Excellent-Nudge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$235

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 04-26 13:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% 0% $-0

Sports

21% — —

Politics

6% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	6	$1.6K	806	806	+0	open	—	04-01 01:09
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	6	$1.4K	688	688	+0	open	—	04-26 13:37
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.2K	591	591	+0	open	—	04-02 07:35
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.1K	566	566	+0	open	—	04-04 11:12
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$1.0K	522	522	+0	open	—	04-17 21:25
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$618	309	309	+0	open	—	02-21 18:23
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$618	310	310	+0	open	—	04-10 10:59
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$612	307	307	+0	open	—	03-03 08:38
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$608	304	304	+0	open	—	03-23 01:13
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$602	301	301	+0	open	—	03-29 21:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$598	300	300	+0	open	—	02-27 07:21
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	2	$596	298	298	+0	open	—	03-20 08:56
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	2	$593	298	298	+0	open	—	02-28 06:08
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$582	292	292	+0	open	—	03-25 03:07
Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$570	286	286	+0	open	—	02-24 13:48
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$558	280	280	+0	open	—	03-27 11:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$554	277	277	+0	open	—	04-20 09:45
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$552	277	277	+0	open	—	04-18 16:56
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$548	274	274	+0	open	—	03-17 17:47
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$536	269	269	+0	open	—	04-15 11:28
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$536	268	268	+0	open	—	03-18 00:55
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$532	266	266	+0	open	—	04-14 11:43
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$516	259	259	+0	open	—	04-12 07:04
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$504	253	253	+0	No	$-0	03-24 12:43
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$478	239	239	+0	No	$-0	03-29 01:06
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$474	237	237	+0	open	—	03-12 23:19
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$470	235	235	+0	open	—	03-26 06:42
will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$468	235	235	+0	open	—	03-22 18:12
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$466	233	233	+0	open	—	03-16 14:04
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$438	219	219	+0	open	—	03-31 09:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-26 13:37:52	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0x91f4f8…
04-26 12:17:16	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x2f0020…
04-24 09:50:30	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	219	100¢	$219	0xe48741…
04-24 04:51:26	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0xaa4ca5…
04-20 09:45:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	277	100¢	$277	0xc1ddb6…
04-20 01:36:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	277	100¢	$277	0x247aff…
04-18 16:56:36	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	277	99¢	$276	0x524f66…
04-18 12:41:26	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	277	100¢	$276	0xfc7621…
04-17 21:25:02	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	251	100¢	$251	0xf8911e…
04-17 15:20:52	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$251	0x9b73d7…
04-17 05:13:46	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	270	100¢	$270	0xa7bd61…
04-17 02:45:22	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0x3a0db6…
04-15 11:28:22	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	269	100¢	$268	0x2d6f35…
04-15 06:07:36	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	269	100¢	$268	0x34ac50…
04-14 11:43:41	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	266	100¢	$266	0xaa00f9…
04-14 05:55:07	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	266	100¢	$266	0x3b24c6…
04-14 03:35:43	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0x881d2f…
04-13 21:11:25	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x6e7e83…
04-12 07:04:23	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	259	99¢	$258	0xa0453d…
04-12 05:15:05	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	259	99¢	$258	0x2ae758…
04-10 10:59:53	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xcbca6d…
04-05 17:08:25	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x8e8633…
04-04 11:12:01	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	315	100¢	$314	0xda551a…
04-04 06:36:09	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	315	100¢	$314	0xc2ffab…
04-02 07:35:39	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	321	100¢	$320	0x5738cf…
04-02 03:17:09	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	321	100¢	$320	0xd6342c…
04-01 20:28:37	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	247	100¢	$247	0x4b725b…
04-01 16:30:31	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0xf51942…
04-01 16:30:15	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	251	100¢	$250	0x7203f7…
04-01 12:35:43	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0xba45fc…
04-01 01:09:35	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$241	0x8eefdd…
03-31 21:18:21	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0xadc2dc…
03-31 13:22:25	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x096d6d…
03-31 09:14:01	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfc4c5a…
03-31 09:13:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	219	100¢	$219	0xf261a2…
03-31 05:40:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0xca7346…
03-30 15:11:39	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x65a5e9…
03-29 21:11:02	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$301	0x64a16a…
03-29 17:14:50	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$301	0xf642a4…
03-29 01:06:22	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0x778e5f…
03-28 21:17:44	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0xd39101…
03-27 11:08:49	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	280	100¢	$279	0x722a83…
03-27 04:05:09	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	280	100¢	$279	0xe8f95d…
03-26 06:42:39	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	235	100¢	$235	0xf1504c…
03-25 23:41:25	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0x89f25d…
03-25 17:23:13	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	321	99¢	$319	0xfe973c…
03-25 10:15:47	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	321	100¢	$320	0xb777e8…
03-25 03:07:21	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	292	100¢	$291	0xd42270…
03-24 19:52:15	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	292	100¢	$291	0xa88cd9…
03-24 12:43:01	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	253	100¢	$252	0x9c6b54…
03-24 05:37:55	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$252	0x888fc1…
03-23 01:13:23	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	304	100¢	$304	0xf55228…
03-22 18:13:11	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0xa4ab15…
03-22 18:12:53	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	235	100¢	$234	0x64deda…
03-22 11:11:53	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	235	100¢	$234	0x841657…
03-20 08:56:03	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	298	100¢	$298	0x1b8085…
03-19 19:07:59	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	298	100¢	$298	0xb03aae…
03-19 12:06:03	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	243	100¢	$243	0x686ccb…
03-19 05:05:17	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0xf16b78…
03-18 00:55:15	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	268	100¢	$268	0x6e2858…
03-17 17:48:01	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	268	100¢	$268	0x79ec4e…
03-17 17:47:33	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	274	100¢	$274	0x63eb46…
03-17 10:47:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0x6b810a…
03-16 14:04:55	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	233	100¢	$233	0x92ab60…
03-16 07:10:03	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0xbbb999…
03-12 23:20:17	nba dal mem 2026 03 12	Mavericks	BUY	49	67¢	$33	0x0977ae…
03-12 23:19:55	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	237	100¢	$237	0x9de2b7…
03-12 18:20:47	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	237	100¢	$237	0x8d554b…
03-11 20:33:45	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	270	100¢	$269	0xebefbb…
03-11 13:45:39	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$269	0x92e2ba…
03-10 19:25:51	nba cha por 2026 03 10	Hornets	BUY	54	59¢	$32	0x5255c5…
03-05 18:24:25	nba gsw hou 2026 03 05	Rockets	BUY	36	76¢	$27	0xcc2c5f…
03-05 18:23:51	nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	Nets	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x50b7a7…
03-03 19:08:55	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Heat	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0xab17dd…
03-03 08:38:25	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	307	100¢	$306	0xbbff90…
03-03 01:28:21	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	307	100¢	$306	0x1b0bdd…
02-28 06:08:23	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	SELL	298	99¢	$296	0x05e07a…
02-27 22:16:19	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0xcbd6c8…
02-27 07:21:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$299	0x9f6d31…
02-26 15:35:56	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x236f91…
02-26 15:35:38	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	272	100¢	$271	0x020d16…
02-24 13:48:50	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	286	100¢	$285	0x53d80a…
02-24 03:37:50	Will Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	286	100¢	$285	0x5905aa…
02-22 16:18:42	Fabric FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xd0627a…
02-22 16:18:18	Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x00f1ef…
02-21 18:23:28	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	309	100¢	$309	0x3bc54d…
02-17 20:22:53	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0xa9bff5…