Different-Stud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

Trades

287

lifetime

Volume

$19.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 06-14 17:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Politics

77% 35% -$558

Other

21% 35% -$569

Sports

1% 50% -$6

Crypto

0% 25% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	6	$2.9K	1,790	1,790	+0	No	-$98	04-15 21:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$2.0K	1,089	1,089	+0	No	+$173	04-22 17:25
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 20 2026	6	$1.2K	1,106	1,106	+0	No	-$24	04-19 12:57
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	31	$907	5,800	4,196	+1,604	No	+$95	04-12 12:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	3	$863	875	168	+707	No	+$178	04-29 18:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	14	$840	930	775	+155	No	+$124	05-16 06:45
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	4	$737	1,600	1,600	+0	No	-$95	04-19 05:33
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	7	$728	3,867	0	+3,867	Yes	-$728	04-20 11:05
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	2	$660	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$40	04-19 13:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	3	$651	2,326	2,326	+0	No	-$47	05-03 17:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	6	$615	330	329	+1	No	+$22	04-27 18:20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	4	$588	495	145	+350	No	+$47	04-29 16:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	15	$567	769	0	+769	No	-$567	05-17 16:48
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	6	$487	610	0	+610	Yes	+$122	04-20 21:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?	1	$436	491	0	+491	No	+$55	04-18 11:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	4	$393	250	250	+0	No	+$107	06-01 18:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	8	$381	400	400	+0	No	-$19	04-24 18:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$317	420	50	+370	No	+$136	05-06 10:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	9	$306	250	250	+0	Yes	-$6	04-26 09:28
chess hnakam mblueb 2026 04 14 r13 draw	1	$299	400	0	+400	Yes	+$101	04-14 12:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	4	$273	470	470	+0	Yes	-$24	04-26 09:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	11	$267	262	262	+0	No	+$15	04-24 17:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	1	$255	300	0	+300	No	+$45	05-05 04:49
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$246	770	770	+0	Yes	+$46	04-19 19:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	4	$238	400	0	+400	No	-$238	05-05 04:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	5	$238	300	300	+0	open	—	06-14 17:07
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	8	$230	994	994	-0	Yes	+$0	05-06 11:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	2	$175	100	100	+0	No	+$25	06-01 18:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	2	$148	208	208	+0	Yes	-$52	05-06 10:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	3	$139	84	84	+0	No	+$28	05-05 04:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 17:07:33	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	650	7¢	$47	0x999ba6…
06-14 17:07:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	32¢	$36	0xd15a07…
06-14 17:06:28	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc678c6…
06-14 17:06:24	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?	Yes	SELL	942	0¢	$2	0xdd5755…
06-01 18:25:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x73af7e…
06-01 18:25:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0x462805…
05-24 01:06:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	59¢	$53	0x0813df…
05-24 01:05:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	59¢	$14	0x5b7cea…
05-20 18:26:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	49¢	$37	0x10ea46…
05-17 16:52:32	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x2f00b6…
05-17 16:51:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x9f358f…
05-17 16:49:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	330	10¢	$33	0xb4f51d…
05-17 16:48:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xe6424b…
05-17 16:48:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xdca038…
05-16 09:04:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x69a8ec…
05-16 09:00:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x0c4782…
05-16 08:14:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0x9a1fdd…
05-16 08:07:52	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	106	31¢	$33	0x4cc943…
05-16 07:54:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	59	58¢	$34	0x570e74…
05-16 06:45:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	79	77¢	$61	0x91e903…
05-16 06:45:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	77¢	$55	0x129e49…
05-06 18:51:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	29¢	$11	0xdf911d…
05-06 18:47:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0xa5aaeb…
05-06 11:02:22	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	223	12¢	$26	0xddd381…
05-06 10:58:14	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	36	12¢	$4	0xdbe7ae…
05-06 10:58:02	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	226	12¢	$26	0xfd3e41…
05-06 10:57:50	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	226	12¢	$26	0x946b97…
05-06 10:57:44	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	226	12¢	$26	0x83248a…
05-06 10:57:38	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	57	12¢	$7	0xd67716…
05-06 10:56:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0xee9889…
05-06 10:51:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	36¢	$22	0x072343…
05-06 10:50:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	195	36¢	$70	0x95fbdd…
05-06 10:44:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	208	23¢	$48	0xf7d4fe…
05-05 05:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1a7d5c…
05-05 05:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xa0b76c…
05-05 05:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5ed1a8…
05-05 05:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xcc99f2…
05-05 05:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd433b1…
05-05 05:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0x46eb0b…
05-05 05:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd606da…
05-05 04:58:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	70	92¢	$64	0x9056ea…
05-05 04:57:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x081247…
05-05 04:55:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xe8e36e…
05-05 04:53:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x801e2b…
05-05 04:52:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xb5ed8e…
05-05 04:52:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xa7606c…
05-05 04:52:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x8810ff…
05-05 04:49:54	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0xc5ab02…
05-05 04:48:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x037346…
05-05 02:53:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xd931a9…
05-04 23:51:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x9fbfff…
05-04 23:51:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	310	0¢	$0	0x79c640…
05-04 23:51:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x796e0d…
05-04 23:51:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	31	0¢	$0	0x70fc25…
05-04 23:51:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x7064c9…
05-04 23:51:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x659c25…
05-04 23:51:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x633064…
05-04 23:51:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x381e5b…
05-04 21:44:58	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x957ab2…
05-04 21:21:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xeaed71…
05-04 20:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7c171d…
05-04 19:55:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	125	83¢	$104	0x9b167d…
05-04 19:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5ad7cc…
05-04 19:10:32	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xf583a3…
05-04 16:20:32	Will JD Vance's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8999a3…
05-04 16:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x12fc26…
05-04 16:13:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0x84ee62…
05-04 16:12:10	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0xa2176e…
05-04 16:09:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xec7812…
05-04 16:09:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9bbfcd…
05-04 16:09:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xc414eb…
05-04 16:08:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x436265…
05-04 16:07:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xbb2882…
05-04 16:06:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x41626f…
05-04 15:50:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x1f2d12…
05-04 15:46:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	29¢	$15	0xa2b584…
05-04 15:43:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0x7bd9af…
05-04 11:22:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x87878b…
05-04 11:22:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$21	0x17ffda…
05-04 11:20:30	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	988	12¢	$115	0x7372b8…
05-04 07:42:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	259	53¢	$137	0xd71ecd…
05-03 18:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x225089…
05-03 18:15:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x4f9976…
05-03 17:58:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,163	14¢	$163	0xc5bb55…
05-02 19:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xced07f…
05-02 18:05:38	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x51425f…
05-02 18:05:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x8cf842…
05-02 17:55:56	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,163	12¢	$140	0x1b044f…
05-02 12:25:32	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	262	63¢	$165	0xc1def9…
05-02 07:41:52	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	940	0¢	$1	0x812f61…
05-02 01:14:42	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x736886…
05-02 01:12:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x593c06…
05-02 01:12:26	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x50135c…
05-02 01:12:12	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0xf7475a…
05-02 01:12:12	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x983e54…
05-02 01:12:12	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	24	0¢	$0	0x15355d…
05-02 01:11:46	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0xc11d14…
05-02 01:11:46	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0x9e3616…
05-02 01:11:46	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2640be…
05-02 01:10:58	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0xcf981d…