Puzzled-Caffeine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

Trades

2,561

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 07-27 02:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

88% — —

Other

11% 50% +$11

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	50	$936	620	620	+0	open	—	06-19 23:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	100	$713	875	1,016	-141	open	—	03-01 07:25
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	112	$603	668	636	+32	open	—	02-28 08:07
will iran strike israel on march 10	100	$545	1,397	4,549	-3,152	open	—	03-12 15:27
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	73	$409	407	385	+22	open	—	04-03 23:30
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	92	$376	653	595	+58	open	—	03-05 19:35
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	68	$374	267	284	-17	open	—	04-07 22:33
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	63	$350	423	274	+148	open	—	03-08 18:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	21	$348	377	230	+148	open	—	06-14 22:46
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	32	$301	317	341	-24	open	—	04-12 04:57
will israel or the us target tehran 812	16	$294	222	259	-37	open	—	02-28 06:58
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	43	$247	135	135	+0	open	—	02-24 09:41
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	24	$246	380	0	+380	open	—	06-14 22:46
netanyahu out by march 31 854	33	$228	119	119	+0	open	—	03-21 08:20
epl liv mac 2026 02 08 mac	8	$224	242	242	+0	open	—	02-08 18:21
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	31	$202	118	118	+0	open	—	03-02 18:49
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	11	$193	104	104	+0	open	—	03-08 21:16
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	29	$191	199	216	-17	open	—	04-23 06:58
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	86	$187	176	176	+0	open	—	03-01 05:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	61	$187	202	10	+192	open	—	03-02 16:34
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	26	$184	164	128	+35	open	—	03-09 18:16
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	20	$179	200	185	+15	open	—	03-08 21:08
will israel strike gaza on february 9 2026	49	$174	144	102	+42	open	—	02-10 11:24
iran strike on israel by february 28	47	$169	1,175	907	+268	open	—	02-28 21:13
will iran strike israel on march 6	14	$164	110	88	+22	open	—	03-10 01:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	73	$154	435	223	+212	open	—	03-26 21:01
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	30	$149	558	95	+463	open	—	03-01 12:10
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	13	$149	138	108	+30	open	—	03-07 20:30
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	10	$143	157	136	+21	open	—	03-02 10:52
us strikes iraq by february 28	14	$140	260	220	+40	open	—	03-03 10:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 02:42:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x15fa6b…
07-27 02:04:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xddc902…
07-27 00:59:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xf8171f…
07-27 00:59:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x307410…
07-27 00:59:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb99861…
07-25 01:02:31	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	48	9¢	$4	0x861576…
07-25 01:01:52	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xc8a657…
07-25 01:01:45	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x29aa5c…
07-25 01:01:45	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x16b600…
07-25 01:01:13	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xfadf77…
07-25 01:01:10	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x980cdb…
07-25 01:01:00	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xfb69f6…
07-25 01:00:58	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x01cc77…
07-24 22:03:43	israel military action against yemen by july 21 20260714001321876	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4f85a1…
07-24 21:00:28	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	167	7¢	$12	0x3d0eb2…
07-24 20:59:52	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0x35ab08…
07-24 20:59:42	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe42241…
07-24 20:04:16	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x8835f3…
07-19 23:01:06	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	77	14¢	$11	0x905856…
07-19 23:01:03	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	77	14¢	$11	0x8ce853…
07-19 16:32:10	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0de6cf…
07-19 16:12:37	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 19 2026 20260714195149521	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xce75c5…
07-19 15:56:40	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x01ee71…
07-02 21:25:55	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x6424ff…
06-19 23:38:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	620	95¢	$589	0x11a8dc…
06-19 20:30:16	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x200609…
06-18 05:09:49	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x288999…
06-17 18:11:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0x4234e5…
06-17 17:49:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd170f4…
06-17 17:49:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9dd442…
06-17 17:48:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x52593d…
06-17 17:47:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xaac395…
06-17 17:47:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xf18bf7…
06-17 17:44:50	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3a2653…
06-17 17:43:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4915e0…
06-17 17:43:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xb8d0ec…
06-17 17:41:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x82747a…
06-17 17:41:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x56f001…
06-17 17:41:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x799d70…
06-17 17:41:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x7daa99…
06-17 17:41:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x968043…
06-17 17:41:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x55e4f9…
06-17 17:41:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x857feb…
06-17 17:41:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xdab46f…
06-17 17:41:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xa77388…
06-17 17:41:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x6707f8…
06-17 17:40:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x6f977f…
06-17 17:40:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x6a791d…
06-17 17:40:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x7e4c64…
06-17 17:40:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x91068f…
06-17 17:39:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x73cf4c…
06-17 17:38:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x2c3d10…
06-17 17:38:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5121cc…
06-17 17:38:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xaa6f9c…
06-17 17:38:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xefdee8…
06-17 17:38:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x45fbd8…
06-17 17:38:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x28d3e2…
06-17 17:21:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2166c2…
06-17 17:21:17	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb56570…
06-16 13:50:35	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb81151…
06-16 13:50:31	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x796a10…
06-14 22:46:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x45f1d3…
06-14 22:46:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	89¢	$149	0x3fdb7d…
06-14 20:42:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x4cc4e6…
06-14 20:37:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x9fb66c…
06-14 20:37:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0xcf9d5b…
06-14 20:37:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x5c1320…
06-14 20:37:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0xe4fcde…
06-14 20:37:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xf3951b…
06-14 20:36:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0xb64305…
06-14 20:36:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xa0d68e…
06-14 20:36:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xe71400…
06-14 20:36:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x950623…
06-14 20:36:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x83cd97…
06-14 20:36:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x038738…
06-14 20:36:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xe33e48…
06-14 20:36:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x76da78…
06-14 20:36:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0xd83f69…
06-14 20:36:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x0c0c04…
06-14 20:36:21	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	66¢	$11	0x9cf383…
06-14 20:36:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x6d9fb8…
06-14 20:36:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xda69b6…
06-14 20:36:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	66¢	$10	0xa6b4c1…
06-14 20:36:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x1c5116…
06-14 20:36:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xc61af0…
06-14 20:36:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x1d022a…
06-14 20:36:06	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x03e8e7…
06-14 20:36:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x2092c8…
06-14 20:36:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1e0499…
06-14 20:35:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe7c777…
06-14 20:35:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd8d01a…
06-14 20:35:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xab0447…
06-14 20:35:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9b2610…
06-14 20:35:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb9e8a0…
06-14 20:35:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x52d774…
06-14 20:35:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe8eae8…
06-14 20:35:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf15266…
06-14 20:35:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x363010…
06-14 20:35:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x970800…
06-14 20:09:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	44¢	$10	0x5fcf04…