Velvety-Tin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$638

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$41

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 02:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	+21	$10	99¢	$21	+$11	05-06 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	+17	$17	99¢	$17	+$0	05-06 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	+242	$10	1¢	$2	$-8	05-06 02:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$47	89	+89	open	—	05-05 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$32	56	+56	open	—	05-05 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$30	51	+51	open	—	05-06 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$27	259	+259	open	—	05-06 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$23	43	+43	open	—	05-05 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$20	35	+35	open	—	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$20	29	+29	open	—	05-06 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$17	25	+25	open	—	05-05 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$17	25	+25	open	—	05-06 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$15	28	+28	open	—	05-05 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$15	25	+25	open	—	05-05 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$15	29	+29	open	—	05-05 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$11	16	+16	open	—	05-06 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$11	29	+29	open	—	05-05 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	05-06 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$10	21	+21	open	—	05-06 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$9	16	+16	Down	+$2	05-05 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$7	9	+9	open	—	05-05 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$7	11	+11	open	—	05-05 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$7	13	+13	open	—	05-05 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$7	13	+13	open	—	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$7	11	+11	Down	+$0	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$6	11	+11	Up	$-1	05-05 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$6	11	+11	Up	$-2	05-05 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$6	11	+11	Down	$-3	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	3	$6	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-05 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$6	12	+12	Up	+$1	05-05 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$6	11	+11	open	—	05-05 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$6	12	+12	Up	+$2	05-05 03:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	3	$6	11	+11	open	—	05-05 07:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 02:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc8a0dc…
05-06 02:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	242	4¢	$10	0x2a62f2…
05-06 02:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xa41e22…
05-06 02:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x53c411…
05-06 01:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xa5557a…
05-06 01:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x531da8…
05-06 01:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x82cab3…
05-06 01:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x781e82…
05-06 01:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x136f7a…
05-06 01:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x0bd2d5…
05-06 01:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x29c4c1…
05-06 01:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0x42ce49…
05-06 01:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x25dad5…
05-06 01:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x14c53c…
05-06 00:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x0896b7…
05-06 00:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xa535cd…
05-06 00:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xb00918…
05-05 19:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xe30da1…
05-05 19:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0xf181cb…
05-05 19:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xce036c…
05-05 18:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x1d1037…
05-05 18:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x427aaa…
05-05 18:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x59a8ad…
05-05 18:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xc193d1…
05-05 18:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xff8533…
05-05 18:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x797a0d…
05-05 18:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x152575…
05-05 18:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x8fef6d…
05-05 18:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xa1d5ea…
05-05 17:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x7d6993…
05-05 17:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xf2120a…
05-05 17:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x15d38d…
05-05 16:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xe49a7d…
05-05 16:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xb23dc2…
05-05 16:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	53¢	$15	0x3260d7…
05-05 16:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x42e328…
05-05 15:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0x1161db…
05-05 15:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	43	53¢	$23	0x76ae11…
05-05 14:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x6073b2…
05-05 14:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x0a5243…
05-05 14:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa4d283…
05-05 13:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x50ffaa…
05-05 13:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2185ec…
05-05 13:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x1f8a04…
05-05 12:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x252e09…
05-05 11:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x240c88…
05-05 11:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9939b2…
05-05 11:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x3d055a…
05-05 11:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xc8e209…
05-05 10:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xadf464…
05-05 10:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf868cf…
05-05 10:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xdb4db5…
05-05 10:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xbc9897…
05-05 10:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x282f8e…
05-05 09:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2f3835…
05-05 09:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xcc1657…
05-05 09:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb37a49…
05-05 09:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe96e48…
05-05 09:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x26218f…
05-05 09:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb9b5e7…
05-05 09:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8ca7c0…
05-05 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x65574e…
05-05 08:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xcfc568…
05-05 08:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xe6ebbe…
05-05 08:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x84dbec…
05-05 08:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x692f2e…
05-05 08:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd2a488…
05-05 08:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x72222e…
05-05 08:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0ab424…
05-05 08:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xe8812c…
05-05 08:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x65ff22…
05-05 08:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd8f822…
05-05 08:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x79ba44…
05-05 08:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5107c5…
05-05 07:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x54f22b…
05-05 07:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xbee58d…
05-05 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa39274…
05-05 07:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x111faa…
05-05 07:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0fd91c…
05-05 07:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x73f709…
05-05 07:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xca5c43…
05-05 07:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x178051…
05-05 07:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe89324…
05-05 06:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x77189c…
05-05 06:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x736310…
05-05 06:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb9fa4b…
05-05 06:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x08983f…
05-05 06:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd08dc8…
05-05 06:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x55ded6…
05-05 06:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xb97c2b…
05-05 06:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x7016c6…
05-05 06:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x3253fd…
05-05 06:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd96d31…
05-05 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xf19945…
05-05 05:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x0181ee…
05-05 05:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf6dba8…
05-05 05:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xef33de…
05-05 05:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe06b73…
05-05 05:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xcb874a…
05-05 05:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x8388fd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	108	$17.9K	624	05-06 02:14
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	96	$14.4K	555	05-06 02:14
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	96	$8.81K	774	05-06 02:14
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	95	$7.30K	628	05-06 02:14
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	95	$5.83K	342	05-06 02:08
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	95	$749	262	05-06 02:14
Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42	94	$1.01K	362	05-06 02:14
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	91	$5.92K	350	05-06 02:14