Acceptable-Railing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,504

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 08-11 03:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

58% 31% $-44

Politics

37% 100% +$18

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	17	$2.3K	1,292	1,292	+0	open	—	05-22 01:16
will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	31	$811	774	100	+674	open	—	07-24 13:56
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	15	$619	370	370	+0	open	—	05-15 19:01
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	5	$589	450	225	+225	open	—	08-10 11:56
Will Trump say "Insurance" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	15	$392	350	300	+50	open	—	05-18 21:20
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	34	$388	785	575	+211	open	—	05-14 20:58
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	21	$380	341	300	+41	open	—	05-16 13:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	14	$374	252	252	+0	open	—	03-03 19:17
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	24	$357	295	234	+62	open	—	05-15 21:56
will iran strike israel on march 3	25	$353	216	216	+0	open	—	03-03 20:58
Will Trump say "Bravest People" during Coast Guard event?	7	$328	375	0	+375	open	—	05-20 16:21
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	12	$301	258	108	+150	open	—	05-13 22:30
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	16	$270	373	267	+106	open	—	05-16 13:45
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Coast Guard event?	21	$253	276	186	+90	open	—	05-20 12:22
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	19	$233	200	164	+36	open	—	03-25 00:30
Will Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?	8	$231	214	90	+124	open	—	05-01 21:19
will trump say trumprx during healthcare affordability events	5	$225	135	114	+21	open	—	05-18 20:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$213	270	66	+204	open	—	03-23 15:10
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	3	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	03-03 19:47
Will Trump say "Tariff" during Healthcare Affordability Events?	4	$196	251	0	+251	open	—	05-18 20:57
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	11	$185	97	97	+0	open	—	03-02 16:30
Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Coast Guard event?	3	$182	188	0	+188	open	—	05-20 16:45
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$182	95	95	+0	open	—	05-10 10:28
will trump say messi 3 times during inter miami events on thursday	11	$171	105	105	+0	open	—	03-05 21:53
Will Trump say "Hell" during Coast Guard event?	6	$168	187	40	+147	open	—	05-20 15:53
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	13	$167	244	167	+77	open	—	05-16 13:42
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	14	$165	277	137	+140	open	—	05-14 18:44
will hillary say fbi during her epstein testimony	10	$161	798	798	-0	open	—	03-02 22:50
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$159	164	0	+164	open	—	05-28 21:53
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	20	$147	308	126	+182	open	—	05-16 13:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 03:16:57	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xbb24aa…
08-10 11:56:18	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	225	88¢	$198	0x30d849…
08-10 08:52:27	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0xb569f4…
08-10 08:51:09	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x6be47a…
08-10 08:50:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x76c71b…
07-24 13:56:45	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	SELL	98	95¢	$93	0x397218…
07-23 21:27:57	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5a164b…
07-23 20:51:27	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x487865…
07-22 19:07:31	btc updown 5m 1784747100	Up	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0x9b49e1…
07-22 19:06:55	btc updown 5m 1784747100	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc6ccd5…
07-21 20:57:52	btc updown 5m 1784667300	Down	SELL	37	43¢	$16	0xc55fec…
07-21 20:57:21	btc updown 5m 1784667300	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x9e25f8…
07-21 20:56:43	btc updown 5m 1784667300	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7a3556…
07-21 20:53:09	btc updown 5m 1784667000	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xe00b74…
07-21 20:51:57	btc updown 5m 1784667000	Up	SELL	19	41¢	$8	0x7056a7…
07-21 20:51:48	btc updown 5m 1784667000	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x2d84f9…
07-20 17:28:00	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xe37030…
07-20 15:57:57	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x2c5e03…
07-20 15:41:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x469e17…
07-20 15:38:34	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x420e9f…
07-20 14:01:45	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	SELL	40	93¢	$37	0xfbc49b…
07-20 06:55:09	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x662f55…
07-19 23:18:51	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	0	86¢	$0	0x1ac197…
07-19 23:18:36	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x7236ed…
07-19 23:14:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0xfda3de…
07-19 23:14:34	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5bc0f1…
07-19 22:59:03	btc updown 5m 1784501700	Up	SELL	27	19¢	$5	0xb71f2b…
07-19 22:58:16	btc updown 5m 1784501700	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7441d2…
07-19 22:58:10	btc updown 5m 1784501700	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xccae92…
07-19 22:50:51	btc updown 5m 1784501400	Up	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x4529a8…
07-19 22:50:24	btc updown 5m 1784501400	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7f487f…
07-19 15:41:55	btc updown 5m 1784475600	Down	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0x4791f4…
07-19 15:41:01	btc updown 5m 1784475600	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x905e8d…
07-19 14:47:33	btc updown 5m 1784472300	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd76cd1…
07-19 14:47:16	btc updown 5m 1784472300	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x5ec6ff…
07-19 14:47:07	btc updown 5m 1784472300	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x879c86…
07-19 14:46:25	btc updown 5m 1784472300	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x6857d7…
07-19 14:46:10	btc updown 5m 1784472300	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xad96f6…
07-19 14:46:09	btc updown 5m 1784472300	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x14c8d3…
07-19 14:43:24	btc updown 5m 1784472000	Up	SELL	36	31¢	$11	0xfd2c5a…
07-19 14:43:06	btc updown 5m 1784472000	Up	SELL	52	26¢	$13	0x1f0786…
07-19 14:42:55	btc updown 5m 1784472000	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x37e98e…
07-19 14:42:00	btc updown 5m 1784472000	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xefd07d…
07-19 14:41:54	btc updown 5m 1784472000	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xbab3b0…
07-19 14:39:19	btc updown 5m 1784471700	Down	SELL	24	60¢	$14	0x91def2…
07-19 14:38:57	btc updown 5m 1784471700	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x264d2c…
07-19 14:37:52	btc updown 5m 1784471700	Down	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0x16f2c9…
07-19 14:37:34	btc updown 5m 1784471700	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf5882b…
07-19 14:37:28	btc updown 5m 1784471700	Down	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xb2a5b3…
07-19 14:37:03	btc updown 5m 1784471700	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc14a29…
07-19 14:36:33	btc updown 5m 1784471700	Up	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0x5f2063…
07-19 14:36:24	btc updown 5m 1784471700	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x3ef4fa…
07-19 14:30:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	44	12¢	$5	0x2525f8…
07-19 14:12:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x071866…
07-19 13:54:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lionel messi gte3	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x5563dc…
07-19 13:51:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0xffc704…
07-19 13:40:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x152ff3…
07-19 13:29:36	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	142	0¢	$1	0xc164f1…
07-19 11:36:48	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	Yes	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x64e527…
07-19 09:53:00	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0xad5fb3…
07-19 09:51:51	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	137	98¢	$134	0xd1bdb3…
07-18 23:45:04	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	42	84¢	$35	0xfbcced…
07-18 23:45:03	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	No	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x290294…
07-18 23:43:12	Clavicular sentenced to prison?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x5e418b…
07-18 23:42:19	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xfa04d5…
07-18 23:41:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xb6b484…
07-18 23:34:06	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	SELL	40	70¢	$28	0x90452b…
07-18 20:49:58	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x7d1303…
07-18 03:26:39	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x224536…
07-17 17:20:55	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5cd898…
07-17 17:19:45	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xf8fe10…
07-17 09:55:12	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x7a6b01…
07-17 09:49:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x8cee4e…
07-17 09:48:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x8aed25…
07-17 09:48:18	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	30	60¢	$18	0x3f18fa…
07-14 22:46:37	will justin biebers monthly listeners figure hit 150m by august 31 20260710220109220	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xbcbedf…
07-13 10:36:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x0bab11…
07-13 10:15:29	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xab6747…
07-13 09:41:11	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0x7320e7…
07-13 09:37:34	iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x1fc246…
07-13 09:36:26	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0xe0b406…
07-12 12:00:41	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x3974a1…
07-12 08:29:28	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xc5dc15…
07-11 22:53:50	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	Yes	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0x178265…
07-11 22:48:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x09fc69…
07-11 22:44:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x28dfec…
07-11 22:44:20	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x64a6c3…
07-11 18:59:14	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xe6e21b…
07-11 18:58:43	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xc4089e…
07-11 11:06:04	will trump meet with joseph aoun in july 2026 20260626153701915	Yes	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x15c1c2…
07-09 13:26:01	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x8f591e…
07-09 10:42:20	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	No	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x89af54…
07-09 07:56:05	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xe5a9f1…
07-09 07:55:46	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x93c54e…
07-09 07:43:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x97b980…
07-09 07:31:23	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	19	87¢	$17	0x0667d3…
07-09 07:27:41	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	4	87¢	$3	0x895ff3…
07-08 16:47:29	will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x1d1ec9…
07-08 01:02:31	will trump meet with joseph aoun in july 2026 20260626153701915	Yes	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xaaed75…
07-07 16:39:14	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x53fc6d…