Realized P&L
+$66.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$153
Hit rate
60.5%
Resolved
13,081
Trades
22,363
lifetime
Volume
$817.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$1.76K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-21
last 10-28 04:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 99 days
Categories
Other
71% 61% +$9,665
Crypto
25% 49% +$54,297
Sports
3% 52% +$3,056
Politics
0% 78% -$382
Tech
0% 84% +$133
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 828 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +509 $475 97¢ $494 +$18 10-25 22:57
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes +214 $150 78¢ $168 +$18 09-19 22:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +166 $137 98¢ $162 +$25 10-24 18:49
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Yes +156 $108 91¢ $142 +$35 10-27 17:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +122 $100 94¢ $115 +$15 10-21 07:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +114 $100 96¢ $109 +$9 10-21 06:47
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +106 $100 95¢ $100 +$0 10-27 09:28
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +54 $38 90¢ $49 +$11 10-25 19:15
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +31 $30 98¢ $31 +$1 07-29 17:43
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +71 $20 38¢ $27 +$7 09-24 10:03
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +67 $20 38¢ $25 +$5 09-24 10:01
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No +24 $20 90¢ $22 +$2 09-17 21:18
will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026 No +22 $20 98¢ $22 +$2 09-30 16:28
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +28 $20 78¢ $22 +$2 10-09 20:20
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +32 $20 68¢ $21 +$1 09-30 15:59
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +32 $20 68¢ $21 +$1 09-30 19:39
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +32 $20 66¢ $21 +$1 09-26 11:45
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +27 $20 74¢ $20 +$0 10-03 10:35
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +67 $20 30¢ $20 +$0 10-22 15:12
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +21 $20 97¢ $20 +$0 10-19 19:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +22 $20 92¢ $20 $0 09-30 16:58
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +32 $20 60¢ $19 -$1 09-24 10:15
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +71 $20 26¢ $19 -$1 09-24 10:48
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +56 $20 34¢ $19 -$1 09-24 10:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +30 $20 50¢ $15 -$5 10-27 21:46
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $12 82¢ $13 +$1 10-27 10:49
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +34 $10 38¢ $13 +$3 10-22 04:29
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No +13 $10 89¢ $12 +$2 10-10 11:14
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +16 $10 68¢ $11 +$1 10-21 01:02
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +30 $10 36¢ $11 +$1 10-26 21:00