Realized P&L
+$86
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
78.1%
Resolved
6
Trades
561
lifetime
Volume
$16.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$573
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-29 21:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Crypto
55% 100% +$90
Politics
36% 33% $-4
Other
9%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -334 $-210 66¢ $-219 $-8 05-29 08:29
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -114 $-106 90¢ $-103 +$3 06-07 20:02
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -100 $-95 95¢ $-95 $-0 06-24 14:45
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? No -93 $-92 94¢ $-88 +$5 06-22 13:55
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +78 $60 88¢ $68 +$9 06-29 21:20