Serious-Hearthside — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.92K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

544

lifetime

Volume

$396.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$729

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-21 18:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

48% — —

Sports

29% 0% $-1,920

Politics

13% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
new stranger things episode released by january 14 741	19	$34.9K	35,000	0	+35,000	open	—	01-14 14:36
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	6	$28.3K	28,383	0	+28,383	open	—	01-30 15:20
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	38	$26.5K	50,000	0	+50,000	open	—	03-17 02:47
ufc dan6 ben8 2026 01 31	1	$25.0K	25,000	0	+25,000	open	—	02-01 05:22
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	4	$23.8K	23,798	0	+23,798	open	—	01-25 02:41
cbb neast monm 2026 01 19	38	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	01-19 19:05
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	2	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	07-21 18:16
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 total 45pt5	33	$14.4K	14,471	0	+14,471	open	—	02-09 06:06
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	35	$13.8K	22,000	8,000	+14,000	open	—	04-07 23:28
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	12	$13.7K	13,926	0	+13,926	open	—	01-07 03:29
mwoh usa slo 2026 02 20	11	$10.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	02-20 22:39
will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	1	$9.9K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	02-24 00:06
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$9.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-05 11:23
lal bar lev 2026 02 22 bar	3	$7.4K	8,440	0	+8,440	open	—	02-22 14:13
will japan record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 245	2	$7.3K	7,325	0	+7,325	open	—	02-15 06:53
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	6	$6.9K	9,299	0	+9,299	open	—	07-17 19:32
will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	1	$6.2K	6,422	0	+6,422	open	—	02-10 13:04
nba bos okc 2026 03 12 total 217pt5	6	$5.8K	11,000	0	+11,000	open	—	03-12 16:10
will world liberty financial be accused of insider trading	6	$5.5K	5,000	802	+4,198	open	—	02-24 04:09
will france record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 824	1	$5.1K	5,083	0	+5,083	open	—	02-14 11:01
cbb missr mia 2026 03 20	1	$4.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	03-20 16:20
will germany record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 835	7	$4.2K	4,166	0	+4,166	open	—	02-15 07:59
will netherlands record a gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics 349	4	$4.1K	4,123	0	+4,123	open	—	02-15 06:55
atp alcaraz djokovi 2026 02 01 set totals 3pt5	30	$4.0K	4,027	0	+4,027	open	—	02-01 13:55
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	19	$3.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	Thunder	$-40	05-07 19:45
cs2 navi furia 2026 04 14	2	$3.8K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-14 20:08
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$3.7K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	07-10 23:29
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$3.3K	3,746	0	+3,746	open	—	03-29 06:08
nba lal den 2026 03 05 spread home 4pt5	3	$3.1K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	03-06 02:26
will czech republic record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 727	2	$3.0K	3,030	0	+3,030	open	—	02-16 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 18:16:46	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	6,457	100¢	$6,444	0x9b2df2…
07-21 18:16:00	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	13,543	100¢	$13,516	0xf2974b…
07-18 19:57:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	1,500	29¢	$435	0xabbd1c…
07-18 11:18:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	3,000	35¢	$1,050	0xd909cd…
07-17 19:32:39	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x49b399…
07-17 19:31:48	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	213	63¢	$134	0xf5a9bb…
07-17 18:57:39	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	237	63¢	$149	0x80da94…
07-17 18:56:19	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x897bf6…
07-17 18:51:09	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	1,410	68¢	$964	0x80a0b7…
07-17 10:59:42	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	7,289	77¢	$5,599	0x08e180…
07-10 23:29:17	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	5,000	75¢	$3,738	0x2ee35b…
07-02 15:12:46	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0xb3c047…
06-17 20:04:23	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	5,000	20¢	$1,000	0xae8e9f…
05-30 21:03:29	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xc0807b…
05-29 00:45:22	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x3911c5…
05-29 00:39:43	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	133	97¢	$129	0xd948ce…
05-29 00:39:27	Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?	No	BUY	324	97¢	$315	0xe7018f…
05-26 18:14:10	Will Comey smile in his mugshot?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdaa389…
05-20 22:01:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	225	96¢	$215	0xd86ae7…
05-20 21:58:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	775	96¢	$741	0xf5469c…
05-18 02:08:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	975	96¢	$936	0xd480a9…
05-17 16:38:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x08078d…
05-14 15:46:04	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	950	49¢	$466	0x2230a0…
05-14 15:14:41	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc86a5a…
05-14 15:12:39	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x3340de…
05-14 14:00:01	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x90e649…
05-14 13:59:14	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Under	BUY	3,126	48¢	$1,500	0x433964…
05-07 19:45:03	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	SELL	3,033	48¢	$1,456	0x7e5d1f…
05-07 19:44:35	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	SELL	441	48¢	$212	0xd517be…
05-07 19:44:35	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x66e0a6…
05-07 19:32:51	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x03eef4…
05-07 19:23:52	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	SELL	271	48¢	$130	0xc9958e…
05-07 19:23:52	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x7230da…
05-07 19:22:44	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	SELL	239	48¢	$115	0xde9cc4…
05-07 13:31:46	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	2,392	49¢	$1,172	0xb2f8d8…
05-07 13:16:31	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9e9953…
05-07 13:11:33	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x91de6a…
05-07 13:09:19	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x9524ad…
05-07 13:08:24	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	385	49¢	$189	0xa68a51…
05-07 13:08:23	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa542e7…
05-07 13:08:23	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	772	49¢	$378	0x12d538…
05-07 13:08:23	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x053fd4…
05-07 13:07:49	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	196	49¢	$96	0x5350b7…
05-07 13:03:02	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x06d753…
05-07 12:46:42	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x50febf…
05-07 12:45:22	Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	Thunder	BUY	195	49¢	$96	0x3970a4…
05-06 13:50:12	Spread: Spurs (-9.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	4,000	47¢	$1,880	0x45708a…
04-23 19:11:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	926	99¢	$921	0x489a40…
04-23 19:09:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7c3b83…
04-23 19:05:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	166	99¢	$165	0x187f81…
04-23 19:01:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	73	99¢	$73	0x1f9ebc…
04-23 19:00:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x0670dc…
04-22 19:02:16	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2,105	99¢	$2,090	0xb216d7…
04-22 19:01:50	NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	2,515	81¢	$2,032	0x6a29d1…
04-18 01:55:32	nba cha orl 2026 04 17	Hornets	BUY	166	0¢	$0	0xa5f28d…
04-18 01:55:24	nba cha orl 2026 04 17	Hornets	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0xc756d5…
04-18 01:55:24	nba cha orl 2026 04 17	Hornets	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xacb5bd…
04-18 01:55:24	nba cha orl 2026 04 17	Hornets	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x03c942…
04-18 01:55:22	nba cha orl 2026 04 17	Hornets	BUY	95,710	0¢	$191	0xfb84fc…
04-14 20:08:34	cs2 navi furia 2026 04 14	FURIA	SELL	4,000	48¢	$1,920	0xfee0d4…
04-14 20:00:40	cs2 navi furia 2026 04 14	FURIA	BUY	4,000	47¢	$1,880	0xec8da0…
04-14 19:26:44	cs2 b8 pssnua 2026 04 14	Passion UA	SELL	2,000	9¢	$180	0xe26926…
04-14 19:08:56	cs2 b8 pssnua 2026 04 14	Passion UA	BUY	2,000	9¢	$180	0xe52412…
04-12 00:27:37	will hao tong li win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa6217d…
04-09 13:56:47	will gary woodland win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	1,147	0¢	$5	0x922a23…
04-09 04:28:17	will gary woodland win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	39,000	0¢	$195	0x9a03e9…
04-09 04:27:07	will gary woodland win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	8,200	0¢	$33	0xbae041…
04-08 16:26:57	will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$75	0x876395…
04-08 16:24:35	will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	10,657	1¢	$143	0x263a7f…
04-08 12:24:35	will tyrrell hatton win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	5,926	1¢	$36	0xf5bda5…
04-08 00:54:33	will michael kim win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	40,000	0¢	$120	0xf79323…
04-08 00:48:41	will jj spaun win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	20,000	1¢	$180	0xaf453a…
04-08 00:47:07	will aldrich potgieter win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	40,000	0¢	$120	0x86bac9…
04-07 23:28:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	10,000	1¢	$120	0x892a5a…
04-07 23:10:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	247	10¢	$25	0xbc288a…
04-07 23:10:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x2ee086…
04-07 23:10:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	3,751	10¢	$375	0x014c0a…
04-07 22:46:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	192	40¢	$77	0xfc1341…
04-07 22:45:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	3,808	37¢	$1,413	0x3b2a62…
04-07 19:05:39	will chris gotterup win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	15,000	1¢	$180	0xc8f734…
04-07 12:22:09	will hao tong li win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	30,000	0¢	$60	0xd8531a…
04-07 12:19:47	will aldrich potgieter win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xdb2ada…
04-07 12:18:53	will michael kim win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$144	0x4adee6…
04-07 12:10:57	will gary woodland win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	40,000	0¢	$157	0xb8b3b6…
04-07 12:07:43	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	10,000	4¢	$410	0x061044…
04-07 12:07:21	will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	4,400	1¢	$57	0x4447ad…
04-07 01:47:01	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	11,500	5¢	$529	0xb876ad…
04-07 01:46:19	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	11,500	8¢	$886	0x8b371e…
04-06 10:40:07	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,790	97¢	$1,732	0xa80aa4…
04-06 01:14:59	will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	11,500	4¢	$494	0xb6e1ca…
04-06 00:59:47	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	93¢	$112	0x1588fd…
04-05 11:23:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,985	0x3198c7…
04-04 13:39:01	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	918	83¢	$762	0xae355e…
04-04 13:38:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xf1f60d…
04-04 13:38:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,882	83¢	$3,222	0x020bd7…
04-04 13:26:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	4,000	99¢	$3,948	0x7791ec…
04-02 19:31:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	2,601	98¢	$2,544	0x4d4d25…
04-02 19:31:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x4258ec…
04-02 19:31:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x29a67b…
04-02 19:31:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xefe8ca…