Irritating-Venti — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$60

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,978

lifetime

Volume

$74.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$362

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-01 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

44% 33% $-88

Other

44% 100% +$28

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	-276	$-178	72¢	$-199	$-20	06-16 11:36
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No	+150	$131	91¢	$136	+$5	06-23 05:08
Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	+54	$12	31¢	$17	+$5	06-16 11:36
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	-10	$-10	100¢	$-10	$-0	06-13 03:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$2.7K	1,401	1,401	+0	open	—	05-17 12:07
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	22	$2.5K	2,405	258	+2,146	open	—	03-15 20:50
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	49	$2.1K	2,815	2,813	+2	open	—	01-22 15:37
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$2.0K	1,700	575	+1,125	open	—	04-08 21:58
netanyahu out by march 31 854	15	$1.8K	1,480	400	+1,080	open	—	03-17 16:41
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$1.7K	1,200	900	+300	open	—	03-24 09:50
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	52	$1.5K	1,290	1,216	+74	open	—	04-17 12:15
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	04-30 20:10
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	11	$1.2K	1,055	1,055	+0	open	—	03-19 13:42
will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	35	$1.2K	1,780	1,780	+0	open	—	03-23 07:46
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	6	$1.2K	630	630	+0	open	—	01-28 21:18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$1.2K	1,202	0	+1,202	open	—	03-04 18:39
Trump out as President by April 30?	5	$1.2K	500	700	-200	open	—	04-11 21:47
bitcoin below microstrategy average buy price by march 31	5	$1.1K	1,186	60	+1,126	open	—	01-31 18:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	15	$1.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-08 21:52
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	13	$1.0K	689	489	+200	open	—	01-23 21:05
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$997	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-02 22:36
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$968	975	0	+975	open	—	03-05 19:01
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	5	$938	503	503	+0	open	—	03-07 16:42
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	36	$913	1,108	1,108	+0	open	—	01-29 17:47
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	37	$903	1,833	1,400	+434	open	—	03-15 01:52
will trump talk to maria corina machado in march 868	16	$898	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-08 07:15
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	44	$876	479	972	-493	Yes	$-181	03-10 09:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	16	$845	1,000	729	+271	open	—	05-10 13:14
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	38	$844	1,170	1,201	-31	open	—	05-12 19:35
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	5	$833	4,219	500	+3,719	open	—	06-06 23:18
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?	24	$797	969	621	+348	open	—	04-20 05:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$796	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	04-10 17:12
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?	3	$777	530	250	+280	open	—	01-07 08:37
will silver si hit low 95 by end of february 137 363 345 839 282 643 945 788	7	$752	565	565	+0	open	—	01-30 11:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 06:04:59	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,875	0¢	$8	0x9860c3…
06-30 20:19:19	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0xb280fd…
06-30 19:45:53	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	33	13¢	$4	0x458b5d…
06-30 19:45:53	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	28	13¢	$4	0x03e45a…
06-30 19:42:26	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	168	13¢	$22	0x789a5a…
06-30 19:26:47	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	702	5¢	$34	0xa829be…
06-30 19:17:20	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x608dfa…
06-30 12:34:59	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x4aafb3…
06-30 11:02:29	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x935588…
06-30 10:21:26	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xf47b69…
06-30 09:57:55	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	183	42¢	$77	0x7e84c7…
06-30 09:06:25	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	92	44¢	$40	0x47835c…
06-30 09:03:58	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd124a8…
06-30 09:03:11	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x55efe2…
06-30 09:02:37	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x5dbc22…
06-30 09:02:35	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x50277f…
06-30 09:02:01	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x15094f…
06-30 09:01:26	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x058b35…
06-30 08:58:35	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	75	44¢	$33	0x4b6b5c…
06-30 08:56:19	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1a04a9…
06-30 08:40:38	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x0e6952…
06-30 08:24:08	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0xa1515e…
06-30 08:07:20	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	72	46¢	$33	0x9667ed…
06-30 08:05:13	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x97bf35…
06-30 08:01:29	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x84db0e…
06-30 07:57:40	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x26e7ef…
06-30 06:48:43	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xdc4c6e…
06-30 00:15:34	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x756d51…
06-29 20:19:22	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	977	0¢	$2	0x2f04b2…
06-29 20:19:02	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	32	55¢	$17	0x9cc1c5…
06-29 19:59:31	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xaba633…
06-29 19:12:10	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xfeebe8…
06-29 18:45:43	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	45	55¢	$25	0xea22b2…
06-29 17:42:25	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	SELL	197	56¢	$110	0xf2d125…
06-29 17:41:41	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	SELL	57	71¢	$41	0x5630c1…
06-29 09:21:31	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	748	0¢	$1	0x177d26…
06-27 15:56:20	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x598879…
06-27 15:54:35	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	BUY	22	16¢	$3	0xa03f00…
06-27 02:04:13	carles puigdemont back in spain in 2026 20260625011546952	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6a7b86…
06-26 18:56:53	carles puigdemont back in spain in 2026 20260625011546952	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xc7e5d9…
06-26 18:35:41	carles puigdemont back in spain in 2026 20260625011546952	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x29a428…
06-26 18:12:53	carles puigdemont back in spain in 2026 20260625011546952	No	BUY	56	59¢	$33	0xff2cb8…
06-23 05:08:46	Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	87¢	$131	0xea8a2b…
06-22 17:30:32	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x496ab7…
06-22 14:19:59	will vox get a cabinet seat in the next andalusian government 20260609180715367	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x7fb48f…
06-19 16:49:19	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x82f30e…
06-19 16:44:29	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0x9c052b…
06-19 16:24:40	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x65eb5d…
06-19 16:22:59	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x8c9ba6…
06-19 16:20:04	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x4f71e9…
06-19 16:18:53	will strc hit 100 by june 30 20260618001621117	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x071169…
06-17 20:13:58	testing group event 1 20260617184747426	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x38b619…
06-17 20:07:58	testing group event 1 20260617184747426	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x4e2d1d…
06-17 19:52:59	testing group event 1 20260617184747426	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd08c29…
06-16 11:36:42	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x1bfba6…
06-16 11:36:04	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x89256a…
06-16 11:36:01	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	147	64¢	$94	0x09b032…
06-13 10:49:34	McDonald's CEO out by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x017860…
06-13 03:19:03	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf93da6…
06-13 03:18:54	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd7dae6…
06-13 03:18:54	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4d6648…
06-13 03:18:52	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x08846a…
06-13 03:18:51	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbb1157…
06-13 03:18:51	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xac0f66…
06-13 03:18:48	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xeb3ed8…
06-13 03:18:45	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x90b4d6…
06-13 03:18:43	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa85f98…
06-13 03:18:42	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5a9f65…
06-11 15:47:16	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	207	99¢	$206	0x2009ad…
06-10 15:27:58	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	35¢	$15	0x6aa196…
06-10 13:44:09	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x677f35…
06-10 09:56:15	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x2db1e2…
06-10 09:55:42	Spain snap election called in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	28¢	$12	0x5866dd…
06-09 22:14:43	world cup fastest goal in a final record broken 20260609182956386	No	BUY	89	95¢	$85	0x66ded6…
06-09 21:25:19	world cup fastest goal in a final record broken 20260609182956386	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x96fb98…
06-09 21:24:43	world cup fastest goal in a final record broken 20260609182956386	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd52a53…
06-09 19:53:42	worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	Fakers	SELL	97	65¢	$63	0xa327d5…
06-09 19:41:45	worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	Fakers	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x476cf0…
06-07 19:41:19	Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd17830…
06-07 16:32:33	will micron q3 nand revenue be above 8pt5b	No	BUY	47	46¢	$22	0x0fa16f…
06-07 16:00:54	will micron q3 nand revenue be above 8pt5b	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x98b28b…
06-07 15:25:31	Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?	No	SELL	358	98¢	$351	0x1e6ffa…
06-06 23:18:00	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	63¢	$315	0xa67d22…
06-06 22:16:34	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,185	13¢	$154	0xcd635f…
06-06 21:45:52	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	534	12¢	$64	0x8e0800…
06-06 21:34:42	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	12¢	$180	0x26aee7…
06-06 21:34:15	Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0xb88292…
06-05 23:14:27	worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	Fakers	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xa6c260…
06-05 17:35:04	Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x81c2d8…
06-05 17:33:00	Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	83¢	$27	0xc88a71…
06-05 12:01:27	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	101	79¢	$80	0x85335c…
06-05 11:59:52	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	102	78¢	$79	0xc92a00…
06-05 07:53:48	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x6024d7…
06-05 07:53:27	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	62	91¢	$56	0x84d636…
06-04 12:15:30	Will STRC dip to $90 in 2026?	No	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x1e471d…
06-03 21:42:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x2f18bc…
06-02 15:38:49	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x8b624f…
06-02 15:19:09	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	202	77¢	$156	0x14555a…
06-02 11:57:53	Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?	No	BUY	45	61¢	$27	0xb76ee4…
06-02 11:19:23	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	70¢	$2	0x2446a9…