Mushy-Birthday — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

188

Trades

429

lifetime

Volume

$1.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 07-07 17:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Politics

42% 64% -$7

Other

36% 64% -$60

Crypto

21% 64% -$22

Sports

1% 75% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Mickey Mouse" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	3	$53	100	0	+100	Yes	-$53	05-19 17:22
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	9	$35	25	20	+5	Yes	+$2	05-28 20:01
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	8	$34	23	23	+0	No	+$0	06-20 01:08
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	11	$32	41	20	+20	No	-$7	05-24 19:51
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$31	19	19	+0	No	+$2	06-09 13:02
Will "People" be said 111+ times during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	2	$30	33	0	+33	Yes	+$3	05-19 17:17
Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?	2	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	05-19 16:58
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	05-19 16:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	5	$27	54	0	+54	Down	+$0	05-17 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$27	54	0	+54	Up	+$0	05-17 15:43
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?	3	$26	21	21	+0	open	—	05-19 16:59
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	6	$22	92	12	+80	No	+$1	05-23 22:56
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-19 16:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$2	06-15 23:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	3	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	05-23 22:51
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	5	$19	22	16	+6	Yes	+$0	06-01 21:35
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?	6	$18	22	22	-0	No	-$1	05-24 10:09
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	6	$18	22	22	+0	No	$0	06-22 08:56
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	4	$18	13	13	+0	No	+$3	06-10 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	5	$18	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 14:29
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	4	$16	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	05-19 16:59
Will "Laptop" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	05-19 17:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$16	24	24	+0	No	+$5	05-25 12:14
starmer out by june 22 2026	3	$16	17	12	+5	Yes	-$4	06-21 23:46
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	2	$15	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	06-05 19:42
Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 31?	2	$15	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	05-19 16:59
Will "Scam" be said during the next episode of the Joe Rogan Experience?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	05-19 17:13
Clavicular sentenced to prison by December 31, 2026?	2	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	05-19 16:59
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	05-21 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$14	27	0	+27	Up	-$14	05-17 22:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 17:04:20	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x84d2b8…
07-06 09:49:16	ufc will conor mcgregor fight in 2026	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5b5709…
07-02 12:26:05	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfbbe01…
07-01 15:27:43	Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x9ecea0…
07-01 09:32:04	Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf62b75…
07-01 09:14:08	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x18588a…
06-28 23:52:02	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x0ba122…
06-28 23:44:59	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x7f7627…
06-28 22:34:23	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	64	3¢	$2	0x1328ea…
06-28 20:25:38	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0xd9c136…
06-28 20:07:38	No one announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x73beb5…
06-28 19:59:11	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8b59ca…
06-28 19:38:14	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xde7781…
06-24 21:05:34	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x2688b6…
06-24 10:04:44	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	32	2¢	$1	0x6bd055…
06-24 09:23:43	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x84066f…
06-22 08:57:20	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7981b6…
06-22 08:56:46	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xd3f837…
06-22 08:38:20	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xabfaa2…
06-22 00:00:50	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x300d69…
06-22 00:00:38	Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc8cad6…
06-21 23:46:40	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x01c1c2…
06-21 23:42:34	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x25849d…
06-20 23:15:34	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaf3936…
06-20 21:07:10	starmer out by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xe925f4…
06-20 21:06:31	Exact Score: Germany 0 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xfc64b1…
06-20 21:02:29	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0xdb59bc…
06-20 20:59:34	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	12	27¢	$3	0x1ee997…
06-20 20:23:01	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0xa85cd2…
06-20 20:09:14	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xae29b7…
06-20 19:25:28	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x000305…
06-20 01:08:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xe65c25…
06-19 21:01:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xdfee93…
06-19 20:56:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x7f748f…
06-19 20:06:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x089cec…
06-19 20:02:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xb52eab…
06-19 20:01:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1ccaf6…
06-19 19:58:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xfda237…
06-19 19:52:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x09f054…
06-18 12:00:25	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0xc9992d…
06-18 11:57:04	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x9ac5e3…
06-17 20:24:35	will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x93be7f…
06-17 11:22:56	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6bbf4f…
06-17 11:14:13	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd7a53f…
06-17 11:04:47	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1b3b2d…
06-17 00:12:14	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x35f902…
06-17 00:06:23	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xe25711…
06-16 23:57:41	Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5ed256…
06-16 23:52:47	Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8f7321…
06-16 23:42:55	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf89e47…
06-16 23:37:26	Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4aac61…
06-16 17:51:55	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x17a183…
06-16 13:24:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xba0053…
06-16 12:26:27	Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfef4d7…
06-15 23:49:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x15ea8d…
06-14 23:17:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xdf9215…
06-14 23:16:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf72033…
06-14 23:15:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0e5117…
06-14 23:14:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0a626d…
06-14 01:06:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xe81d91…
06-13 23:06:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf19fae…
06-13 23:03:55	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x75bd3d…
06-13 20:57:45	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa809f2…
06-13 20:49:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xadd8f3…
06-11 20:09:24	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xc335b5…
06-11 14:58:52	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x81b410…
06-10 13:40:13	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x2ee542…
06-10 13:28:12	Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xef5238…
06-10 13:25:04	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb2f9e6…
06-10 13:10:40	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0x7f16fb…
06-09 13:38:58	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x694eaa…
06-09 13:37:39	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x66dd5d…
06-09 13:02:13	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x5459ec…
06-09 13:01:33	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x3ec187…
06-07 23:56:16	Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x1872e5…
06-07 23:54:34	Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xba734d…
06-07 23:47:30	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xa842f9…
06-07 23:46:46	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xa61569…
06-07 23:46:43	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xb05963…
06-07 21:28:13	Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd97392…
06-05 19:44:31	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x894964…
06-05 19:42:12	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x61b1e1…
06-05 14:14:40	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x141256…
06-05 13:56:52	Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xfab6f6…
06-03 20:26:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x98f78f…
06-03 20:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1007d1…
06-03 20:23:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1ad288…
06-03 20:23:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb67d90…
06-03 20:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x698b4a…
06-03 20:22:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfa2caf…
06-03 20:22:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3c4400…
06-03 20:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa1a428…
06-03 20:14:48	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?	No	SELL	72	1¢	$1	0x057da9…
06-03 19:45:00	Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?	No	BUY	72	1¢	$1	0xf4780b…
06-01 21:35:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x3e6eca…
06-01 21:34:33	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x99bebf…
06-01 18:31:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x0ee151…
06-01 18:28:01	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe54eb2…
06-01 18:26:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1a0c7e…
06-01 18:22:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5b5d6d…