Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$74,294
Trades
5,253
Unique wallets
445
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
33¢
Latest NO mid
67¢
End date
2026-10-11
First seen
2026-10-10
last 10-11 00:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.1¢
(top1%: 16% YES on $39.5K
vs crowd: 14% YES on $80.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 100 | $4.8K | $38.7K | $33.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 126 | $3.9K | $17.7K | $13.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 166 | $2.6K | $12.5K | $9.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 53 | $202 | $129 | +$73 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 117 | $6.5K | $33.0K | $26.5K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 89 | $1.4K | $4.1K | $2.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 19 | $82 | $236 | $154 |
| Median | 17 | $12 | $87 | $75 |
| Below median | 58 | $217 | $743 | $526 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 42 | $448 | $622 | $174 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 46 | $1.1K | $3.8K | $2.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 57 | $1.8K | $26.4K | $24.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x664a…fc5f | Down | +15,816 | $14,566 | $14,566 | 68 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b96…d576 | Up | +10,000 | $565 | $565 | 2 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b96…d576 | Down | +10,000 | $9,009 | $9,009 | 39 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Vicious-Viability 0x7cd1…8d05 | Down | +3,053 | $2,777 | $2,777 | 108 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | +2,449 | $374 | $374 | 113 | 10-10 23:59 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | +2,440 | $383 | $383 | 109 | 10-10 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6c1…ad7e | Up | +2,385 | $205 | $205 | 1 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Down | +2,223 | $1,833 | $1,833 | 83 | 10-10 23:59 |
| Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Down | +2,194 | $1,818 | $1,818 | 87 | 10-10 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cbc…2f36 | Up | +2,020 | $313 | $313 | 11 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Pricey-Maker 0x94f4…77a2 | Up | +2,000 | $141 | $141 | 26 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Funny-Keyboarding 0xa665…01e3 | Down | +2,000 | $1,852 | $1,852 | 10 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x2903…5906 | Up | +1,936 | $319 | $319 | 61 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x2903…5906 | Down | +1,934 | $1,650 | $1,650 | 49 | 10-10 23:59 |
| Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb | Up | +1,930 | $422 | $422 | 34 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x2d2d…b69d | Up | +1,869 | $53 | $53 | 4 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x0835…ab92 | Up | +1,855 | $169 | $169 | 2 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Illiterate-Counterforce 0xd1ed…d7cb | Down | +1,715 | $1,511 | $1,511 | 31 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x074a…f0e0 | Up | +1,683 | $255 | $255 | 7 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Up | +1,544 | $378 | $378 | 11 | 10-10 23:56 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Down | +1,543 | $1,397 | $1,613 | 22 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Leading-Altar 0x86b9…6d67 | Up | +1,464 | $274 | $274 | 47 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Leading-Altar 0x86b9…6d67 | Down | +1,464 | $1,224 | $1,224 | 50 | 10-10 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x6523…dd10 | Up | +1,347 | $202 | $202 | 2 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6c1…ad7e | Down | +1,252 | $1,082 | $1,082 | 9 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Pricey-Maker 0x94f4…77a2 | Down | +1,203 | $1,038 | $1,038 | 49 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd80…87fc | Up | +1,182 | $119 | $119 | 34 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd81…2f35 | Down | +1,155 | $1,026 | $1,026 | 7 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd81…2f35 | Up | +1,136 | $97 | $97 | 2 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Lost-King 0x13a4…8f84 | Down | +1,132 | $968 | $968 | 58 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x943c…77c2 | Up | +1,067 | $94 | $94 | 7 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Fine-Processor 0x6fcb…13ab | Up | +1,033 | $68 | $68 | 12 | 10-10 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x071a…7400 | Down | +1,000 | $922 | $922 | 6 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e3e…f882 | Down | +995 | $550 | $584 | 10 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x477e…b508 | Down | +984 | $873 | $873 | 31 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Cool-Trip 0x9184…9f9f | Up | +984 | $243 | $243 | 25 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Cool-Trip 0x9184…9f9f | Down | +984 | $780 | $780 | 16 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x0835…ab92 | Down | +963 | $865 | $865 | 18 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x943c…77c2 | Down | +957 | $846 | $846 | 9 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd34…2fba | Up | +904 | $95 | $95 | 7 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Cautious-Toreador 0xe309…1433 | Up | +893 | $186 | $227 | 32 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Cautious-Toreador 0xe309…1433 | Down | +893 | $810 | $810 | 8 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf3d4…4b4f | Up | +859 | $134 | $134 | 37 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Whispered-Ambition 0x45ca…3cef | Down | +826 | $661 | $661 | 22 | 10-10 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd34…2fba | Down | +807 | $760 | $760 | 7 | 10-10 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | +789 | $685 | $685 | 51 | 10-10 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xdced…92c6 | Down | +771 | $663 | $663 | 51 | 10-10 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +770 | $162 | $162 | 33 | 10-10 23:59 |
| Good-Ptarmigan 0xb0c0…e88f | Up | +706 | $65 | $65 | 22 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x51db…3b7a | Up | +700 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-10 23:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +690 | $540 | $540 | 27 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x10d5…5388 | Down | +686 | $600 | $819 | 24 | 10-10 23:59 |
| Sad-Nation 0x29de…d9e6 | Up | +674 | $136 | $136 | 1 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f9c…fb0a | Up | +643 | $129 | $129 | 2 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Wan-Expert 0x61f2…4129 | Down | +640 | $320 | $320 | 25 | 10-10 23:47 |
| Descriptive-Spectrograph 0x672c…881b | Down | +638 | $567 | $567 | 2 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +635 | $473 | $473 | 28 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xed34…8780 | Up | +608 | $122 | $122 | 8 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4f29…1cf5 | Up | +563 | $61 | $61 | 16 | 10-10 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x1428…cf36 | Up | +560 | $45 | $45 | 8 | 10-10 23:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 00:00:42 | (anonymous) 0xf412…ce6d | Down | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xd82a3f… |
| 10-11 00:00:42 | (anonymous) 0xbe53…1707 | Down | BUY | 33 | 99¢ | $32 | 0xd82a3f… |
| 10-11 00:00:42 | (anonymous) 0x34de…6d75 | Up | BUY | 102 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd82a3f… |
| 10-11 00:00:42 | (anonymous) 0xf3d4…4b4f | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xd82a3f… |
| 10-10 23:59:36 | (anonymous) 0x7832…c913 | Down | SELL | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x401bad… |
| 10-10 23:59:36 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 51 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x401bad… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | Sweltering-Fashion 0x73e4…fb79 | Down | BUY | 150 | 99¢ | $148 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x223a…03ef | Up | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | Lone-Boon 0x4c04…7dca | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x093d…220e | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xf9ab41… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x2bd7…7d93 | Down | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | BUY | 56 | 99¢ | $55 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0xf3d4…4b4f | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Down | BUY | 40 | 97¢ | $39 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x51db…3b7a | Up | BUY | 700 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Down | BUY | 42 | 97¢ | $41 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf9ab41… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d3788… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | Crisp-Handlebar 0x0502…513b | Down | BUY | 61 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x073c…479a | Down | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x0912…8ae0 | Down | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | Lively-Sand 0xe41b…9397 | Down | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x01b6…1f07 | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x577a20… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x6feb…c082 | Down | BUY | 65 | 99¢ | $64 | 0x9d3788… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0xe052…4a2c | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x8146…3f0d | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x577a20… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0xd6d2…3f40 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0xbbe7…6114 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | BUY | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x9d3788… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x537e…53cb | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0x0795…b281 | Up | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | (anonymous) 0xdced…92c6 | Down | BUY | 56 | 99¢ | $55 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:04 | Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Down | BUY | 34 | 97¢ | $32 | 0x849506… |
| 10-10 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x093d…220e | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xcf5791… |
| 10-10 23:59:03 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Up | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x327c8f… |
| 10-10 23:59:03 | Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfb7b89… |
| 10-10 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xa928…8a33 | Up | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfb7b89… |
| 10-10 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcf5791… |
| 10-10 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x6feb…c082 | Down | BUY | 62 | 99¢ | $61 | 0xfb7b89… |
| 10-10 23:59:03 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcf5791… |
| 10-10 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xcd31…b56e | Down | BUY | 31 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x327c8f… |
| 10-10 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd24435… |
| 10-10 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x89d2e5… |
| 10-10 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x8146…3f0d | Down | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0xd24435… |
| 10-10 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xa928…8a33 | Up | BUY | 28 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x327c8f… |
| 10-10 23:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xecbb…e40d | Down | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x89d2e5… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x62e3…8362 | Up | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7c6a2d… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Deadly-Champion 0xcfdd…e5da | Up | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7c6a2d… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 43 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x0909d5… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Unlawful-Autumn 0xdc43…ce91 | Up | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf13c03… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Forceful-Minimalism 0xc358…c52e | Up | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1c8393… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x037b…9182 | Down | BUY | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0x46de45… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x5cac…58de | Down | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $39 | 0xd27439… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xf3d4…4b4f | Down | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x9883c3… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xe052…4a2c | Down | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xf6c436… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68 | Up | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x46de45… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Unlawful-Autumn 0xdc43…ce91 | Up | BUY | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x6f0012… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xbd34…2fba | Down | BUY | 163 | 96¢ | $157 | 0x977e11… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x8c53…103c | Down | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xe2a271… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xf3d4…4b4f | Down | BUY | 24 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xd5c0fd… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x2b50…4b87 | Down | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf13c03… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x8146…3f0d | Down | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x1b1200… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xe761…0522 | Up | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8a2f84… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Unlawful-Autumn 0xdc43…ce91 | Up | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd5c0fd… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xe80c…4bd8 | Up | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1b1200… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Up | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1b1200… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Down | BUY | 43 | 96¢ | $41 | 0x6f0012… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Best-Million 0x81c9…94cd | Up | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7c6a2d… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x5b84…38d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1b1200… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x46de45… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x10d5…5388 | Down | BUY | 67 | 97¢ | $65 | 0x7c6a2d… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x492336… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Thankful-Digit 0x17e3…1dd9 | Up | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe2a271… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Forceful-Minimalism 0xc358…c52e | Up | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf6c436… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xe761…0522 | Up | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x1c8393… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x7842…dd45 | Down | BUY | 41 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x17ce33… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x492336… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Unlawful-Autumn 0xdc43…ce91 | Up | BUY | 131 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x977e11… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xecbb…e40d | Down | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x1c8393… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Every-Questioner 0xafdc…d278 | Up | BUY | 41 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x17ce33… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Misguided-Excursion 0x7eaf…ffcd | Up | BUY | 32 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x977e11… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x4483…54c6 | Down | BUY | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0x0909d5… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xf3d4…4b4f | Down | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $6 | 0x8a2f84… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x46de45… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Misguided-Excursion 0x7eaf…ffcd | Up | BUY | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xd27439… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0xe80c…4bd8 | Up | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8a2f84… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | BUY | 14 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x7c6a2d… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Unlawful-Autumn 0xdc43…ce91 | Up | BUY | 30 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xf6c436… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x1404…de47 | Up | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x9883c3… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | Rundown-Pressroom 0x513b…ade9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7c6a2d… |
| 10-10 23:59:01 | (anonymous) 0x037b…9182 | Down | BUY | 43 | 96¢ | $41 | 0xf6c436… |
| 10-10 23:59:00 | (anonymous) 0xd4e0…b12e | Down | SELL | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x92f07f… |
| 10-10 23:59:00 | Grandiose-Joint 0x0a84…fd2a | Up | BUY | 144 | 4¢ | $6 | 0x691cfc… |
| 10-10 23:59:00 | Insubstantial-Improvement 0x1b77…417e | Up | BUY | 80 | 4¢ | $3 | 0xfc6ec6… |
| 10-10 23:59:00 | (anonymous) 0xe761…0522 | Down | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfc6ec6… |
| 10-10 23:59:00 | Naughty-Dory 0x3ab0…0a44 | Down | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa11f36… |
| 10-10 23:59:00 | (anonymous) 0x6d2a…fbf3 | Down | BUY | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x92f07f… |
| 10-10 23:59:00 | (anonymous) 0x2903…5906 | Down | BUY | 219 | 96¢ | $210 | 0xa11f36… |
| 10-10 23:59:00 | Thankful-Digit 0x17e3…1dd9 | Up | BUY | 64 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x78282a… |