Sympathetic-Canoe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.39K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

122

Trades

202

lifetime

Volume

$175.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$868

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 08-31 11:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 98% +$683

Politics

21% 93% +$578

Other

6% 100% +$26

Sports

5% 100% +$102

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$6.0K	3,015	3,015	+0	No	+$45	07-11 23:54
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	3	$5.6K	2,900	2,900	+0	No	+$102	06-28 07:21
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	2	$5.6K	2,865	2,865	+0	No	+$132	06-19 15:59
bitcoin above 66k on march 9	2	$4.3K	2,187	2,187	+0	Yes	+$63	03-09 16:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$3.7K	1,913	1,909	+4	No	+$23	04-26 23:01
bitcoin above 72k on april 17	2	$3.3K	1,674	1,672	+2	Yes	+$32	04-17 14:10
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	2	$3.1K	3,080	0	+3,080	No	+$25	07-22 07:38
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$3.0K	3,053	0	+3,053	No	+$3	07-15 02:09
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$3.0K	3,046	0	+3,046	No	+$46	07-11 23:54
bitcoin above 64k on august 21 2026	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$3	08-20 20:12
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	7	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$25	03-31 14:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$2.7K	2,716	0	+2,716	No	+$16	06-07 02:07
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	1	$2.7K	2,700	0	+2,700	No	+$3	06-10 02:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	1	$2.6K	2,653	0	+2,653	Yes	+$3	06-02 12:52
bitcoin above 64k on april 3	1	$2.6K	2,624	0	+2,624	Yes	+$45	04-02 23:52
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	2	$2.6K	2,586	0	+2,586	No	+$10	06-13 00:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	1	$2.6K	2,588	0	+2,588	Yes	+$16	05-02 17:23
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$2.5K	2,632	0	+2,632	No	+$162	05-27 15:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$2.4K	2,472	0	+2,472	No	+$22	05-26 23:20
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$2.4K	2,454	0	+2,454	No	+$7	03-24 19:54
will bitcoin dip to 64k on march 23	1	$2.4K	2,447	0	+2,447	No	+$2	03-23 20:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$2.4K	2,434	0	+2,434	Yes	+$7	05-10 15:19
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	2	$2.4K	2,426	0	+2,426	No	+$24	05-25 22:42
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	Yes	+$5	05-12 01:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	1	$2.4K	2,390	0	+2,390	No	+$2	05-05 14:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	1	$2.4K	2,394	0	+2,394	Yes	+$14	05-08 20:03
bitcoin above 66k on march 23	1	$2.4K	2,445	0	+2,445	Yes	+$76	03-23 10:18
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$2.4K	2,425	0	+2,425	No	+$61	05-24 17:02
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 22	1	$2.4K	2,369	0	+2,369	No	+$5	03-21 20:31
bitcoin above 68k on march 21	2	$2.4K	2,364	0	+2,364	Yes	+$5	03-21 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 11:18:15	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,617	99¢	$1,607	0x548e5a…
08-31 11:14:23	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x0d1d16…
08-31 11:08:54	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	99¢	$115	0xc50959…
08-27 06:58:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	987	99¢	$978	0xa29d2c…
08-26 22:22:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	341	99¢	$338	0x01fb2e…
08-20 20:12:07	bitcoin above 64k on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3,000	100¢	$2,997	0x353bc5…
07-22 07:38:01	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	3,077	99¢	$3,053	0xa89b7d…
07-22 03:19:13	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1c6fea…
07-15 02:09:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3,053	100¢	$3,050	0x1c21f2…
07-11 23:54:50	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3,046	98¢	$3,000	0x5b8e56…
07-11 23:54:29	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	3,015	100¢	$3,012	0x3b7707…
07-05 01:12:20	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	3,015	98¢	$2,967	0x9b4910…
06-28 07:21:07	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2,900	98¢	$2,854	0x7ff606…
06-23 15:14:35	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,523	95¢	$1,446	0x20fa2e…
06-23 15:14:29	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,377	95¢	$1,306	0x9f7d01…
06-19 16:05:46	bitcoin above 58k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	482	99¢	$480	0x02e009…
06-19 15:59:59	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	2,865	100¢	$2,862	0x3f6657…
06-15 13:44:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	2,865	95¢	$2,730	0xfddc77…
06-13 00:26:45	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	2,005	100¢	$2,000	0x98c016…
06-12 20:24:46	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	581	99¢	$576	0x462437…
06-10 02:27:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	No	BUY	2,700	100¢	$2,697	0xfc9475…
06-09 02:14:06	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xa0d0b7…
06-07 02:07:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	2,716	99¢	$2,700	0x98740f…
06-02 12:52:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	2,653	100¢	$2,650	0x96de23…
05-27 15:26:23	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,632	94¢	$2,470	0xca88e8…
05-26 23:20:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2,472	99¢	$2,450	0xad22a3…
05-25 22:42:10	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	389	99¢	$385	0x43546c…
05-25 22:39:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	2,037	99¢	$2,016	0x8573ce…
05-24 17:02:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	555	98¢	$541	0x38e179…
05-24 17:02:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	1,870	98¢	$1,823	0x7cc97c…
05-22 23:39:57	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0x1f2b41…
05-22 23:38:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	1,825	98¢	$1,794	0xab95a5…
05-21 15:34:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,195	0xc14c60…
05-21 15:31:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	675	100¢	$672	0x48200e…
05-21 01:10:15	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	480	100¢	$480	0x7c24ec…
05-21 01:09:42	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6afba3…
05-21 01:09:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2,034	100¢	$2,029	0xc5c500…
05-21 01:08:28	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 Action of the Year?	No	BUY	64	87¢	$55	0xbe85e3…
05-20 01:54:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0xed6f2e…
05-20 01:36:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x3eba96…
05-20 01:30:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0x8c6873…
05-20 01:29:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1,001	99¢	$993	0x45c0c2…
05-14 20:58:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf851d6…
05-14 20:58:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x75caeb…
05-14 20:57:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,550	100¢	$1,542	0xbdfb98…
05-14 20:57:18	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	900	99¢	$893	0x37fa52…
05-12 01:43:37	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	2,400	100¢	$2,395	0x98b746…
05-10 15:19:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2,434	100¢	$2,427	0x5295a6…
05-08 20:03:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	2,394	99¢	$2,380	0x8302e8…
05-05 14:44:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	2,390	100¢	$2,388	0x8aead6…
05-04 16:33:28	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb3479f…
05-04 16:31:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa8ad08…
05-04 16:30:56	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd858fc…
05-04 16:30:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc85949…
05-04 16:29:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x15c3ac…
05-04 16:29:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x564d81…
05-04 16:29:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x5dca81…
05-02 17:23:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	2,588	99¢	$2,572	0x54f0bd…
05-02 00:35:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xb4fc3d…
05-02 00:14:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	312	99¢	$310	0x6da98a…
04-28 05:28:52	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,535	98¢	$1,499	0x3f182e…
04-28 04:17:50	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x3dabb1…
04-27 20:18:44	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	500	66¢	$330	0x4d9db9…
04-27 14:53:00	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	529	95¢	$502	0xd6985e…
04-26 23:11:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	1,141	100¢	$1,138	0x90a804…
04-26 23:10:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x652ca6…
04-26 23:07:18	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x8297e0…
04-26 23:03:22	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	503	99¢	$500	0x92ebd2…
04-26 23:02:36	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xeb1c46…
04-26 23:01:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	1,909	98¢	$1,875	0x33e46c…
04-23 15:35:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,913	97¢	$1,856	0x0439d9…
04-21 22:56:30	bitcoin above 80k on april 22	No	BUY	1,051	100¢	$1,048	0xfaa35e…
04-21 01:26:30	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4737e6…
04-21 00:09:32	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xf3378a…
04-20 23:58:00	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x5108d7…
04-20 23:45:58	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x684b92…
04-20 23:42:20	bitcoin above 70k on april 22	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xef9ab3…
04-19 21:46:42	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	1,830	99¢	$1,817	0xa23f34…
04-17 20:22:00	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	1,236	99¢	$1,226	0xafe411…
04-17 20:06:14	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfbcaf4…
04-17 19:58:16	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x997110…
04-17 19:54:00	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9807a0…
04-17 19:33:44	bitcoin above 82k on april 18	No	BUY	481	99¢	$477	0xa77869…
04-17 14:33:28	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	1,800	99¢	$1,780	0x72a61d…
04-17 14:10:50	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	Yes	SELL	1,672	100¢	$1,670	0xfabcb5…
04-16 19:39:40	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	Yes	BUY	1,674	98¢	$1,641	0x9730ae…
04-16 15:06:42	bitcoin above 64k on april 16	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b41af…
04-16 14:33:40	bitcoin above 64k on april 16	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xa52406…
04-11 20:59:09	bitcoin above 78k on april 12	No	BUY	1,760	99¢	$1,741	0xdce3a5…
04-09 18:24:21	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xabcecf…
04-09 16:44:17	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x0884d8…
04-09 16:44:11	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	170	92¢	$156	0x25eb55…
04-09 16:44:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	186	92¢	$171	0xcb496c…
04-09 16:44:09	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	90	92¢	$83	0x37ad49…
04-09 16:43:41	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	298	92¢	$273	0x48f174…
04-09 16:41:17	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x80ac89…
04-09 16:40:13	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	86	92¢	$79	0x4cb8bb…
04-09 16:40:13	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	618	92¢	$566	0x074224…
04-07 16:38:15	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	126	97¢	$122	0x9c8849…
04-06 19:05:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 7	No	BUY	504	99¢	$501	0x258dab…