Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$32

Unrealized P&L

-$29

Hit rate

12.6%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

1,475 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$25.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$50

16 positions

First seen

2026-09-06

last 10-29 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

55% 10% -$185

Other

45% 14% -$186

Crypto

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of December 2026?	Yes		+120	$30	34¢	$40	+$10	10-26 12:05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 20%-25%?	Yes		+2	$0	94¢	$2	+$2	09-10 19:19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+3	$2	76¢	$2	$0	09-14 17:30
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes		+5	$2	26¢	$1	$0	10-07 19:13
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?	No		+1	$4	100¢	$1	-$3	09-08 14:04
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama Senate election by 10%-15%?	Yes	—	+2	$1	48¢	$1	+$0	10-20 09:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	No		+1	$1	46¢	$0	$0	09-15 06:39
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes		+1	$9	62¢	$0	-$9	10-29 00:13
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,100,000 and 4,300,000?	Yes	—	+1	$1	46¢	$0	-$1	10-18 15:59
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota Senate election by 25%-30%?	No	—	+0	$0	96¢	$0	+$0	09-10 19:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	No		+0	$0	62¢	$0	$0	09-17 13:14
Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	Yes		+0	$26	44¢	$0	-$25	10-28 23:42
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+0	$0	63¢	$0	+$0	09-11 09:32
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 0%-5%?	No		+0	$1	100¢	$0	-$1	10-25 01:12
Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?	No		+0	$0	2¢	$0	$0	10-19 23:50
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?	Yes	—	+0	$0	16¢	$0	+$0	09-16 05:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	37	$1.0K	1,031	1,031	+1	open	—	10-29 00:13
Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	21	$619	936	936	+0	Yes	-$37	10-29 06:19
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	23	$567	547	547	+0	open	—	10-29 00:00
Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	10	$500	540	540	+0	open	—	10-28 20:53
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	16	$390	435	435	+0	No	-$46	10-22 13:37
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?	8	$387	360	360	+0	Yes	-$26	10-22 13:32
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?	13	$312	300	300	+0	open	—	10-23 04:01
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?	10	$306	222	222	+0	No	-$5	10-24 07:39
Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?	7	$288	282	282	+0	open	—	10-28 13:12
Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	6	$281	300	300	+0	open	—	10-28 21:57
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	5	$280	200	200	+0	open	—	10-21 05:09
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?	11	$274	290	290	+0	Yes	-$5	10-13 07:52
Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat?	6	$271	260	260	+0	open	—	10-22 11:45
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 0%-3%?	7	$264	260	260	+0	open	—	10-19 07:53
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?	12	$263	237	237	-0	Yes	-$7	10-20 22:46
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?	12	$255	384	384	+0	No	-$12	10-08 17:26
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-01 House election by 60%-65%?	7	$247	160	160	+0	open	—	10-18 21:55
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	10	$244	167	167	+0	open	—	10-25 16:15
Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms?	3	$240	164	164	-0	open	—	10-09 12:43
Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?	10	$240	250	250	+0	No	-$14	10-04 18:46
Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?	6	$231	228	228	+0	open	—	10-29 16:57
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?	6	$227	240	240	+0	Yes	-$4	10-21 03:01
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?	16	$219	227	227	+0	Yes	-$7	10-25 14:52
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?	5	$202	240	240	+0	Yes	-$7	10-22 16:02
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 GA-08 House election by 20%-25%?	4	$193	140	140	+0	open	—	10-10 10:26
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	5	$191	240	240	+0	open	—	10-28 22:55
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 12%-15%?	10	$188	155	155	+0	open	—	10-24 05:55
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-11 House election by 5%-10%?	2	$187	120	120	+0	open	—	10-12 02:45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 30%-35%?	2	$186	120	120	+0	open	—	10-11 00:50
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-08 House election by 35%-40%?	2	$185	120	120	+0	open	—	10-12 07:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 16:59:26	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	61	2¢	$1	0xbd58ce…
10-29 16:57:56	Will Spark launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xd527b2…
10-29 16:57:56	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0xafe028…
10-29 16:57:56	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,650,000 and 2,800,000?	No	SELL	54	72¢	$39	0xa876e8…
10-29 16:57:56	Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote?	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x9d289c…
10-29 16:57:56	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 ME-01 House election by 40%-45%?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0x52f36c…
10-29 16:57:55	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	No	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0x70f372…
10-29 16:57:55	Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?	Yes	SELL	120	68¢	$82	0x699cf1…
10-29 16:57:55	Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	119	20¢	$24	0x37011e…
10-29 07:50:05	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-03 House election by 0%-15%?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x93cf21…
10-29 06:19:56	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	120	6¢	$7	0x58a2ea…
10-29 03:04:26	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts be between 2,650,000 and 2,800,000?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x3620f9…
10-29 00:13:53	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	108	51¢	$55	0xee981e…
10-29 00:13:47	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	59	52¢	$30	0xef86dc…
10-29 00:13:47	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	81	48¢	$39	0xef86dc…
10-29 00:13:47	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xe0d3d4…
10-29 00:07:58	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0xb5e22b…
10-29 00:05:23	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x645a0c…
10-29 00:05:23	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x60f17a…
10-29 00:00:37	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0xb1076e…
10-29 00:00:02	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x6aab76…
10-29 00:00:02	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	70	39¢	$27	0x41d81c…
10-28 23:59:58	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0xe34cee…
10-28 23:59:52	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	22	39¢	$9	0x466d94…
10-28 23:59:01	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	120	43¢	$52	0x6de520…
10-28 23:42:29	Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x7df25c…
10-28 23:42:25	Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbae502…
10-28 23:38:23	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0xe80330…
10-28 23:38:23	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	84	16¢	$13	0x96a720…
10-28 22:55:44	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	120	35¢	$42	0x701c6f…
10-28 22:55:38	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	120	37¢	$44	0x89fe90…
10-28 22:53:50	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	120	55¢	$66	0xefd7e9…
10-28 22:53:49	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	88	53¢	$47	0x86b24b…
10-28 22:53:49	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x376552…
10-28 22:39:28	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	120	16¢	$19	0x1951b5…
10-28 21:57:59	Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	118	55¢	$65	0xa035b4…
10-28 21:57:59	Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x4d5698…
10-28 21:57:19	Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	103	15¢	$15	0xda5cfb…
10-28 21:56:19	Will Yisrael Beiteinu be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	120	78¢	$94	0x22df66…
10-28 21:31:53	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	120	20¢	$24	0xd9a5ba…
10-28 21:29:02	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0xb8f430…
10-28 21:18:55	Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x8555ba…
10-28 21:05:46	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	120	37¢	$44	0x729456…
10-28 21:05:41	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	120	39¢	$47	0x73134b…
10-28 20:53:16	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	120	8¢	$10	0xb49e22…
10-28 20:50:47	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	120	40¢	$48	0xcae72e…
10-28 20:50:43	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	32	55¢	$18	0xb86c6e…
10-28 20:50:43	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x852f27…
10-28 20:50:43	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	56	55¢	$31	0x8399fc…
10-28 20:50:43	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x7ba501…
10-28 20:50:43	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	120	43¢	$52	0x2cb578…
10-28 20:40:22	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	120	27¢	$32	0x981795…
10-28 19:08:02	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	120	26¢	$31	0x47f17c…
10-28 18:51:19	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	120	55¢	$65	0x7c6393…
10-28 18:51:14	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	120	55¢	$66	0x671530…
10-28 18:42:10	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	120	41¢	$49	0x2f06d4…
10-28 18:41:32	Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	120	52¢	$62	0x378202…
10-28 16:04:59	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	120	43¢	$52	0x1c9fd9…
10-28 16:04:55	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xbaa52d…
10-28 16:04:55	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	105	44¢	$46	0x86cec3…
10-28 15:52:02	Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	180	45¢	$81	0xf198ca…
10-28 15:47:49	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	120	62¢	$74	0xd1b69c…
10-28 15:39:34	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	120	64¢	$77	0x386a13…
10-28 14:58:08	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	85	15¢	$13	0xbfea94…
10-28 14:58:08	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	35	15¢	$5	0x14c2fd…
10-28 14:42:05	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	120	15¢	$18	0x622416…
10-28 14:08:34	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	180	55¢	$99	0xe7bbb2…
10-28 14:06:58	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x77fac6…
10-28 14:06:58	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	120	71¢	$85	0x23c532…
10-28 14:06:58	Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	54	70¢	$38	0x0158aa…
10-28 13:33:55	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0xeda486…
10-28 13:27:44	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xa8c4af…
10-28 13:12:50	Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	120	27¢	$32	0x587751…
10-28 13:10:25	Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	120	42¢	$50	0x9be474…
10-28 12:43:16	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	56	17¢	$10	0x4f2cf4…
10-28 12:40:07	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xa4eb3d…
10-28 12:16:26	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	64	19¢	$12	0x16a6f7…
10-28 12:16:22	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	120	24¢	$29	0xcdd7f2…
10-28 11:59:20	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	120	29¢	$35	0x112b94…
10-28 11:59:16	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	120	29¢	$35	0x1bad23…
10-28 11:51:56	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	120	29¢	$35	0xeffefd…
10-28 11:51:52	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xfa52e0…
10-28 11:51:52	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	120	29¢	$35	0xfa52e0…
10-28 11:50:53	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	70	71¢	$50	0xd8b413…
10-28 11:47:55	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	90	71¢	$64	0x834248…
10-28 11:42:35	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	96	76¢	$73	0x8cb786…
10-28 11:38:34	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	40	53¢	$21	0x616aa9…
10-28 11:38:28	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x5975c7…
10-28 11:25:17	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	36	76¢	$28	0xe1b830…
10-28 11:21:29	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	120	79¢	$95	0x5ac738…
10-28 10:55:34	Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	120	55¢	$66	0x40a715…
10-28 10:49:32	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	120	56¢	$67	0xe0486d…
10-28 10:49:28	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	79	58¢	$46	0x80a4f0…
10-28 10:49:26	Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0x288777…
10-28 10:45:23	Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0x7b9aa4…
10-28 10:45:23	Will Shas be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	120	66¢	$79	0x74b5f1…
10-28 09:57:02	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	60	58¢	$35	0x588609…
10-28 09:56:58	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	61	58¢	$35	0xfc2452…
10-28 08:50:34	Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	120	67¢	$80	0xb738c2…
10-28 07:53:37	Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	120	20¢	$24	0x8b88a3…