Distorted-Marines — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$251

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$61

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	+20	$6	99¢	$20	+$14	05-05 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	+20	$14	70¢	$14	$-0	05-05 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	+42	$20	32¢	$14	$-7	05-05 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	+18	$11	74¢	$13	+$2	05-05 16:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$23	39	+39	open	—	05-05 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$20	42	+42	open	—	05-05 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$16	19	+19	open	—	05-05 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$15	43	+43	open	—	05-05 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$15	20	+20	open	—	05-05 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$15	16	+16	Down	+$1	05-04 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$15	20	+20	open	—	05-05 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$14	20	+20	open	—	05-05 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$13	20	+20	open	—	05-05 14:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$13	20	+20	open	—	05-05 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$12	41	+41	open	—	05-05 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$11	18	+18	open	—	05-05 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$7	25	+25	open	—	05-05 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$7	10	+10	open	—	05-05 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$7	20	+20	open	—	05-05 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$7	10	+10	Down	+$3	05-05 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$6	10	+10	open	—	05-05 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$6	71	+71	open	—	05-05 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$6	20	+20	open	—	05-05 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$6	10	+10	open	—	05-05 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$4	10	+10	Down	$-4	05-05 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$3	8	+8	Down	+$5	05-05 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$3	10	+10	open	—	05-05 06:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x74dd3d…
05-05 16:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x59e895…
05-05 16:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x67dbc3…
05-05 16:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x808842…
05-05 16:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x10a97b…
05-05 15:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	71	9¢	$6	0xa88d8a…
05-05 15:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0xd2f2cc…
05-05 15:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x9e1252…
05-05 14:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x5547e4…
05-05 13:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0xd67fa0…
05-05 12:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x31580e…
05-05 12:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x086a85…
05-05 12:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb2f833…
05-05 12:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0xc085d5…
05-05 12:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x5c3c29…
05-05 12:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x98a36d…
05-05 11:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$13	0x57e558…
05-05 10:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x26ed49…
05-05 10:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	82¢	$16	0xa11b0d…
05-05 09:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x2a8181…
05-05 08:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x85dd62…
05-05 08:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$6	0x8b81a8…
05-05 07:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x29a190…
05-05 06:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x983850…
05-05 06:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x456a09…
05-05 06:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9c4bc4…
05-05 06:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x4073ee…
05-04 20:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xdb4f08…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	24	$3.67K	126	05-05 16:39
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	24	$1.21K	109	05-05 16:44
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	23	$956	87	05-05 16:42
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	22	$4.12K	105	05-05 16:44
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	20	$1.64K	83	05-05 15:47
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	20	$1.40K	72	05-05 16:12
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	18	$646	36	05-05 16:22
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	17	$1.17K	22	05-05 16:42