Absolute-Knee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$777

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

10,373

Trades

11,426

lifetime

Volume

$45.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$84

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-29 05:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 57% -$533

Other

10% 58% -$241

Politics

2% 71% -$36

Sports

1% 68% +$48

Tech

0% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?	No	-30	-$25	96¢	$-29	-$4	06-30 00:00
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?	No	-30	-$28	93¢	$-28	$0	05-09 17:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	-34	-$22	57¢	$-20	+$2	07-08 04:42
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	-22	-$12	20¢	$-5	+$7	06-03 04:15
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	-49	-$15	6¢	$-3	+$12	05-30 13:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	4	$224	892	892	+0	No	+$4	04-23 15:08
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$221	121	121	+0	Argentina	+$21	07-12 03:41
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	1	$150	183	0	+183	No	-$150	07-07 17:35
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	1	$140	183	0	+183	Yes	+$43	07-02 14:54
Will France win on 2026-06-26?	2	$101	52	52	+0	Yes	+$1	06-26 20:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 02:10 UTC	2	$101	10,000	3	+9,997	Down	-$102	06-29 02:14
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	4	$100	151	50	+101	Belgium	+$42	07-01 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$100	167	0	+167	Down	-$100	09-23 09:15
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	1	$100	286	0	+286	Yes	-$100	04-15 15:33
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$100	114	0	+114	France	+$14	07-04 22:16
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$89	131	131	+0	open	—	07-08 07:36
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	10	$82	94	45	+49	Toronto Blue Jays	+$3	05-29 01:18
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 btts	6	$76	57	57	+0	No	+$6	06-24 23:41
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$75	100	100	+0	Yes	-$67	07-07 17:34
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$72	38	37	+0	Yes	+$2	05-17 17:56
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	5	$71	90	90	+0	No	+$22	04-25 05:19
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?	4	$70	50	49	+1	Yes	+$10	04-25 15:10
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	6	$65	74	10	+64	Joao Fonseca	-$70	05-29 18:20
lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	4	$65	37	36	+0	Yes	+$5	04-21 20:11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?	3	$55	34	34	+0	Yes	+$5	05-17 20:39
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox	6	$50	30	30	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$5	05-28 22:41
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	68	0	+68	Yes	+$18	07-19 21:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$48	29	29	+0	No	+$8	05-30 16:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 19:25 UTC	3	$48	34	28	+5	Down	+$14	07-06 19:29
Panama vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?	3	$48	45	25	+20	Yes	+$8	06-23 23:37
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?	4	$48	12	172	-160	No	+$28	05-05 14:01
France leading at halftime?	2	$46	26	26	+0	Yes	+$6	06-22 22:03
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$45	47	46	+1	Yes	-$14	04-25 01:07
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	1	$44	50	0	+50	Yes	+$6	05-18 16:03
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	4	$44	31	31	+0	Yes	+$4	04-25 17:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 05:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd8e63a…
10-29 03:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x11d29d…
10-29 02:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x47445c…
10-29 02:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3a80b1…
10-29 02:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbdd385…
10-28 21:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfcc250…
10-28 21:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdf5db4…
10-28 20:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf35ee0…
10-28 20:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x52a1ab…
10-28 20:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe0338a…
10-28 20:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x301943…
10-28 19:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6bab37…
10-28 19:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xffe78b…
10-28 18:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x2bdf85…
10-28 18:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x056852…
10-28 17:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3137fb…
10-28 17:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb65489…
10-28 17:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xcc7ccf…
10-28 16:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x149210…
10-28 16:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x5c15a4…
10-28 16:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa25e0a…
10-28 16:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd5b63f…
10-28 15:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7109c7…
10-28 11:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa10dfd…
10-28 11:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8b5602…
10-28 10:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc8e5c5…
10-28 10:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa4494c…
10-28 10:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfdd1ee…
10-28 09:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbc702f…
10-28 09:20:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x44ee59…
10-28 08:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0b26b2…
10-28 08:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x859e4f…
10-28 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa29df7…
10-28 07:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe70141…
10-28 07:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc22164…
10-28 07:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6a3261…
10-28 07:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7acb5a…
10-28 06:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x904866…
10-28 05:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3ee1b8…
10-28 05:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5c34c0…
10-28 05:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd2c3ee…
10-28 04:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8d60e6…
10-28 04:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb152a5…
10-28 04:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x691fe3…
10-28 04:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf6c949…
10-28 03:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x982b7b…
10-28 03:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0428ec…
10-28 03:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4c2b3f…
10-28 03:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3c8092…
10-28 03:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x90b5ed…
10-28 02:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x440a75…
10-28 02:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf8c795…
10-28 02:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7e7e97…
10-28 02:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x36e679…
10-28 02:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4ad5c1…
10-28 01:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5eaa7b…
10-28 01:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xce9275…
10-28 01:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x89a3b3…
10-28 01:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xef0eed…
10-28 00:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xae0e1f…
10-28 00:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x861fa8…
10-28 00:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x82aef9…
10-27 23:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa83b50…
10-27 23:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x89a2d6…
10-27 23:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x68246b…
10-27 23:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x24f1a6…
10-27 23:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x4f2309…
10-27 22:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9f48d1…
10-27 22:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd6cdf4…
10-27 22:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x0f2163…
10-27 22:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd85e36…
10-27 21:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xc0efbf…
10-27 21:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe05e6f…
10-27 21:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x0dd5ae…
10-27 21:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa31799…
10-27 21:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x604436…
10-27 21:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xf9eaca…
10-27 20:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb8552f…
10-27 20:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc932e4…
10-27 20:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7a82ea…
10-27 19:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6b31dc…
10-27 19:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7b7b65…
10-27 19:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x46dbf8…
10-27 19:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa6e685…
10-27 18:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x49891d…
10-27 18:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x89d666…
10-27 18:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6cd196…
10-27 18:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2adc2c…
10-27 18:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x085195…
10-27 18:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5cc20c…
10-27 18:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xfc1015…
10-27 17:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8f57ce…
10-27 17:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xbcd338…
10-27 17:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa68271…
10-27 17:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x7ae0e0…
10-27 16:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x79f45b…
10-27 16:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6db87c…
10-27 16:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb50889…
10-27 15:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd4b7d3…
10-27 15:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xf6fd1a…