Wild-Element — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$165

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.1%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-01 14:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Sports

41% 0% -$4

Politics

32% 0% -$76

Other

16% 45% -$22

Tech

11% 60% -$62

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$2.0K	995	995	+0	No	-$1	05-04 14:37
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.0K	1,001	1,001	+0	open	—	05-04 14:19
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$2.0K	996	996	+0	No	-$1	05-04 14:45
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.0K	996	996	+0	No	-$1	05-05 06:56
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$2.0K	1,068	1,068	+0	No	-$1	05-05 07:04
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	9	$652	299	374	-75	Yes	-$2	01-22 10:36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	10	$459	1,022	1,022	+0	Yes	-$74	03-08 21:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$441	221	221	+0	No	$0	07-03 09:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$405	1,800	1,800	+0	No	-$2	03-08 10:27
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$280	146	146	+0	open	—	09-03 12:57
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	3	$235	163	82	+82	Yes	+$6	02-14 11:25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$225	117	117	+0	Yes	+$3	06-23 13:51
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$224	113	113	+0	No	$0	07-03 12:00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$223	112	112	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 14:48
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$222	116	116	+0	No	-$1	05-01 07:40
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$222	111	111	+0	No	$0	06-01 11:42
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$221	111	111	+0	open	—	06-01 14:26
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$221	111	111	+0	No	$0	07-02 12:50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	$0	07-03 08:34
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	$0	05-01 08:38
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$219	111	111	+0	No	$0	06-01 13:30
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$219	111	111	+0	No	$0	05-01 08:46
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$219	111	111	+0	No	$0	05-01 07:58
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$219	110	110	+0	No	$0	06-01 12:11
Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	05-01 09:01
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$215	109	109	+0	open	—	07-03 11:02
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$215	112	112	+0	Yes	+$7	05-31 07:43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$199	126	126	+0	Yes	-$23	07-24 20:36
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$159	80	80	+0	Yes	+$0	03-01 09:09
will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	2	$159	81	81	+0	Yes	$0	02-14 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:37:30	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23,800	0¢	$24	0xab6fa1…
10-30 17:55:18	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xbbefbe…
10-30 06:34:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	34¢	$25	0x2d8526…
10-29 07:06:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	81¢	$60	0x36ee5c…
09-25 07:33:09	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x921e62…
09-13 07:08:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0x029cc8…
09-05 06:58:19	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0x05ba1a…
09-04 10:12:36	Over $4M committed to the Ethos public sale?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xd225c7…
09-03 14:16:19	Over $4M committed to the Ethos public sale?	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0xd3df12…
09-03 13:36:46	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$37	0x66446d…
09-03 12:57:42	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0x75609a…
09-03 12:57:22	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0x48e1a7…
09-03 11:32:22	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0x38be9b…
09-03 11:31:46	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xdd21a4…
09-03 10:22:48	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xdec738…
09-03 10:22:13	Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$38	0x22ebdc…
09-03 10:11:15	Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x4cd08a…
09-03 10:10:52	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x7e046e…
09-03 09:11:42	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xd15321…
09-03 09:11:12	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0xe8a10d…
09-03 08:15:21	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$39	0x099d4e…
08-26 20:55:52	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xf23706…
08-19 15:58:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	42	97¢	$40	0x76f93b…
08-10 13:22:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	42	91¢	$38	0x0e26ad…
07-31 11:50:27	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x3a695d…
07-30 20:50:00	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	89	43¢	$38	0x1e3c5e…
07-30 09:20:45	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	89	96¢	$86	0xad6b74…
07-24 20:36:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	126	70¢	$88	0x3801c7…
07-23 14:15:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	126	88¢	$111	0xfb5157…
07-23 14:14:57	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	110	8¢	$9	0x0d4843…
07-23 14:14:51	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	110	84¢	$92	0xb3f1fb…
07-20 14:49:46	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	110	30¢	$33	0x1ea6ed…
07-20 14:49:37	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	110	60¢	$66	0xd8daa0…
07-03 12:00:20	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0x782e45…
07-03 11:02:53	Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0x2984e7…
07-03 11:02:25	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x5467ba…
07-03 09:50:29	Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xcb368a…
07-03 09:49:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x258374…
07-03 08:37:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xf38313…
07-03 08:34:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xf3a7ef…
07-02 13:28:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xf34bac…
07-02 13:28:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$110	0x6cb5a0…
07-02 12:51:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0xa3f256…
07-02 12:50:59	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x9936a6…
07-02 11:24:41	Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xa38366…
06-23 13:51:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	117	98¢	$114	0xf33f44…
06-03 08:17:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	117	95¢	$111	0x0be7b5…
06-01 14:26:10	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x97e4ee…
06-01 13:30:52	Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x73bf75…
06-01 13:30:21	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x99db9c…
06-01 12:11:46	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x20e1bb…
06-01 12:11:22	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$109	0x2654f5…
06-01 11:42:29	Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x8f9fb5…
06-01 11:42:05	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x50a164…
06-01 10:23:55	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x19d7b6…
05-31 07:43:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	112	100¢	$111	0x03bb7d…
05-18 18:43:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	112	93¢	$104	0x6a0414…
05-05 07:04:56	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	1,068	92¢	$985	0x25ca91…
05-05 06:57:16	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	1,068	92¢	$986	0xc56c64…
05-05 06:56:40	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	996	99¢	$989	0xe48e4a…
05-05 06:43:10	Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	996	99¢	$990	0xca99b4…
05-04 14:45:38	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	996	100¢	$991	0xb8d751…
05-04 14:37:44	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	996	100¢	$992	0x39dcd4…
05-04 14:37:20	Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	995	100¢	$993	0x32dbf3…
05-04 14:20:04	Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	995	100¢	$994	0xe94cac…
05-04 14:19:30	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,001	99¢	$993	0x62a7f5…
05-04 14:04:54	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,001	99¢	$994	0x4a6003…
05-01 09:01:32	Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0xc9d454…
05-01 08:46:44	Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x87588d…
05-01 08:46:16	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0xa24943…
05-01 08:39:24	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xb971cb…
05-01 08:38:12	Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xeb5bd9…
05-01 07:59:08	Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x966e91…
05-01 07:58:48	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	111	98¢	$110	0x1591ef…
05-01 07:41:16	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	111	98¢	$110	0x9d1c8f…
05-01 07:40:18	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	116	95¢	$111	0xadc677…
05-01 07:25:26	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	116	96¢	$111	0xe8d024…
05-01 07:24:30	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	106	95¢	$100	0xd527a1…
05-01 07:01:40	Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x8af3ea…
04-30 14:48:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0xc9bfec…
04-14 15:52:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0xa44bde…
04-01 08:36:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	58	98¢	$56	0x9de7dd…
04-01 08:16:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	58	98¢	$56	0x786ab9…
04-01 07:46:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x7ffbdc…
04-01 07:29:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0xfbe33e…
03-21 05:47:03	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xeae728…
03-12 14:35:01	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xbae61a…
03-12 14:18:45	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xc21c76…
03-12 14:15:13	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	59	95¢	$55	0x9257b2…
03-12 14:00:39	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0xf36d92…
03-12 13:49:47	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0xc9b05e…
03-12 13:35:27	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0x6f4b1b…
03-08 21:09:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	270	1¢	$3	0x077df4…
03-08 21:07:11	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	270	22¢	$58	0xc6f87c…
03-08 20:48:43	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	300	19¢	$58	0x120555…
03-08 20:47:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	300	22¢	$65	0xe6f43f…
03-08 16:25:39	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	202	32¢	$65	0x50ff6f…
03-08 16:23:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	147	33¢	$48	0xbdbb1d…
03-08 16:23:43	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	44	33¢	$15	0xa18e91…
03-08 16:23:43	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x4e6abd…