Acceptable-Railing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,379

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$24

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 06-30 08:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

59% 31% $-44

Politics

38% 100% +$18

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No		+20	$12	100¢	$20	+$8	06-17 22:02
Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	Yes		+75	$5	6¢	$4	$-1	06-29 14:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	17	$2.3K	1,292	1,292	+0	open	—	05-22 01:16
will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	24	$651	703	0	+703	open	—	06-30 05:31
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	15	$619	370	370	+0	open	—	05-15 19:01
Will Trump say "Insurance" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	15	$392	350	300	+50	open	—	05-18 21:20
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	34	$388	785	575	+211	open	—	05-14 20:58
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	21	$380	341	300	+41	open	—	05-16 13:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	14	$374	252	252	+0	open	—	03-03 19:17
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	24	$357	295	234	+62	open	—	05-15 21:56
will iran strike israel on march 3	25	$353	216	216	+0	open	—	03-03 20:58
Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	7	$328	375	0	+375	open	—	05-20 16:21
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	12	$301	258	108	+150	open	—	05-13 22:30
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	16	$270	373	267	+106	open	—	05-16 13:45
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?	21	$253	276	186	+90	open	—	05-20 12:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	19	$233	200	164	+36	open	—	03-25 00:30
Will Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?	8	$231	214	90	+124	open	—	05-01 21:19
will trump say trumprx during healthcare affordability events	5	$225	135	114	+21	open	—	05-18 20:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$213	270	66	+204	open	—	03-23 15:10
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	3	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	03-03 19:47
Will Trump say "Tariff" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	4	$196	251	0	+251	open	—	05-18 20:57
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	11	$185	97	97	+0	open	—	03-02 16:30
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Coast Guard event?	3	$182	188	0	+188	open	—	05-20 16:45
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$182	95	95	+0	open	—	05-10 10:28
will trump say messi 3 times during inter miami events on thursday	11	$171	105	105	+0	open	—	03-05 21:53
Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	6	$168	187	40	+147	open	—	05-20 15:53
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	13	$167	244	167	+77	open	—	05-16 13:42
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	14	$165	277	137	+140	open	—	05-14 18:44
will hillary say fbi during her epstein testimony	10	$161	798	798	-0	open	—	03-02 22:50
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$159	164	0	+164	open	—	05-28 21:53
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	20	$147	308	126	+182	open	—	05-16 13:49
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	14	$145	230	129	+101	open	—	05-16 12:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 08:35:26	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x3ae01d…
06-30 07:42:50	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x126fbe…
06-30 05:31:20	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xff42a9…
06-29 21:50:04	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0x300bf4…
06-29 20:52:07	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x12d746…
06-29 20:21:35	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	92	93¢	$86	0x0cccc0…
06-29 19:48:46	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xe1c1ad…
06-29 14:47:20	Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	Yes	SELL	49	9¢	$4	0xbd4ad9…
06-29 13:44:17	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	35	93¢	$32	0xe26344…
06-29 08:36:43	will messi and ronaldo shake hands during world cup 20260609221211643	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0xaf904e…
06-29 04:41:19	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x0c9c66…
06-28 15:54:50	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	83	91¢	$75	0xed5dac…
06-28 14:51:31	Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xf34866…
06-28 14:31:52	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0xb92ff2…
06-28 12:48:14	Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x4a6a63…
06-28 09:58:34	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x9537b3…
06-28 05:29:05	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x8b37d6…
06-28 00:45:41	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdf5d9c…
06-27 23:00:58	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xa6573d…
06-27 22:59:25	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$47	0xe7af40…
06-27 22:55:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0xfa4a6f…
06-27 22:52:29	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xc0f282…
06-27 22:01:13	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0xc84579…
06-27 21:04:17	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x082cec…
06-26 21:46:10	Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf6c50f…
06-26 20:30:58	Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xd1bdfe…
06-26 19:54:41	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0xe09703…
06-26 19:39:05	Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0x2fedc0…
06-26 19:36:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	35	44¢	$15	0xa62504…
06-25 15:17:47	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe15e99…
06-25 14:49:34	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x9cd75b…
06-23 16:10:07	Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31?	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x069c4c…
06-20 17:42:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x0e7cc8…
06-17 22:02:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa0b64d…
06-16 17:18:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x63ccea…
06-16 17:17:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3cfa9d…
06-12 23:07:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x98a100…
06-12 23:07:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xd30d48…
05-28 21:54:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	51	86¢	$44	0xf834a2…
05-28 21:53:09	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	164	97¢	$159	0x4fa1a7…
05-28 18:15:58	will bessent say hormuz or strait during press briefing	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x68dfe3…
05-22 15:26:20	Will Trump say "Peanut" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x878241…
05-22 01:16:20	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	1,157	100¢	$1,153	0x02df13…
05-22 01:07:56	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	802	98¢	$786	0xf84e66…
05-22 01:02:08	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x259874…
05-22 00:54:03	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x01d08e…
05-22 00:53:39	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xe485e3…
05-22 00:53:35	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xa56655…
05-22 00:52:29	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x236607…
05-21 23:36:16	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x42b801…
05-21 23:36:09	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x520230…
05-21 23:35:48	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x5dae10…
05-21 21:57:58	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	127	73¢	$93	0x51bd15…
05-21 21:31:21	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xf78dcc…
05-21 21:30:33	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	122	78¢	$95	0x26e79d…
05-21 16:13:38	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xd8fdd7…
05-21 16:04:25	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xa816e9…
05-21 14:16:23	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x1e36ed…
05-21 09:00:04	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	59	41¢	$24	0x69b9bb…
05-20 16:45:58	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8b22f1…
05-20 16:45:33	Will Trump say "Skirmish" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x46cd2c…
05-20 16:45:12	Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xa063e2…
05-20 16:45:07	Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	148	98¢	$145	0x1c5133…
05-20 16:44:55	Will Trump say "Medal" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x0065d5…
05-20 16:41:39	Will Trump say "Medal" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x7401b2…
05-20 16:35:12	Will Trump say "Medal" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0x9e8d49…
05-20 16:32:48	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	Yes	SELL	115	23¢	$27	0xc11944…
05-20 16:24:52	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x10a40f…
05-20 16:24:49	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x215826…
05-20 16:24:45	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xc9c0f9…
05-20 16:21:38	Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x9f1e81…
05-20 16:21:36	Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0xa20471…
05-20 16:21:26	Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0xf3771f…
05-20 16:21:21	Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x64d208…
05-20 16:21:19	Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	27	65¢	$17	0x1ae407…
05-20 16:21:10	Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0xcd0150…
05-20 16:20:32	Will Trump say "Cookie" this week?	Yes	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x9c2f09…
05-20 16:20:28	Will Trump say "Cookie" this week?	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x14fd68…
05-20 16:08:06	Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x8721a5…
05-20 15:53:56	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	87	98¢	$86	0x5e5e9c…
05-20 15:47:36	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x43ab17…
05-20 15:41:30	Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xaa6c36…
05-20 15:41:20	Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x3d887d…
05-20 15:41:11	Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x70a65b…
05-20 15:40:55	Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x192be9…
05-20 15:36:31	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x3dd05b…
05-20 15:35:10	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x7b2ef2…
05-20 15:34:53	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xc68490…
05-20 15:34:34	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x60badc…
05-20 15:24:35	Will Trump say "Space Force" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x776dc1…
05-20 15:24:18	Will Trump say "Space Force" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	59	66¢	$39	0x37bfd3…
05-20 15:20:28	Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4573f9…
05-20 15:15:36	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	18	36¢	$6	0x8d82af…
05-20 15:12:17	Will Trump say "Transgender" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	94	30¢	$28	0xd7bb4a…
05-20 15:11:40	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0x25ce10…
05-20 15:00:03	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x583d84…
05-20 14:59:04	Will Trump say "Rebuilt / Rebuild" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xa45e25…
05-20 14:57:33	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xfbcb01…
05-20 14:48:53	Will Trump say "Texas" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	130	60¢	$78	0xbe053f…
05-20 14:47:08	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	77	36¢	$27	0xb06269…