Acceptable-Railing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,330

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$49

1 position

First seen

2026-02-17

last 05-28 21:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

57% 31% $-44

Politics

41% 100% +$18

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No		+51	$44	96¢	$49	+$5	05-28 21:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	17	$2.3K	1,292	1,292	+0	open	—	05-22 01:16
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	15	$619	370	370	+0	open	—	05-15 19:01
Will Trump say "Insurance" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	15	$392	350	300	+50	open	—	05-18 21:20
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	34	$388	785	575	+211	open	—	05-14 20:58
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	21	$380	341	300	+41	open	—	05-16 13:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	14	$374	252	252	+0	open	—	03-03 19:17
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	24	$357	295	234	+62	open	—	05-15 21:56
will iran strike israel on march 3	25	$353	216	216	+0	open	—	03-03 20:58
Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	7	$328	375	0	+375	open	—	05-20 16:21
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	12	$301	258	108	+150	open	—	05-13 22:30
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	16	$270	373	267	+106	open	—	05-16 13:45
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?	21	$253	276	186	+90	open	—	05-20 12:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	19	$233	200	164	+36	open	—	03-25 00:30
Will Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?	8	$231	214	90	+124	open	—	05-01 21:19
will trump say trumprx during healthcare affordability events	5	$225	135	114	+21	open	—	05-18 20:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$213	270	66	+204	open	—	03-23 15:10
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	3	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	03-03 19:47
Will Trump say "Tariff" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	4	$196	251	0	+251	open	—	05-18 20:57
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	11	$185	97	97	+0	open	—	03-02 16:30
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Coast Guard event?	3	$182	188	0	+188	open	—	05-20 16:45
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$182	95	95	+0	open	—	05-10 10:28
will trump say messi 3 times during inter miami events on thursday	11	$171	105	105	+0	open	—	03-05 21:53
Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	6	$168	187	40	+147	open	—	05-20 15:53
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	13	$167	244	167	+77	open	—	05-16 13:42
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	14	$165	277	137	+140	open	—	05-14 18:44
will hillary say fbi during her epstein testimony	10	$161	798	798	-0	open	—	03-02 22:50
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$159	164	0	+164	open	—	05-28 21:53
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	20	$147	308	126	+182	open	—	05-16 13:49
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	14	$145	230	129	+101	open	—	05-16 12:56
Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	6	$143	109	109	+0	Yes	+$76	05-12 22:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 21:54:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	51	86¢	$44	0xf834a2…
05-28 21:53:09	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	164	97¢	$159	0x4fa1a7…
05-28 18:15:58	will bessent say hormuz or strait during press briefing	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x68dfe3…
05-22 15:26:20	Will Trump say "Peanut" during events in Rockland County?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x878241…
05-22 01:16:20	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	1,157	100¢	$1,153	0x02df13…
05-22 01:07:56	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	802	98¢	$786	0xf84e66…
05-22 01:02:08	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x259874…
05-22 00:54:03	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x01d08e…
05-22 00:53:39	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xe485e3…
05-22 00:53:35	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xa56655…
05-22 00:52:29	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0x236607…
05-21 23:36:16	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x42b801…
05-21 23:36:09	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x520230…
05-21 23:35:48	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x5dae10…
05-21 21:57:58	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	127	73¢	$93	0x51bd15…
05-21 21:31:21	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xf78dcc…
05-21 21:30:33	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	122	78¢	$95	0x26e79d…
05-21 16:13:38	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xd8fdd7…
05-21 16:04:25	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xa816e9…
05-21 14:16:23	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x1e36ed…
05-21 09:00:04	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	59	41¢	$24	0x69b9bb…
05-20 16:45:58	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8b22f1…
05-20 16:45:33	Will Trump say "Skirmish" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x46cd2c…
05-20 16:45:12	Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xa063e2…
05-20 16:45:07	Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	148	98¢	$145	0x1c5133…
05-20 16:44:55	Will Trump say "Medal" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x0065d5…
05-20 16:41:39	Will Trump say "Medal" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x7401b2…
05-20 16:35:12	Will Trump say "Medal" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0x9e8d49…
05-20 16:32:48	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	Yes	SELL	115	23¢	$27	0xc11944…
05-20 16:24:52	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x10a40f…
05-20 16:24:49	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x215826…
05-20 16:24:45	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xc9c0f9…
05-20 16:21:38	Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x9f1e81…
05-20 16:21:36	Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0xa20471…
05-20 16:21:26	Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0xf3771f…
05-20 16:21:21	Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x64d208…
05-20 16:21:19	Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	27	65¢	$17	0x1ae407…
05-20 16:21:10	Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	42	89¢	$37	0xcd0150…
05-20 16:20:32	Will Trump say "Cookie" this week?	Yes	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x9c2f09…
05-20 16:20:28	Will Trump say "Cookie" this week?	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x14fd68…
05-20 16:08:06	Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x8721a5…
05-20 15:53:56	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	87	98¢	$86	0x5e5e9c…
05-20 15:47:36	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x43ab17…
05-20 15:41:30	Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xaa6c36…
05-20 15:41:20	Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x3d887d…
05-20 15:41:11	Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x70a65b…
05-20 15:40:55	Will Trump say "Kevin" or "Warsh" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x192be9…
05-20 15:36:31	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x3dd05b…
05-20 15:35:10	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x7b2ef2…
05-20 15:34:53	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xc68490…
05-20 15:34:34	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x60badc…
05-20 15:24:35	Will Trump say "Space Force" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x776dc1…
05-20 15:24:18	Will Trump say "Space Force" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	59	66¢	$39	0x37bfd3…
05-20 15:20:28	Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4573f9…
05-20 15:15:36	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	18	36¢	$6	0x8d82af…
05-20 15:12:17	Will Trump say "Transgender" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	94	30¢	$28	0xd7bb4a…
05-20 15:11:40	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0x25ce10…
05-20 15:00:03	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x583d84…
05-20 14:59:04	Will Trump say "Rebuilt / Rebuild" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xa45e25…
05-20 14:57:33	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xfbcb01…
05-20 14:48:53	Will Trump say "Texas" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	130	60¢	$78	0xbe053f…
05-20 14:47:08	Will Trump say "Best military" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	77	36¢	$27	0xb06269…
05-20 14:33:15	Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x468866…
05-20 14:33:08	Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5c542a…
05-20 13:40:33	Will Trump say "Texas" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x4617f3…
05-20 13:23:50	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xf3152e…
05-20 13:08:54	Will Trump say "Space Force" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x100652…
05-20 13:08:12	Will Trump say "Space Force" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xa078ff…
05-20 13:06:01	Will Trump say "Space Force" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd99465…
05-20 13:01:17	Will Trump say "Space Force" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xeb826e…
05-20 12:33:28	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x7653b9…
05-20 12:22:39	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x892c0a…
05-20 12:22:39	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x39940d…
05-20 12:22:05	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xb17783…
05-20 11:47:37	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x65c420…
05-20 11:43:49	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x5f5edb…
05-20 11:31:10	Will Trump say "China" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x41ecfd…
05-20 11:14:27	Will Trump say "Maduro" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xb3d2cf…
05-20 09:36:59	Will Trump say "Smart" or "Genius" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xbac423…
05-20 08:49:07	Will Trump say "Maduro" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x7a0f9b…
05-20 07:57:50	Will Trump say "Maduro" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x8a656d…
05-20 07:20:46	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x13eb3b…
05-20 07:13:15	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x23b746…
05-20 06:44:33	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xa282ed…
05-20 06:29:17	Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	79	15¢	$12	0x63ae12…
05-20 06:24:23	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x82361e…
05-20 06:17:02	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	SELL	40	69¢	$27	0xf0225f…
05-20 05:25:27	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9b3146…
05-20 04:44:40	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0x774a13…
05-20 04:39:37	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x18f32e…
05-20 04:36:13	Will Trump say "Texas" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	SELL	28	58¢	$16	0x9b64f0…
05-20 03:48:56	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0xf85ec1…
05-20 02:13:32	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xb6e11b…
05-20 01:33:15	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x78f3c8…
05-20 00:23:50	Will Trump say "ISIS" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x39d9df…
05-19 23:45:55	Will Trump say "ISIS" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x7e7918…
05-19 23:45:44	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x81d180…
05-19 23:18:18	Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xf4cd3e…
05-19 22:58:00	Will Trump say "Medal" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0069a3…
05-19 22:36:25	Will Trump say "Maduro" during Coast Guard event?	No	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0x8cdde1…