New-Government — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

126

lifetime

Volume

$617

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 00:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down		+6	$5	72¢	$4	$-1	05-06 00:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-05 09:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$11	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$11	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-05 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-05 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 03:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$9	14	0	+14	Up	$-4	05-05 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$7	0	10	-10	open	—	05-05 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$6	0	9	-9	Up	+$6	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$6	0	9	-9	Down	$-3	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$6	0	10	-10	Up	$-4	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$6	0	10	-10	open	—	05-05 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$6	0	10	-10	open	—	05-05 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$6	0	9	-9	open	—	05-05 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$6	0	10	-10	open	—	05-05 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$5	0	10	-10	open	—	05-05 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$5	9	1	+8	open	—	05-05 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 23:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x27c392…
05-05 23:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x681e49…
05-05 23:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xc1b6a8…
05-05 23:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x0378bd…
05-05 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x4d9a8b…
05-05 23:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xdcfe0a…
05-05 23:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xd7d9a5…
05-05 22:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xa83b35…
05-05 22:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5cf2c6…
05-05 22:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x7637cc…
05-05 22:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x659f0f…
05-05 21:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x4710a9…
05-05 21:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x98f6a9…
05-05 21:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x5e0287…
05-05 21:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x40ecdb…
05-05 21:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x30b1a6…
05-05 21:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9e2940…
05-05 20:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x362326…
05-05 20:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9d3bda…
05-05 20:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x228471…
05-05 19:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x0b730e…
05-05 16:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x6d2237…
05-05 16:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd06180…
05-05 12:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x446253…
05-05 12:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x11ed81…
05-05 11:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0x73b593…
05-05 11:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	48¢	$1	0x9eba28…
05-05 11:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf4fdd1…
05-05 10:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x4ec741…
05-05 10:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xf5c9a7…
05-05 09:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x587fba…
05-05 09:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x2ebdf0…
05-05 09:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xb5caa6…
05-05 09:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb43645…
05-05 09:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x884253…
05-05 09:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x87fa10…
05-05 09:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x094d59…
05-05 09:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8299b3…
05-05 08:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x2d4fcc…
05-05 08:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xf07712…
05-05 08:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x13d01c…
05-05 08:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x085c7d…
05-05 08:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x69366d…
05-05 08:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0xafbde7…
05-05 08:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x3395f7…
05-05 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf4702e…
05-05 07:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfae8e7…
05-05 07:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xe4bf78…
05-05 07:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x75bf82…
05-05 07:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x7e2690…
05-05 07:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xef5591…
05-05 07:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xa7394c…
05-05 07:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa10119…
05-05 07:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x272ddf…
05-05 07:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xb8e313…
05-05 06:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x20ff1b…
05-05 06:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x2f1962…
05-05 06:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9f0675…
05-05 06:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9025bb…
05-05 06:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x25760f…
05-05 06:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4472fb…
05-05 06:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0fe2f0…
05-05 06:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9e9ad8…
05-05 06:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x5ec59b…
05-05 05:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x3a1844…
05-05 05:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x15dba8…
05-05 05:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6553d1…
05-05 05:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x762ee8…
05-05 05:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1cf8ff…
05-05 05:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x810523…
05-05 05:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xd562de…
05-05 05:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1bd9ba…
05-05 05:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xc52560…
05-05 05:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf60dad…
05-05 05:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x11c1b2…
05-05 05:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2b6792…
05-05 05:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xcdf3d5…
05-05 05:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x710611…
05-05 04:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x9e21da…
05-05 04:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x482f60…
05-05 04:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x052406…
05-05 04:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x870a11…
05-05 04:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x08dd0e…
05-05 04:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc66205…
05-05 04:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x8911ef…
05-05 04:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7a1161…
05-05 04:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	67¢	$6	0xae225f…
05-05 04:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0xce041c…
05-05 04:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4f355e…
05-05 04:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0xb4682d…
05-05 04:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xf3f4c5…
05-05 04:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xcbfab6…
05-05 04:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xa4ada4…
05-05 04:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc9be39…
05-05 04:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xdc5964…
05-05 04:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfa7037…
05-05 03:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x6c2b59…
05-05 03:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x4458e4…
05-05 03:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xbab3ec…
05-05 03:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcf0fc2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	104	$6.91K	397	05-06 00:59
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	102	$6.98K	403	05-06 00:59
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	100	$14.1K	527	05-06 00:59
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	96	$4.87K	425	05-06 00:59
Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42	95	$901	332	05-06 00:59
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	92	$4.41K	375	05-06 00:59
Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed	91	$1.37K	162	05-06 00:59
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	90	$11.0K	483	05-06 00:59