Zesty-Anticipation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$287

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

3,447

lifetime

Volume

$92.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 08-13 11:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

77% 100% +$289

Other

9% 0% $-1

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	63	$5.7K	3,539	3,533	+6	open	—	02-28 07:10
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	46	$4.7K	3,537	3,943	-405	open	—	02-28 06:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	83	$4.3K	3,133	2,891	+242	open	—	03-26 20:59
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	93	$4.0K	3,973	3,161	+812	open	—	02-28 13:22
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	87	$3.6K	4,021	4,021	+0	open	—	03-12 17:53
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	105	$3.3K	3,287	838	+2,449	open	—	07-07 18:27
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?	37	$2.7K	2,423	2,423	+0	open	—	02-28 06:37
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$2.7K	2,221	635	+1,586	open	—	03-01 00:11
another us government shutdown by february 14	36	$2.4K	2,168	2,060	+108	open	—	02-13 19:57
iran closes its airspace by june 8	41	$2.3K	1,477	1,477	-0	open	—	06-08 08:53
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	6	$2.0K	2,266	0	+2,266	open	—	06-20 17:49
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	29	$1.8K	1,053	1,053	+0	open	—	02-20 02:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	36	$1.7K	1,137	939	+198	No	+$273	05-07 13:14
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	19	$1.5K	2,098	753	+1,344	open	—	08-01 21:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	11	$1.5K	1,266	1,266	+0	open	—	05-25 21:43
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	95	$1.5K	1,816	1,572	+244	open	—	03-02 21:46
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	4	$1.3K	1,558	0	+1,558	open	—	02-26 18:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	52	$1.3K	126	1,428	-1,302	open	—	08-10 09:26
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	7	$1.2K	937	247	+690	open	—	02-28 23:05
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	46	$1.1K	981	981	+0	open	—	03-24 20:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	10	$1.1K	678	678	+0	open	—	06-20 06:10
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	12	$1.1K	1,279	0	+1,279	open	—	05-11 17:54
will axiom be accused of insider trading	6	$1.0K	1,544	0	+1,544	open	—	02-26 12:26
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	13	$1.0K	547	547	-0	open	—	02-27 12:54
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	11	$970	677	368	+309	open	—	05-12 08:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	23	$958	1,561	45	+1,516	open	—	08-12 16:52
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	35	$922	1,143	87	+1,056	open	—	03-04 23:44
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	42	$919	1,592	454	+1,139	open	—	04-24 19:00
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	402	$905	1,687	1,687	+0	open	—	03-26 14:03
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	22	$895	962	0	+962	open	—	02-20 11:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 16:43:22	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xff2783…
08-13 16:39:22	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	60	93¢	$56	0x479de0…
08-13 16:08:22	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	64	93¢	$60	0x2e5cd1…
08-13 16:07:42	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	64	93¢	$60	0x307cd0…
08-13 13:24:40	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	15	93¢	$13	0x54075b…
08-13 11:10:33	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	236	80¢	$189	0x6207dc…
08-13 10:54:39	will bitcoin dip to 55k in august 2026	No	BUY	136	93¢	$126	0x027833…
08-13 09:12:37	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	354	82¢	$290	0x3e4d51…
08-13 09:11:16	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x5aa6b6…
08-12 16:52:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x227f86…
08-12 15:43:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x06d90b…
08-12 14:49:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xe64db5…
08-12 14:39:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x60a4f2…
08-12 14:36:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x67ab18…
08-12 14:09:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x897343…
08-12 12:29:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x7657d2…
08-11 21:31:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x7ef9d5…
08-11 21:13:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x8da03d…
08-11 21:13:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x1a8719…
08-11 21:13:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	48¢	$0	0x06bd67…
08-11 21:06:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x14bdd8…
08-11 18:54:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0x08d854…
08-11 18:07:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x3b1af0…
08-11 17:12:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x460bff…
08-11 16:26:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x16e068…
08-11 15:40:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$3	0x958f0d…
08-11 14:59:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xa36b50…
08-11 14:02:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0x76c329…
08-11 13:47:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xa3a930…
08-11 13:37:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x29005d…
08-11 13:34:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6d71ea…
08-11 13:33:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xb8f8ff…
08-11 13:28:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xb5ddb1…
08-11 13:16:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x38b872…
08-11 09:21:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x293d44…
08-11 09:16:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xfb77b0…
08-11 09:02:01	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x52916b…
08-11 08:59:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xa0f229…
08-11 08:59:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x958c7c…
08-11 08:59:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x34461e…
08-11 08:59:40	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x09f2a5…
08-11 08:45:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xb48aad…
08-11 08:31:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x5464d0…
08-11 08:11:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x15db12…
08-11 08:06:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x4458ec…
08-11 08:02:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x0a9069…
08-11 07:54:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x09aa5e…
08-11 07:53:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x0e0279…
08-11 07:51:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xfea7f2…
08-11 07:34:00	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x993f47…
08-11 07:33:58	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xabc192…
08-11 07:33:21	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	18	81¢	$15	0x7a8d0b…
08-11 07:33:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x8967c6…
08-11 07:33:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x721824…
08-11 07:33:19	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x48362c…
08-10 19:14:37	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xf33e33…
08-10 18:49:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xc25d9f…
08-10 14:52:45	iran leadership change by august 22	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7aff03…
08-10 14:12:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	47¢	$5	0xca23cd…
08-10 09:26:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x0dd0ee…
08-10 08:44:39	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	18	86¢	$15	0x0595df…
08-10 08:26:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x59f1b9…
08-08 14:22:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x99292a…
08-08 14:17:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	31	91¢	$29	0x095723…
08-08 13:12:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,500	60¢	$900	0x70658b…
08-08 12:05:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xacf6f7…
08-08 11:30:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x8f191b…
08-08 07:42:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xee7092…
08-08 07:40:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xdc6d41…
08-08 07:38:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x77b875…
08-08 07:36:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x85ec36…
08-08 07:35:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x6d78e0…
08-08 07:30:31	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xc091cd…
08-08 07:30:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xea4c49…
08-08 07:25:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xecd1a3…
08-08 07:25:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xb4ede8…
08-08 07:25:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x85f974…
08-08 07:25:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xe5c20f…
08-08 07:25:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xbdfa5c…
08-08 07:25:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x077cef…
08-08 07:25:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	257	99¢	$254	0xeeac25…
08-08 07:21:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	491	99¢	$486	0x953292…
08-08 07:00:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xeff4c6…
08-08 07:00:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x6aeeb4…
08-08 07:00:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x04257b…
08-06 20:41:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x97e5fc…
08-06 20:40:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xce15ee…
08-06 20:35:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	63	74¢	$47	0xfc2ead…
08-06 20:34:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	63	74¢	$47	0x8aa766…
08-06 20:29:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	184	74¢	$136	0x7bb1da…
08-06 10:07:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	143	25¢	$36	0xf4e4d2…
08-06 10:07:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	307	25¢	$77	0xcbd127…
08-06 10:06:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	300	74¢	$221	0x2784df…
08-05 17:33:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	147	84¢	$123	0x313c06…
08-05 17:27:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xd4d859…
08-05 15:17:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	256	55¢	$141	0x82e92d…
08-05 15:15:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	243	55¢	$134	0x9e39ab…
08-05 15:15:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	26	55¢	$14	0x93eeb5…
08-05 14:32:50	us iran final nuclear deal by september 30 2026	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0x869cef…
08-05 13:29:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	525	64¢	$334	0x248fe6…