Buzzing-Burnout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

82.1%

Resolved

Trades

883

lifetime

Volume

$1.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 18:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

66% 72% +$2

Crypto

29% 100% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No		+1	$1	76¢	$1	+$0	06-03 19:10
Discord IPO before 2027?	No		+2	$1	40¢	$1	$-0	05-28 17:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on january 21 2026	4	$74	41	41	+0	open	—	01-21 19:12
btc updown 4h 1769014800	5	$73	49	49	+0	open	—	01-21 20:33
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	9	$64	41	41	+0	open	—	02-06 09:38
spx up or down on january 20 2026	5	$39	21	21	+0	open	—	01-20 16:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-15 15:12
btc updown 4h 1768885200	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	01-20 07:00
btc updown 4h 1768813200	5	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	01-19 12:58
bitcoin up or down on january 20	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	01-20 14:20
bitcoin up or down january 20 8am et	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	01-20 13:54
bitcoin up or down january 19 6am et	4	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	01-19 11:50
tsla up or down on january 20 2026	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	01-20 14:37
mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 20 2026 1pt81	4	$16	6	11	-5	open	—	01-20 11:41
bitcoin up or down on february 9	2	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	02-09 14:45
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	3	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	02-10 11:42
btc updown 4h 1769144400	4	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	01-23 07:40
xrp updown 15m 1769849100	4	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	01-31 08:58
spx up or down on january 22 2026	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	01-22 16:01
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 320 339	3	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	02-24 04:25
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	11	$13	25	25	+0	open	—	02-06 15:31
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	8	$13	29	29	+0	open	—	02-06 13:21
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 280 299	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	02-09 10:58
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	3	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	02-08 07:43
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	4	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 12:26
lly quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 04 2026 7pt06	4	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	02-03 03:20
xrp updown 15m 1770546600	3	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-08 10:41
bitcoin up or down on january 19	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-19 14:04
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 65 89	7	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	02-04 14:27
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 115 139	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-04 14:55
baba quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 19 2026 1pt59	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-19 10:06
atp khachan munar 2026 02 12	4	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-12 10:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 18:55:06	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe14496…
06-08 18:52:12	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfcd72a…
06-06 10:28:43	mtn quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 08 2026 9pt00	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x79dc94…
06-06 10:18:55	cpb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 08 2026 0pt48	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x96373c…
06-03 19:10:12	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf7b722…
06-03 18:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd2edcb…
06-03 18:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0524c5…
06-02 11:17:31	Will lululemon athletica (LULU) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xa4f2fc…
06-02 10:20:15	Will lululemon athletica (LULU) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x6da682…
06-02 09:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x97af42…
06-02 09:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x187116…
06-01 14:59:38	Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xea1eb5…
06-01 14:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xad7ce9…
06-01 13:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xfd24c6…
05-28 17:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x646c68…
05-28 17:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x061b3d…
05-28 17:00:03	Discord IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x21d233…
05-27 20:56:20	will xagusd dip to 69 by may 25 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xda88c0…
05-25 15:35:36	will xagusd dip to 69 by may 25 2026	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x37d4d5…
05-25 09:20:47	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$2	0x9b1abc…
05-24 16:10:07	Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe4f874…
05-24 16:07:11	Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x69bbc4…
05-24 14:01:51	sea par sas 2026 05 24 corners total 11pt5	Under	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x574b8c…
05-24 11:45:09	Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc7f499…
05-24 11:43:50	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x460ae0…
05-24 10:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdd4cb9…
05-24 10:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x80cf0f…
05-23 11:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8dcf34…
05-23 10:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4919ff…
05-23 10:28:32	sea par sas 2026 05 24 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x511d79…
05-23 10:23:21	Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdac8c5…
05-22 10:23:58	ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa7fea8…
05-19 20:00:31	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x86950a…
05-19 12:48:16	AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xad8ae3…
05-17 19:33:18	Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe2b6ea…
05-17 16:53:03	Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x13632a…
05-15 15:12:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x72d719…
05-15 15:05:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x3b3233…
05-14 17:27:52	Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc715c7…
05-14 16:31:53	Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x815b00…
05-14 08:16:35	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x5a8b6a…
05-13 12:38:22	Getafe CF vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xac3afd…
05-13 10:22:44	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3db431…
05-12 12:34:14	CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x55bef1…
05-11 10:02:38	SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Under	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x48f9ec…
05-10 12:10:47	RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xc46ddc…
05-10 09:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x7078f4…
05-10 09:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x4db44b…
05-10 09:26:29	RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x57dc30…
05-10 09:12:20	Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x8f8882…
05-09 13:06:39	Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe028aa…
05-09 08:41:51	Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x4c62b6…
05-09 08:10:21	Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x4e4720…
05-09 08:07:55	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xba5975…
05-09 07:52:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xed8d96…
05-08 18:53:15	Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xdb465f…
05-08 08:03:57	Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc9c044…
05-07 20:13:01	Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf5d957…
05-07 20:12:47	Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x562cf0…
05-07 15:33:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x96056c…
05-07 12:26:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa67755…
05-07 11:58:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb9a54d…
05-07 11:14:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xf51c0b…
05-07 10:57:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xde8fb8…
05-07 10:51:26	Will Marketaxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4babb3…
05-07 08:38:30	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xb67393…
05-07 07:47:50	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xb0c6e4…
05-07 07:40:01	Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x55dc82…
05-07 07:13:18	Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x39cd35…
05-07 06:32:25	Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0xe7c7a2…
05-06 20:15:06	Will Goodyear (GT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x28e5da…
05-06 17:07:21	Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x99f34a…
05-06 14:18:16	Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	45¢	$1	0x5761d1…
05-06 13:54:42	Will Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x252a0f…
05-06 13:41:16	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe3db05…
05-06 12:59:30	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x89f62f…
05-06 11:15:52	Will Papa John's (PZZA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5c886b…
05-05 11:11:46	Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xb15668…
05-05 11:04:16	Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8097de…
05-05 10:33:42	Will US Foods (USFD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb0b4ed…
05-05 10:06:38	Will Integra Lifesciences (IART) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc40c12…
05-05 09:57:38	Will Marketaxess (MKTX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x14f3af…
05-04 20:20:58	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Everton FC	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xf961f4…
05-04 20:07:18	Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2f49ff…
05-04 17:03:08	Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x92c531…
05-04 14:00:40	Will Sonos (SONO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe6b1ed…
05-04 13:59:38	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x89f623…
05-04 13:18:16	Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa20d6b…
05-04 13:05:44	Will Harley-Davidson (HOG) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb04950…
05-04 12:48:32	Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x615493…
05-04 12:20:30	Will Integra Lifesciences (IART) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9eb879…
05-04 11:49:06	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Everton FC	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x865832…
05-03 13:23:22	SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0ccb92…
05-03 13:00:54	Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7c15ca…
04-30 16:52:18	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xa0d2b2…
04-30 14:28:20	Will Piper Sandler (PIPR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xea4281…
04-30 14:10:12	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8209b2…
04-30 12:59:32	Will CVS Health (CVS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x615a1c…
04-30 12:12:04	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of April 27 2026?	No	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x1b413c…
04-30 11:50:56	Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa0ef66…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	214	$11.4M	20,434	06-08 11:13
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	209	$405.6K	38,014	06-01 00:01
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	205	$26.6K	6,022	05-14 10:02
Mountainous-Elongation 0x5fe5…8b99	170	$24.4K	5,966	04-12 03:20
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	155	$889.2K	17,859	06-10 03:26
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	155	$23.1K	1,040	06-08 20:05
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	153	$218.1K	19,303	03-28 18:24
Impartial-Shot 0x05c6…d823	140	$109.0K	268	06-07 08:08