14:28:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	72	96¢	$69	0x5c2491…
05-03 13:09:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0x1bc30b…
04-30 19:42:12	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x4131df…
04-30 19:42:12	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x000296…
04-30 15:18:44	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$72	0xfe57b8…
04-30 09:00:40	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	138	2¢	$2	0x5d2b52…
04-30 07:47:20	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0xe361fe…
04-30 07:47:20	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xb92067…
04-30 07:47:20	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	66	2¢	$1	0x9e1627…
04-29 22:05:24	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x96ad74…
04-29 19:12:36	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x89a796…
04-29 14:27:50	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x5f6349…
04-29 10:08:06	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x25bf9d…
04-27 20:34:52	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	161	2¢	$3	0x4de753…
04-27 18:46:02	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	161	2¢	$2	0x6ae449…
04-27 05:23:28	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	6¢	$5	0x1a5424…
04-27 03:06:08	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	8¢	$6	0xade3e0…
04-26 22:08:12	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	199	1¢	$3	0x09f2b1…
04-26 19:23:24	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x7f0d20…
04-26 19:23:24	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0x241e95…
04-26 13:31:18	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	73	98¢	$71	0x75bcac…
04-26 12:01:16	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$71	0x91af29…
04-25 15:33:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	74	99¢	$74	0x2544a6…
04-25 13:11:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0x0ec347…
04-25 04:16:22	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x1a5ae4…
04-25 01:49:36	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xd5bef5…
04-24 13:54:16	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb5dee7…
04-24 13:54:16	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	67	98¢	$66	0x9fd468…
04-24 07:20:04	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$71	0x745b97…
04-23 18:17:06	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	176	1¢	$2	0x851fa0…
04-23 18:17:06	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x22a8d9…
04-23 17:06:14	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0xc545a3…
04-23 17:06:14	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x8f33ea…
04-23 17:06:14	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$1	0x752d5f…
04-23 03:16:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	42	6¢	$3	0x964ca8…
04-23 00:59:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	42	6¢	$3	0x3dc8b4…
04-22 20:14:28	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	1¢	$1	0xc18b17…
04-22 17:15:40	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x7c788a…
04-22 17:15:40	Will Iran strike Italy by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x599323…
04-22 12:33:40	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x849552…
04-22 12:33:40	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x63e3e3…
04-22 09:46:52	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	2¢	$1	0x49ea9c…
04-22 07:31:44	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0x9bb9aa…
04-22 04:38:58	Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x3b2203…
04-21 09:59:52	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x7beaf5…
04-21 07:22:26	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0x5a6232…
04-20 23:59:54	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	86	91¢	$79	0x753c5a…
04-20 20:14:30	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	86	92¢	$79	0xe64eb3…
04-20 16:26:14	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0xb79209…
04-20 16:26:14	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x61689c…
04-20 13:48:46	Will Jordan strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xfcd0e5…
04-20 05:21:20	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0x5e3d61…
04-20 01:51:52	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x5b4234…
04-20 01:51:52	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x163566…
04-16 12:46:18	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	SELL	81	98¢	$80	0xe228c4…
04-16 10:39:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	BUY	81	98¢	$80	0xab7891…
04-15 07:19:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd73fe1…
04-15 07:19:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	70	99¢	$69	0x086273…
04-15 07:10:56	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0x00b024…
04-14 06:13:53	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x0dc131…
04-14 04:53:07	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xc7d1ce…
04-13 20:03:25	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xdbec40…
04-13 20:03:25	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	SELL	65	94¢	$61	0xc6b2f2…
04-13 17:57:55	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	No	BUY	76	94¢	$72	0x8db0bb…
04-13 03:46:19	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xb0294d…
04-13 00:55:29	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0x9813a5…
04-12 15:22:21	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	129	6¢	$8	0x31e8e0…
04-12 12:45:33	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xd6865b…
04-12 12:45:33	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	99	6¢	$6	0xbcbe2f…