Distorted-Marines — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

72 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$762

$762 lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 11:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$76

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	5	$66	100	+100	Up	+$34	05-05 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$37	39	+39	Down	+$2	05-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	3	$34	60	+60	Up	+$6	05-05 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$29	40	+40	Down	$-29	05-05 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$29	40	+40	Up	+$12	05-05 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$28	39	+39	Down	$-28	05-05 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$23	39	+39	Up	+$16	05-05 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$21	40	+40	Up	$-0	05-05 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$20	42	+42	Down	+$21	05-05 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$20	41	+41	open	—	05-06 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$19	41	+41	Up	+$2	05-05 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$19	20	+20	Down	+$1	05-05 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$19	20	+20	Down	+$1	05-06 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$18	19	+19	open	—	05-06 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$17	18	+18	open	—	05-06 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$16	20	+20	Down	+$4	05-05 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$16	22	+22	open	—	05-06 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$16	19	+19	Up	$-16	05-05 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$15	21	+21	Up	$-15	05-05 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$15	43	+43	Down	+$28	05-05 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$15	20	+20	Up	+$5	05-05 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$15	16	+16	Down	+$1	05-04 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$15	20	+20	Up	+$5	05-05 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$14	20	+20	Down	+$6	05-05 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$14	18	+18	open	—	05-06 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$13	20	+20	Up	+$7	05-05 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$13	43	+43	Down	+$31	05-06 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$13	20	+20	Down	$-13	05-05 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$13	21	+21	Up	+$8	05-05 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$12	41	+41	Down	$-12	05-05 12:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 11:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	20¢	$5	0xf5f213…
05-06 11:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x65fadd…
05-06 08:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x6ff119…
05-06 08:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb46a7e…
05-06 07:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x42b2b7…
05-06 07:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x542497…
05-06 07:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6caf50…
05-06 07:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x7bd649…
05-06 07:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x43a72f…
05-06 07:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0x1322c1…
05-06 06:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	71¢	$16	0x4abde0…
05-06 05:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xbb7669…
05-06 05:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0x057b44…
05-06 04:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0xbab30b…
05-06 04:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0xb3847c…
05-06 04:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x5ea7ae…
05-05 20:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x9857cc…
05-05 20:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x9ab55c…
05-05 20:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xcaf624…
05-05 20:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xbb491a…
05-05 19:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0xe6855b…
05-05 19:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xc58cd7…
05-05 19:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xf67e41…
05-05 19:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	74¢	$15	0x3f98ca…
05-05 18:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x8eb8d0…
05-05 18:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xcf3fe4…
05-05 18:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xfb4b64…
05-05 18:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x9f3426…
05-05 18:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x051ed7…
05-05 18:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x93ca1a…
05-05 18:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xfa8b0f…
05-05 18:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xf97e7d…
05-05 18:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x370160…
05-05 18:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xce60b2…
05-05 18:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xe7f753…
05-05 18:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xe91f78…
05-05 18:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xbc3cc9…
05-05 18:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	67¢	$14	0x6e8cb3…
05-05 18:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xdcaf1d…
05-05 17:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xa9db8d…
05-05 17:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0x360b5b…
05-05 17:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	72¢	$15	0x125d71…
05-05 17:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x6a1a6c…
05-05 17:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xb5757f…
05-05 16:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x74dd3d…
05-05 16:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x59e895…
05-05 16:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x67dbc3…
05-05 16:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x808842…
05-05 16:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x10a97b…
05-05 15:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	71	9¢	$6	0xa88d8a…
05-05 15:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0xd2f2cc…
05-05 15:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x9e1252…
05-05 14:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x5547e4…
05-05 13:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0xd67fa0…
05-05 12:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x31580e…
05-05 12:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x086a85…
05-05 12:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb2f833…
05-05 12:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0xc085d5…
05-05 12:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x5c3c29…
05-05 12:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x98a36d…
05-05 11:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$13	0x57e558…
05-05 10:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x26ed49…
05-05 10:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0xa11b0d…
05-05 09:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x2a8181…
05-05 08:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x85dd62…
05-05 08:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$6	0x8b81a8…
05-05 07:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x29a190…
05-05 06:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x983850…
05-05 06:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x456a09…
05-05 06:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9c4bc4…
05-05 06:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x4073ee…
05-04 20:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xdb4f08…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	53	$7.51K	284	05-06 11:17
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	52	$3.58K	329	05-06 11:17
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	50	$2.45K	223	05-06 11:17
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	49	$17.2K	273	05-06 11:17
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	47	$829	177	05-06 11:17
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	45	$3.11K	179	05-06 11:17
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	45	$2.78K	163	05-06 11:17
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	44	$1.26K	140	05-06 11:17