Gleeful-Midden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$3.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$203

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-10 00:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

45% — —

Other

43% 33% $-0

Sports

11% 100% +$0

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-69	$-59	88¢	$-60	$-1	05-27 20:26
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	+55	$54	98¢	$54	$-0	06-06 17:45
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	-52	$-50	98¢	$-51	$-1	06-05 05:55
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+69	$26	38¢	$26	$-0	06-10 00:15
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	+56	$21	20¢	$11	$-10	05-28 01:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	7	$223	142	142	+0	open	—	06-04 16:09
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	8	$210	113	113	+0	open	—	05-29 00:15
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	16	$177	486	431	+55	open	—	06-07 11:41
Will Alberta join the US?	25	$148	748	748	+0	open	—	06-07 15:59
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	4	$146	49	101	-52	open	—	06-05 05:55
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$141	153	153	+0	No	+$0	04-06 17:52
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	10	$132	141	141	+0	open	—	04-25 19:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	5	$116	116	116	+0	open	—	05-30 23:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	5	$115	178	178	+0	open	—	06-06 08:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	2	$114	98	98	+0	open	—	06-09 01:58
Iran Nuke before 2027?	4	$112	62	62	+0	open	—	06-08 20:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$112	59	59	+0	open	—	05-22 02:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	5	$112	63	63	+0	open	—	06-09 17:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	3	$112	81	81	+0	open	—	06-02 07:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$111	56	56	+0	open	—	05-26 19:04
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	12	$100	242	242	+0	Yes	$-0	04-23 16:05
Netanyahu out by April 30?	5	$99	51	51	+0	open	—	04-09 00:51
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$74	38	38	+0	open	—	05-14 21:25
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	3	$73	38	38	+0	open	—	04-20 18:47
Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	6	$68	70	70	+0	open	—	03-28 05:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	2	$68	35	35	+0	open	—	05-19 08:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$68	35	35	+0	open	—	04-07 00:14
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	05-15 03:57
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$67	38	38	+0	open	—	04-22 07:59
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	03-31 19:11
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	04-02 12:17
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	2	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	05-17 06:31
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$66	35	35	+0	open	—	04-22 08:33
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	03-22 07:36
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	3	$66	34	34	+0	open	—	03-20 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 00:15:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	38¢	$26	0xc4b0b1…
06-09 17:23:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	43	88¢	$38	0xe7f884…
06-09 17:23:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x01e65d…
06-09 17:23:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x7df326…
06-09 16:09:03	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0xf31dde…
06-09 16:09:03	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x72738e…
06-09 01:58:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	SELL	98	58¢	$57	0xa328fa…
06-08 22:09:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	98	58¢	$57	0xa2f1bf…
06-08 20:09:37	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	57	91¢	$52	0xfe3eff…
06-08 18:48:46	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x3f0842…
06-08 15:37:10	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x76c751…
06-08 15:37:09	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xdb654b…
06-07 23:54:25	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	46	5¢	$2	0xf272d1…
06-07 19:40:55	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0x7af2ba…
06-07 15:59:22	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	55	4¢	$2	0xa8f794…
06-07 15:59:22	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	37	4¢	$2	0x949627…
06-07 14:41:55	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	92	4¢	$4	0xdb19be…
06-07 11:41:18	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	65	3¢	$2	0x59ebc9…
06-07 07:31:45	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	65	4¢	$2	0xbb6fda…
06-06 17:45:40	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0xa11e83…
06-06 17:45:40	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x622b02…
06-06 13:50:04	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x2a3124…
06-06 08:59:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xec7694…
06-06 08:59:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	44	97¢	$43	0x2d4e8d…
06-06 05:16:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x631328…
06-06 02:19:45	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	143	4¢	$6	0xb655f6…
06-05 22:11:46	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	143	4¢	$5	0xd63d7a…
06-05 13:34:15	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	57	5¢	$3	0xea016f…
06-05 13:34:15	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	55	5¢	$3	0xac8a83…
06-05 13:34:15	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	47	5¢	$2	0x6936df…
06-05 13:34:15	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x1a1ed0…
06-05 10:46:46	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	172	5¢	$9	0xb639a0…
06-05 05:55:55	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xd810de…
06-05 05:55:55	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x2ca23f…
06-05 02:44:19	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xc28ce7…
06-04 16:09:13	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0xebd3d3…
06-04 16:09:13	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	22	82¢	$18	0x30f542…
06-04 12:47:39	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	72	80¢	$58	0x7abab3…
06-04 01:15:07	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0xe4596e…
06-04 01:14:21	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x44e46c…
06-04 00:18:52	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd2b1ac…
06-04 00:18:52	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x0be417…
06-04 00:08:36	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0xd03e00…
06-04 00:08:36	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x5ee52b…
06-04 00:08:34	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x2df061…
06-04 00:08:34	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	39	5¢	$2	0x1b13c4…
06-03 21:29:03	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	116	5¢	$5	0x24978a…
06-03 17:18:18	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	34	2¢	$1	0xcd4a93…
06-03 17:18:18	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	44	2¢	$1	0x8b3886…
06-03 17:18:18	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	39	2¢	$1	0x1c3238…
06-03 17:18:18	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0x09631f…
06-03 13:16:44	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	155	2¢	$3	0xa298c1…
06-03 08:27:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	122	3¢	$3	0xd8e4b5…
06-03 04:10:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	122	3¢	$3	0xdf6828…
06-02 17:02:28	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xfd4df9…
06-02 17:02:28	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	22¢	$11	0xa51bc1…
06-02 17:02:28	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	22¢	$9	0x1e54a4…
06-02 17:02:28	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x1094ca…
06-02 15:39:31	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	21¢	$30	0x69143b…
06-02 07:00:35	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	33	69¢	$23	0xd96448…
06-02 07:00:35	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	48	69¢	$33	0x00f987…
06-02 05:38:27	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	81	69¢	$56	0xace11e…
06-01 21:33:28	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x07d397…
06-01 21:33:26	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xd5e6c7…
06-01 00:29:02	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	98	4¢	$4	0xb13d17…
06-01 00:29:02	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x7d5a69…
06-01 00:29:02	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x138569…
05-31 21:17:31	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	174	4¢	$8	0xa4ce36…
05-31 18:29:24	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	46	4¢	$2	0xdd6e59…
05-31 18:29:24	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x8d0669…
05-31 18:29:24	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	64	4¢	$3	0x13f584…
05-31 14:59:52	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0x7fb523…
05-31 10:56:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0xb257f6…
05-31 10:56:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	51	74¢	$38	0x3bee97…
05-31 10:56:09	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x34f881…
05-31 07:36:34	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	70	78¢	$54	0xb9fce8…
05-31 02:59:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xce4c71…
05-31 01:38:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x38ed3b…
05-30 23:23:16	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xf87ac4…
05-30 23:23:16	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x4b9ca1…
05-30 23:23:16	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	75	50¢	$38	0x492f93…
05-30 23:23:16	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x3c4fa7…
05-30 19:11:30	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	116	50¢	$58	0x647b6c…
05-30 10:05:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	49¢	$26	0xa42561…
05-30 07:26:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	49¢	$26	0xd08e17…
05-30 05:17:15	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$50	0x7e5df2…
05-29 07:39:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0xde9110…
05-29 05:31:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0xf8f60b…
05-29 05:31:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x591dbf…
05-29 05:31:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	44	1¢	$1	0x57bf5e…
05-29 00:15:53	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xe10908…
05-29 00:15:53	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$42	0xa853cb…
05-29 00:15:53	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x18fbf1…
05-28 21:20:20	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0x2ad780…
05-28 20:26:35	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xc4d489…
05-28 20:26:21	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	93	4¢	$4	0xd62a43…
05-28 20:26:21	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0xc32f37…
05-28 16:14:47	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	160	4¢	$7	0xdbae85…
05-28 10:27:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xf3d71b…
05-28 10:27:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	49	91¢	$45	0x325d09…