Drab-Willow-Neck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

19,627

Trades

85,036

lifetime

Volume

$347.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$179

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 10-27 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 51% -$12,182

Other

7% 51% -$1,548

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 3488 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	—	+100	$90	98¢	$98	+$8	10-27 10:48
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	—	+72	$62	100¢	$72	+$10	10-27 10:48
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	—	+9	$8	98¢	$9	+$1	10-27 10:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	19	$342	409	+409	Up	-$83	10-14 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	21	$303	425	+425	Down	-$28	10-24 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	22	$303	425	+425	Down	-$28	10-10 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	32	$301	425	+425	Down	-$26	10-11 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	23	$299	400	+400	Down	-$49	10-10 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	36	$297	425	+425	Down	-$159	10-09 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	19	$282	411	+411	Down	-$7	10-21 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	25	$278	425	+425	Up	-$128	10-05 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	31	$277	419	+419	Down	-$8	10-10 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	33	$275	403	+403	Up	-$80	10-10 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	30	$274	424	+424	Up	-$25	10-10 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	26	$264	327	+327	Up	-$87	10-06 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	34	$261	415	+415	Down	-$55	10-24 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	34	$260	413	+413	Down	-$13	10-25 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	28	$260	404	+404	Up	+$3	10-27 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	20	$258	400	+400	Up	-$51	10-04 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	28	$256	399	+399	Down	-$86	10-06 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	29	$255	365	+365	Up	-$136	10-11 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	29	$251	342	+342	Up	-$51	10-25 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	34	$249	410	+410	Up	-$99	10-08 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	17	$249	400	+400	Up	-$99	10-23 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	31	$249	407	+407	Down	+$29	10-11 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	28	$248	328	+328	Up	-$120	10-15 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	40	$246	425	+425	Down	-$46	10-25 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	31	$242	411	+411	Down	-$106	10-10 01:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-21 09:15 UTC	17	$241	400	+400	Up	-$91	10-21 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	32	$239	400	+400	Down	+$11	10-10 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	21	$238	325	+325	Down	-$63	10-25 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	23	$236	364	+364	Down	-$126	10-11 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	44	$235	378	+378	Down	+$19	10-10 20:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:57:11	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xcd1bc5…
10-27 10:48:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x780bf9…
10-27 10:48:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7a3540…
10-27 10:48:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x596dc5…
10-27 10:48:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x41d7f2…
10-27 10:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xe365e0…
10-27 10:48:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x146cd3…
10-27 10:48:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xc8225a…
10-27 10:48:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x938995…
10-27 10:48:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xabc6f0…
10-27 10:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x537a74…
10-27 10:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x63e2bc…
10-27 10:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0xd3e9aa…
10-27 10:40:27	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xe8f3ff…
10-27 10:40:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x6cde65…
10-27 10:38:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x01979d…
10-27 10:36:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0xbcbf1d…
10-27 10:36:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xe8792d…
10-27 10:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x776710…
10-27 10:26:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x10a4b0…
10-27 09:55:15	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x131f8c…
10-27 09:55:12	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xf44511…
10-27 09:55:12	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xc0620a…
10-27 09:54:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x645ae6…
10-27 09:54:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x7b9a42…
10-27 09:53:59	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x65195c…
10-27 09:53:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0xd74947…
10-27 09:53:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xdbc71d…
10-27 09:53:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8bae44…
10-27 09:53:51	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x99da76…
10-27 09:52:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x511e5c…
10-27 09:50:15	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0xf6b3d4…
10-27 09:50:12	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x092cf3…
10-27 09:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x98a9c2…
10-27 09:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0xa6cb1d…
10-27 09:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x5e1c2f…
10-27 09:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x010dd0…
10-27 09:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xd95591…
10-27 09:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x784ef4…
10-27 09:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xff2c41…
10-27 09:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xcb7cd9…
10-27 09:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x980738…
10-27 09:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6731e7…
10-27 09:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x165269…
10-27 09:42:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xa8ca5d…
10-27 09:41:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc68128…
10-27 09:41:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcf0384…
10-27 09:41:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x4b61a0…
10-27 09:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x9afe22…
10-27 09:41:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xdbeacd…
10-27 09:41:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb157b6…
10-27 09:41:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x69f4ee…
10-27 09:41:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x463e33…
10-27 09:39:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x900653…
10-27 09:39:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb55fea…
10-27 09:39:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x7f9bc8…
10-27 09:27:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xf6b7b8…
10-27 09:27:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x4dff73…
10-27 09:26:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x224cb2…
10-27 09:26:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	87¢	$7	0x80ce7a…
10-27 09:26:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x419005…
10-27 09:25:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x1cecf8…
10-27 09:25:02	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x354e27…
10-27 09:18:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xf0d40e…
10-27 09:15:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0xa7cd49…
10-27 09:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf92426…
10-27 09:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0xa06c98…
10-27 08:55:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x574b4f…
10-27 08:55:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x46fbd6…
10-27 08:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x077456…
10-27 08:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x993ed2…
10-27 08:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0xd14704…
10-27 08:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xd0f953…
10-27 08:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x0ec320…
10-27 08:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xb10dd1…
10-27 08:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0xa2e91b…
10-27 08:39:05	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x924256…
10-27 08:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8b14d0…
10-27 08:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x245d93…
10-27 08:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xa91aec…
10-27 08:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x6d53ed…
10-27 08:27:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x8b7e71…
10-27 08:13:53	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x84cdc5…
10-27 08:13:09	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xeb4ad8…
10-27 08:12:15	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xa866df…
10-27 08:09:38	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x7aede5…
10-27 08:09:05	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xeb8cce…
10-27 08:09:02	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb751c4…
10-27 08:06:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x556470…
10-27 07:52:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x712c30…
10-27 07:51:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0xd05699…
10-27 07:51:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xb04630…
10-27 07:50:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xea68c4…
10-27 07:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x3bca02…
10-27 07:43:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x5675e8…
10-27 07:43:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x6768e3…
10-27 07:43:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x26e6ac…
10-27 07:42:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x5d10e2…
10-27 07:41:41	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd69c65…
10-27 07:41:41	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x46729c…