Different-Stud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved

Trades

240

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-04-11

last 06-14 17:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

77% 100% +$28

Other

23% 0% $-7

Crypto

0% 33% $-1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-112	$-36	20¢	$-22	+$14	06-14 17:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	6	$2.9K	1,790	1,790	+0	open	—	04-15 21:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$2.0K	1,089	1,089	+0	open	—	04-22 17:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	6	$1.2K	1,106	1,106	+0	open	—	04-19 12:57
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	31	$907	5,800	4,196	+1,604	open	—	04-12 12:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	3	$863	875	168	+707	open	—	04-29 18:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	14	$840	930	775	+155	open	—	05-16 06:45
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	4	$737	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-19 05:33
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	7	$728	3,867	0	+3,867	open	—	04-20 11:05
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$660	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-19 13:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	6	$615	330	329	+1	open	—	04-27 18:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	4	$588	495	145	+350	open	—	04-29 16:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	15	$567	769	0	+769	open	—	05-17 16:48
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	6	$487	610	0	+610	open	—	04-20 21:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	1	$436	491	0	+491	open	—	04-18 11:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	4	$393	250	250	+0	open	—	06-01 18:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	8	$381	400	400	+0	open	—	04-24 18:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$317	420	50	+370	open	—	05-06 10:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	9	$306	250	250	+0	open	—	04-26 09:28
chess hnakam mblueb 2026 04 14 r13 draw	1	$299	400	0	+400	open	—	04-14 12:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	4	$273	470	470	+0	open	—	04-26 09:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	11	$267	262	262	+0	open	—	04-24 17:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$255	300	0	+300	open	—	05-05 04:49
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$246	770	770	+0	open	—	04-19 19:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	4	$238	400	0	+400	open	—	05-05 04:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$175	100	100	+0	open	—	06-01 18:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$139	84	84	+0	No	+$28	05-05 04:55
chess pr hnakam 2026 04 15 r14 draw	2	$129	150	0	+150	open	—	04-15 12:58
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	3	$128	600	100	+500	open	—	04-27 18:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$126	320	0	+320	open	—	05-17 16:51
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	2	$94	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-19 05:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 17:07:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	32¢	$36	0xd15a07…
06-01 18:25:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x73af7e…
06-01 18:25:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x462805…
05-17 16:52:32	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x2f00b6…
05-17 16:51:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x9f358f…
05-17 16:49:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	330	10¢	$33	0xb4f51d…
05-17 16:48:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xe6424b…
05-17 16:48:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xdca038…
05-16 09:04:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x69a8ec…
05-16 09:00:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x0c4782…
05-16 08:14:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x9a1fdd…
05-16 07:54:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	59	58¢	$34	0x570e74…
05-16 06:45:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	79	77¢	$61	0x91e903…
05-16 06:45:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	77¢	$55	0x129e49…
05-06 10:56:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0xee9889…
05-06 10:51:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	36¢	$22	0x072343…
05-06 10:50:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	195	36¢	$70	0x95fbdd…
05-05 05:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1a7d5c…
05-05 05:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xa0b76c…
05-05 05:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5ed1a8…
05-05 05:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xcc99f2…
05-05 05:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd433b1…
05-05 05:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0x46eb0b…
05-05 05:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd606da…
05-05 04:58:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	70	92¢	$64	0x9056ea…
05-05 04:57:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x081247…
05-05 04:55:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xe8e36e…
05-05 04:53:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x801e2b…
05-05 04:52:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xb5ed8e…
05-05 04:52:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xa7606c…
05-05 04:52:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x8810ff…
05-05 04:49:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0xc5ab02…
05-05 02:53:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xd931a9…
05-04 21:21:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xeaed71…
05-04 20:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7c171d…
05-04 19:55:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	125	83¢	$104	0x9b167d…
05-04 19:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5ad7cc…
05-04 16:20:32	Will JD Vance's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8999a3…
05-04 16:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x12fc26…
05-04 16:13:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0x84ee62…
05-04 16:12:10	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0xa2176e…
05-04 16:09:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xec7812…
05-04 16:09:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9bbfcd…
05-04 16:09:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xc414eb…
05-04 16:08:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x436265…
05-04 16:07:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xbb2882…
05-04 16:06:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x41626f…
05-04 15:50:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x1f2d12…
05-04 15:43:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0x7bd9af…
05-04 11:22:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x87878b…
05-04 11:22:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$21	0x17ffda…
05-04 07:42:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	259	53¢	$137	0xd71ecd…
05-03 18:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x225089…
05-02 19:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xced07f…
05-02 12:25:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	262	63¢	$165	0xc1def9…
05-02 07:41:52	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	940	0¢	$1	0x812f61…
05-01 22:23:56	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0xc13d6f…
05-01 22:13:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x607c78…
05-01 20:28:52	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0xd389b0…
05-01 17:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4f340d…
05-01 15:05:16	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,135	0¢	$2	0x80ae2f…
05-01 15:04:22	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	296	0¢	$1	0x3e2247…
05-01 15:03:58	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	0¢	$1	0x1f3964…
05-01 15:01:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	175	58¢	$101	0xbf7da6…
05-01 03:17:18	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$1	0x216e85…
04-30 01:02:18	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xdbb080…
04-29 20:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x09d9ca…
04-29 20:37:10	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x5dd114…
04-29 20:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x91b9a6…
04-29 18:46:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$167	0xdaeee7…
04-29 17:30:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x69069b…
04-29 16:14:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	145	98¢	$143	0x24358b…
04-29 15:16:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	56¢	$45	0xbbdae0…
04-27 20:00:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	315	41¢	$129	0x5aa04c…
04-27 19:47:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	41¢	$21	0xa3af9d…
04-27 19:44:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x563016…
04-27 19:44:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xd53f78…
04-27 19:28:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	220	41¢	$90	0xe1a2b5…
04-27 19:15:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x70456a…
04-27 18:53:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	136	41¢	$56	0x7b25d2…
04-27 18:31:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6cb185…
04-27 18:20:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	274	97¢	$265	0x98a87f…
04-27 18:19:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0xedfdbf…
04-27 18:13:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xc12230…
04-27 18:00:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x4a40a2…
04-27 17:59:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	42	66¢	$28	0x416e09…
04-27 17:58:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	42	66¢	$28	0xa36290…
04-27 17:56:52	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	296	7¢	$21	0x5dd123…
04-27 17:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xba5598…
04-27 17:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0xe00f6c…
04-27 17:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x0e2780…
04-27 17:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3b97fe…
04-26 19:02:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0x34ba6b…
04-26 18:04:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x478315…
04-26 17:55:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	145	93¢	$135	0x94edd5…
04-26 09:28:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	229	60¢	$138	0x87449c…
04-26 09:21:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x61386b…
04-26 09:12:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x34135b…
04-26 09:11:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe3f5a1…
04-26 09:08:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xf8686e…