Irritating-Venti — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$60

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,152

lifetime

Volume

$79.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-08 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

45% 100% +$28

Politics

42% 33% $-88

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$2.7K	1,401	1,401	+0	open	—	05-17 12:07
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	22	$2.5K	2,405	258	+2,146	open	—	03-15 20:50
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?	49	$2.1K	2,815	2,813	+2	open	—	01-22 15:37
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$2.0K	1,700	575	+1,125	open	—	04-08 21:58
netanyahu out by march 31 854	15	$1.8K	1,480	400	+1,080	open	—	03-17 16:41
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	14	$1.7K	1,200	900	+300	open	—	03-24 09:50
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	52	$1.5K	1,290	1,216	+74	open	—	04-17 12:15
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$1.3K	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	04-30 20:10
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	11	$1.2K	1,055	1,055	+0	open	—	03-19 13:42
will bitcoin outperform gold in march 2026	35	$1.2K	1,780	1,780	+0	open	—	03-23 07:46
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	6	$1.2K	630	630	+0	open	—	01-28 21:18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$1.2K	1,202	0	+1,202	open	—	03-04 18:39
Trump out as President by April 30?	5	$1.2K	500	700	-200	open	—	04-11 21:47
bitcoin below microstrategy average buy price by march 31	5	$1.1K	1,186	60	+1,126	open	—	01-31 18:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	15	$1.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-08 21:52
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	51	$1.1K	1,994	1,825	+169	open	—	07-28 19:22
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	13	$1.0K	689	489	+200	open	—	01-23 21:05
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$997	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-02 22:36
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$968	975	0	+975	open	—	03-05 19:01
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	5	$938	503	503	+0	open	—	03-07 16:42
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	36	$913	1,108	1,108	+0	open	—	01-29 17:47
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	37	$903	1,833	1,400	+434	open	—	03-15 01:52
will trump talk to maria corina machado in march 868	16	$898	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-08 07:15
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	44	$876	479	972	-493	Yes	$-181	03-10 09:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	16	$845	1,000	729	+271	open	—	05-10 13:14
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	38	$844	1,170	1,201	-31	open	—	05-12 19:35
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	5	$833	4,219	500	+3,719	open	—	06-06 23:18
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?	24	$797	969	621	+348	open	—	04-20 05:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$796	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	04-10 17:12
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?	3	$777	530	250	+280	open	—	01-07 08:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 16:00:31	Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x290e29…
08-08 08:00:30	Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xce6460…
08-07 22:51:42	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$17	0x443904…
08-07 21:42:52	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	1,219	2¢	$24	0xb379f1…
08-07 16:56:07	will a tropical cyclone form in either the pacific or central pacific basins by august 14	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xb45b5d…
08-07 16:56:07	will a tropical cyclone form in either the pacific or central pacific basins by august 14	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3cc7d3…
08-07 15:54:06	will a tropical cyclone form in either the pacific or central pacific basins by august 14	Yes	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0xd30121…
08-07 15:50:30	will a tropical cyclone form in either the pacific or central pacific basins by august 14	Yes	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x69402e…
08-07 15:50:30	will a tropical cyclone form in either the pacific or central pacific basins by august 14	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x320948…
08-07 15:50:30	will a tropical cyclone form in either the pacific or central pacific basins by august 14	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x1a3f0e…
08-07 15:50:30	will a tropical cyclone form in either the pacific or central pacific basins by august 14	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x08d0ae…
08-07 15:49:48	will a tropical cyclone form in either the pacific or central pacific basins by august 14	Yes	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0xa4ae25…
08-07 15:49:48	will a tropical cyclone form in either the pacific or central pacific basins by august 14	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xa2b97d…
08-07 15:49:48	will a tropical cyclone form in either the pacific or central pacific basins by august 14	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x0edf2e…
08-07 11:58:52	Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x027537…
08-07 09:15:54	will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 40m at auction 20260804173205866	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xec992e…
08-07 08:42:49	will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 45m at auction 20260804173205867	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xba84e6…
08-07 07:07:21	Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x8ccce2…
08-07 07:07:21	Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	54	88¢	$48	0x174004…
08-07 07:06:36	Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	75	87¢	$65	0x5138ad…
08-07 07:06:25	Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	56	86¢	$48	0xc23923…
08-06 23:13:44	will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 35m at auction 20260804173205865	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x1c9e53…
08-06 23:08:20	will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 35m at auction 20260804173205865	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xf6bac4…
08-06 22:49:11	will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 40m at auction 20260804173205866	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xa41418…
08-06 22:49:09	will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 40m at auction 20260804173205866	No	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x13d345…
08-06 22:45:05	will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 35m at auction 20260804173205865	Yes	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0xc81c09…
08-06 22:01:29	will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 35m at auction 20260804173205865	No	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xed639d…
08-06 22:00:23	will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 40m at auction 20260804173205866	No	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x2a00a0…
08-06 22:00:15	will the 1996 mclaren f1 gtr sell for at least 40m at auction 20260804173205866	No	BUY	70	48¢	$34	0x50f1f7…
08-06 20:20:59	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x4543e8…
08-04 19:36:12	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	201	3¢	$7	0xd1bbac…
08-04 19:22:33	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	215	4¢	$8	0xb37fc1…
08-04 17:19:53	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x9791cf…
08-04 17:19:08	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x2678eb…
08-04 17:18:54	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xb60c93…
08-04 17:18:53	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x160af5…
08-04 17:18:50	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	203	4¢	$7	0xfe0200…
08-04 17:18:50	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$41	0xd2b779…
08-04 12:05:29	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$43	0xb1a333…
08-04 08:52:42	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$45	0x7be36d…
08-04 05:38:41	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xd98659…
08-04 01:50:18	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	Yes	BUY	43	8¢	$3	0x3c5ac8…
08-03 23:33:26	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x78041b…
08-03 23:04:24	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	127	54¢	$69	0x7d818c…
08-03 22:17:27	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0xe3371b…
08-03 22:11:29	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x757f56…
08-03 19:37:39	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xeddb20…
08-03 19:27:45	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa443f6…
08-03 19:23:41	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0xf8bd5b…
08-03 18:29:12	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0xf196eb…
08-03 18:22:57	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xab0caf…
08-03 18:20:11	will spain accuse morocco of facilitating the ceuta migrant influx by august 31 20260731174220331	Yes	BUY	2,000	6¢	$114	0xeb6226…
08-03 13:08:42	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xc753b0…
08-03 13:08:14	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	Yes	BUY	252	8¢	$20	0x6c2f46…
08-03 11:48:02	Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	Yes	BUY	57	71¢	$40	0xbe0474…
08-03 11:47:36	Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	107	56¢	$60	0x928f8f…
08-03 11:47:21	Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	27	50¢	$14	0xa23fe2…
08-03 11:36:15	Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	156	49¢	$77	0xcd7598…
08-03 11:34:54	Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?	Yes	BUY	187	41¢	$77	0x52c66a…
08-03 11:34:38	Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	Yes	BUY	105	68¢	$71	0xa3de0e…
08-03 11:34:38	Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	Yes	BUY	45	68¢	$31	0x75195b…
08-03 11:13:39	Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x06f434…
07-31 15:53:27	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0xe52f9d…
07-29 20:13:05	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x336ec9…
07-29 19:54:35	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x44e8a9…
07-29 19:54:32	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by december 31 20260728195714929	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xd4f019…
07-29 19:44:09	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0x93a477…
07-29 19:27:51	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	Yes	SELL	40	33¢	$13	0xfd87a8…
07-29 19:26:45	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by september 30 20260728195821515	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$49	0x510255…
07-29 19:26:08	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by august 31 20260728195644465	Yes	BUY	239	12¢	$29	0x414acc…
07-28 19:22:31	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	79	95¢	$75	0xe57254…
07-26 16:52:30	will donald trump publicly insult kaitlan collins by july 31 2026 20260626210612734	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0af0b7…
07-26 16:48:45	will donald trump publicly insult kaitlan collins by july 31 2026 20260626210612734	No	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x65a774…
07-26 16:32:12	will donald trump publicly insult kaitlan collins by july 31 2026 20260626210612734	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x48d76f…
07-26 16:25:57	will donald trump publicly insult kaitlan collins by july 31 2026 20260626210612734	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa5428e…
07-26 16:11:13	will donald trump publicly insult kaitlan collins by july 31 2026 20260626210612734	No	BUY	205	1¢	$2	0xf2bd47…
07-22 12:51:34	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by july 31 20260720181729408	No	BUY	23	68¢	$16	0x6d3a25…
07-21 19:22:34	no confidence vote against spain pm sanchez by december 31 20260630194337738	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xbbe897…
07-20 18:18:31	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	72	9¢	$6	0xb5bbd9…
07-20 15:24:01	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x98dfd0…
07-20 15:03:15	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	Yes	SELL	400	9¢	$36	0x8f4135…
07-20 14:10:12	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0x86e3fc…
07-20 14:06:01	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	141	30¢	$42	0x1e645c…
07-20 14:05:46	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x46a7e9…
07-20 14:05:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x8c6835…
07-20 14:05:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x48fb8a…
07-20 14:05:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x726a0e…
07-20 14:04:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x39b8e8…
07-20 11:28:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	98	24¢	$23	0x833617…
07-20 11:28:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	184	24¢	$44	0x0ced95…
07-20 11:03:57	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	250	18¢	$45	0x42afe2…
07-20 11:02:13	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	7,157	1¢	$43	0xb25e21…
07-20 10:23:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x96cde0…
07-20 09:51:18	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0xa75c0a…
07-20 09:35:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x531f26…
07-20 09:32:22	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	3,157	0¢	$16	0x0b40f7…
07-20 09:31:24	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	1,999	0¢	$10	0xa781e9…
07-18 21:53:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0xad2426…
07-18 21:53:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	53	97¢	$52	0x9c4b14…
07-18 21:53:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0x12387e…