Realized P&L
-$60
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
59.2%
Resolved
5
Trades
2,074
lifetime
Volume
$77.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$37
Open exposure
$1.25K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-21 19:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
45% 100% +$28
Politics
43% 33% $-88
Crypto
11%
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +525 $473 96¢ $503 +$30 07-07 12:31
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No -276 $-178 77¢ $-212 $-34 06-16 11:36
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $176 92¢ $183 +$7 07-03 06:43
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? Yes +484 $116 24¢ $119 +$2 07-16 18:12
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? No -121 $-108 85¢ $-103 +$5 07-07 15:36
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? No -111 $-89 76¢ $-84 +$5 07-12 08:30
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No -23 $-22 95¢ $-22 +$0 07-17 08:06
Spain snap election called in 2026? Yes +54 $12 19¢ $10 $-2 06-16 11:36
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? Yes -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-13 03:19
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +6 $4 82¢ $5 +$0 07-07 12:13
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? No +98 $0 $0 $-0 07-08 09:44