Drab-Willow-Neck — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$3.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved (7d)

1,106

Trades (7d)

5,737

92,989 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$34.6K

$396.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-22

last 11-06 01:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 51% -$15,697

Other

6% 51% -$1,548

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 3488 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	19	$342	409	+409	Up	-$83	10-14 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	21	$303	425	+425	Down	-$28	10-24 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	22	$303	425	+425	Down	-$28	10-10 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	32	$301	425	+425	Down	-$26	10-11 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	23	$299	400	+400	Down	-$49	10-10 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	36	$297	425	+425	Down	-$159	10-09 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	34	$286	402	+402	Down	-$42	10-28 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	19	$282	411	+411	Down	-$7	10-21 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	25	$278	425	+425	Up	-$128	10-05 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	31	$277	419	+419	Down	-$8	10-10 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	33	$275	403	+403	Up	-$80	10-10 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	28	$274	410	+410	Down	-$14	11-02 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	30	$274	424	+424	Up	-$25	10-10 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	20	$268	400	+400	Down	-$68	10-29 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	26	$264	327	+327	Up	-$87	10-06 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	34	$261	415	+415	Down	-$55	10-24 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	34	$260	413	+413	Down	-$13	10-25 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	28	$260	404	+404	Up	+$3	10-27 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	20	$258	400	+400	Up	-$51	10-04 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	28	$256	399	+399	Down	-$86	10-06 23:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	29	$255	365	+365	Up	-$136	10-11 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	29	$251	342	+342	Up	-$51	10-25 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	34	$249	410	+410	Up	-$99	10-08 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	17	$249	400	+400	Up	-$99	10-23 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	31	$249	407	+407	Down	+$29	10-11 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	28	$248	328	+328	Up	-$120	10-15 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	40	$246	425	+425	Down	-$46	10-25 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	31	$242	411	+411	Down	-$106	10-10 01:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-21 09:15 UTC	17	$241	400	+400	Up	-$91	10-21 09:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	32	$239	400	+400	Down	+$11	10-10 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 02:43:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x577b34…
11-06 02:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x88efd1…
11-06 02:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x6e9d99…
11-06 02:43:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x04c455…
11-06 02:43:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd0d639…
11-06 02:43:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xbbafb1…
11-06 02:43:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x3ff724…
11-06 02:40:10	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x69c9d7…
11-06 02:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x44a2db…
11-06 02:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x37e49f…
11-06 02:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x7a8913…
11-06 02:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x1f195d…
11-06 02:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xaa9e0a…
11-06 02:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x2596dd…
11-06 02:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xc9eaf8…
11-06 02:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0xede0e7…
11-06 02:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3d813d…
11-06 02:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x13d3f8…
11-06 02:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe1869a…
11-06 02:28:52	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x348388…
11-06 02:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0xa74ffb…
11-06 02:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x9c9a59…
11-06 02:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0xb0ac9d…
11-06 02:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x95d482…
11-06 02:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x3bedbf…
11-06 02:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xea6bbd…
11-06 02:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x994b30…
11-06 02:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x5f19ec…
11-06 02:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x05e888…
11-06 02:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc642c5…
11-06 02:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x12e0bf…
11-06 02:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x5f763b…
11-06 02:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x190c32…
11-06 02:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x828ac5…
11-06 02:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x798b01…
11-06 02:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe40ba9…
11-06 02:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0xe53da8…
11-06 02:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x03a42e…
11-06 02:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0xc4f349…
11-06 01:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xbee945…
11-06 01:58:46	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x6a6ff9…
11-06 01:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xf1b72c…
11-06 01:58:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xc1d3e4…
11-06 01:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x23527d…
11-06 01:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0xec8286…
11-06 01:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xaf2222…
11-06 01:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0x927a32…
11-06 01:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0x88d96c…
11-06 01:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x67a93b…
11-06 01:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x01de05…
11-06 01:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	77¢	$12	0x6d02e4…
11-06 01:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x57dd01…
11-06 01:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x501e5d…
11-06 01:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x02d136…
11-06 01:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xf6a24a…
11-06 01:13:57	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x63c446…
11-06 01:13:52	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xd8cf8f…
11-06 01:13:06	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x3988c0…
11-06 01:12:42	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x2c3580…
11-06 01:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x83696d…
11-06 01:12:07	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xfaceb8…
11-06 01:12:07	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$4	0x4eabe8…
11-06 00:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xe2db8b…
11-06 00:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x006a4b…
11-06 00:40:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x3eca3f…
11-06 00:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0xf8f8c1…
11-06 00:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x0a4364…
11-06 00:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xb54128…
11-06 00:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x4c3686…
11-06 00:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x382653…
11-06 00:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x212122…
11-06 00:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x7c1bec…
11-06 00:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xdc0a53…
11-06 00:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	23	37¢	$8	0x9460ce…
11-06 00:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x1f82a0…
11-06 00:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x5d7ec3…
11-06 00:17:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0da4a4…
11-06 00:13:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8b17e2…
11-06 00:13:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x2c6417…
11-06 00:13:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x14ad3d…
11-06 00:13:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7d196a…
11-06 00:13:37	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xcb6fc8…
11-06 00:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x501111…
11-06 00:03:07	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x01ce71…
11-06 00:02:31	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd187f3…
11-06 00:02:28	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x42d348…
11-06 00:01:52	Solana Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x1d3a7b…
11-05 23:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x077e54…
11-05 23:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x027bcd…
11-05 23:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbc11cb…
11-05 23:58:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe1bec5…
11-05 23:58:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xdc030a…
11-05 23:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x710dbd…
11-05 23:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xe28d46…
11-05 23:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x1a8b26…
11-05 23:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x963900…
11-05 23:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xad5a53…
11-05 23:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x0ee2a1…
11-05 23:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x6a2754…
11-05 23:57:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7982c3…