Hard-Ephemeris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$424

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

86.8%

Resolved

332

Trades

651

lifetime

Volume

$170.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$262

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 07:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 281 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 95% +$424

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+41	$10	17¢	$7	-$3	05-16 23:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on march 12	5	$9.2K	4,599	4,599	+0	Yes	+$2	03-12 10:04
ethereum above 1600 on march 10	9	$9.1K	4,551	4,551	+0	Yes	$0	03-10 01:10
bitcoin above 76k on march 14	2	$4.6K	2,313	2,313	+0	No	+$2	03-14 05:44
bitcoin above 62k on march 14	2	$4.6K	2,310	2,310	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 20:46
bitcoin above 58k on march 13	5	$4.6K	2,305	2,305	+0	Yes	+$2	03-13 04:30
ethereum above 1600 on march 11	7	$4.6K	2,296	2,296	+0	Yes	+$0	03-10 19:32
ethereum above 2400 on march 11	3	$4.6K	2,296	2,296	+0	No	+$0	03-10 22:06
ethereum above 1700 on march 11	3	$4.6K	2,296	2,296	+0	Yes	+$0	03-11 02:23
will the price of ethereum be less than 1700 on march 11	2	$4.6K	2,296	2,296	+0	No	+$0	03-11 05:39
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 19	48	$4.6K	2,282	2,282	+0	No	+$0	03-19 01:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 18	33	$4.6K	2,280	2,280	+0	No	+$2	03-18 08:58
bitcoin above 60k on march 9	6	$4.5K	2,274	2,274	+0	Yes	+$0	03-09 13:28
bitcoin above 82k on march 17	4	$4.5K	2,275	2,275	+0	No	+$2	03-17 05:57
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	6	$4.5K	2,274	2,274	+0	No	+$5	03-09 07:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 16	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$2	03-15 09:47
will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 10	2	$3.5K	1,735	1,735	+0	No	+$0	03-10 00:04
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 10	4	$3.5K	1,735	1,735	+0	No	+$0	03-10 01:53
ethereum above 1800 on march 28	35	$2.9K	1,612	1,346	+266	Yes	+$4	03-28 02:56
ethereum above 1800 on march 13	3	$2.8K	2,308	488	+1,819	Yes	+$4	03-13 08:09
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	34	$2.8K	1,500	1,268	+232	No	+$3	03-28 04:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	17	$2.6K	1,335	1,335	+0	Yes	+$16	05-14 13:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 27	2	$2.3K	2,325	0	+2,325	No	+$7	03-26 19:18
ethereum above 2500 on march 26	1	$2.3K	2,318	0	+2,318	No	+$2	03-25 19:40
bitcoin above 76k on march 24	5	$2.3K	2,311	0	+2,311	No	+$5	03-24 06:16
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 11	1	$2.3K	2,296	0	+2,296	No	+$2	03-11 09:54
will bitcoin reach 74k on march 20	1	$2.3K	2,291	0	+2,291	No	+$2	03-21 01:15
ethereum above 1800 on march 20	1	$2.3K	2,289	0	+2,289	Yes	+$5	03-19 23:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	3	$2.3K	2,284	0	+2,284	No	+$5	03-19 03:10
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 18	1	$2.3K	2,280	0	+2,280	No	+$2	03-18 09:32
bitcoin above 76k on march 10	1	$2.3K	2,294	0	+2,294	No	+$21	03-10 09:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:46:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd75938…
10-27 05:52:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe54236…
10-26 08:56:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xeb7ddc…
10-25 09:54:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x19cd81…
10-24 09:50:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0xd90533…
10-23 10:14:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa351aa…
10-22 11:25:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x567f88…
10-21 11:48:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x358c11…
10-20 09:40:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xdd914b…
10-19 07:12:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x89ca47…
10-18 09:16:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa0b50c…
10-17 10:09:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa7742d…
10-16 02:18:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3056bf…
10-15 08:13:07	bitcoin above 76k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x58201d…
10-14 09:20:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3cb626…
10-13 02:50:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xcbfaed…
10-12 12:20:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x0ce630…
10-11 14:03:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x8ba0e6…
10-10 13:53:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xe34c93…
10-09 13:25:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xf0adcd…
10-08 12:29:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x3c7bab…
10-07 10:14:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5b9285…
10-06 10:26:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x6fc5c4…
10-05 11:59:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf30c80…
10-04 12:50:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb4caa1…
10-03 11:10:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 3?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xee8975…
10-02 11:21:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x3cbbe0…
10-01 07:46:03	ethereum above 2900 on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0x2d0783…
09-30 09:44:14	ethereum above 2900 on september 30 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x81e693…
09-29 10:00:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xb637a7…
09-28 12:07:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 28?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x1b6fda…
09-27 09:35:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 27?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x8ab152…
09-26 09:15:36	ethereum above 2800 on september 26 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5db3cd…
09-26 09:14:53	ethereum above 2800 on september 26 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1c0129…
09-25 09:37:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 25?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x581b8b…
09-24 11:57:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x471cc5…
09-23 12:19:37	ethereum above 2500 on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6295d6…
09-23 12:13:11	ethereum above 2500 on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe69388…
09-22 12:10:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xc04c00…
09-21 12:07:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5731c9…
09-20 11:48:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x25736f…
09-19 12:06:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0x8fe343…
09-18 10:20:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x0dc499…
09-17 09:53:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5e688b…
09-16 12:41:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf3124e…
09-15 10:44:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xba9072…
09-14 12:46:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x45638f…
09-13 12:39:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 13?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa7f51d…
09-12 13:02:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x45ce0b…
09-09 13:44:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x31b0c2…
09-08 13:56:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 8?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xf30660…
09-07 14:46:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x71d8da…
09-06 08:43:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x8cf1af…
09-06 08:43:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 6?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46a72d…
09-06 08:42:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 6?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x827825…
09-05 07:29:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 5?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x1107d4…
09-04 11:33:39	ethereum above 2800 on september 4 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x615679…
09-03 09:11:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc03c02…
09-02 10:03:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 2?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0xfa7287…
09-01 10:35:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 1?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x02a491…
08-31 11:26:51	ethereum above 2300 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x45095d…
08-30 07:51:09	ethereum above 2300 on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x11091b…
08-29 08:08:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc1800d…
08-28 09:19:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on August 28?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x50deac…
08-27 00:41:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on August 27?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x75e409…
08-26 08:10:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc9850c…
08-25 08:35:24	ethereum above 2700 on august 25 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3715fb…
08-24 07:03:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc8616e…
08-23 08:34:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 23?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb22e44…
08-22 10:26:03	ethereum above 2200 on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x314987…
08-22 08:20:09	ethereum above 2200 on august 22 2026	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$22	0x11cb94…
08-21 12:57:00	ethereum above 2100 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xda2188…
08-20 10:45:52	ethereum above 2000 on august 20 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x506e62…
08-19 11:06:03	ethereum above 1800 on august 19 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x715638…
08-18 10:59:19	ethereum above 1800 on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb333ea…
08-17 10:29:07	ethereum above 1800 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xedf86e…
08-16 10:07:57	ethereum above 1700 on august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4c4a82…
08-15 10:46:03	ethereum above 1700 on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3314f5…
08-14 11:58:43	bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcbc995…
08-13 12:09:27	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x26bab9…
08-12 13:41:57	bitcoin above 62k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4ec8b5…
08-11 13:59:30	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0e3d0c…
08-10 10:47:22	bitcoin above 62k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xdd2258…
08-09 11:32:30	ethereum above 2000 on august 9 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcc2874…
08-08 13:26:21	ethereum above 2000 on august 8 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe9ac38…
08-07 08:46:42	ethereum above 1700 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x962969…
08-06 13:38:50	ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x188b32…
08-05 08:27:51	bitcoin above 68k on august 5 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x43c710…
08-04 10:13:33	bitcoin above 60k on august 4 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb10792…
08-03 10:25:59	will bitcoin dip to 59k on august 3	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x94c370…
08-02 08:48:00	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc07a0d…
08-01 05:55:14	ethereum above 1700 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4a8188…
07-31 09:32:35	ethereum above 2000 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x182992…
07-30 06:46:47	ethereum above 1800 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x49d86f…
07-29 05:44:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 29?	No	BUY	29	2¢	$0	0x1a7c1b…
07-28 10:01:55	ethereum above 2000 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4a2940…
07-27 07:47:21	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3b63d6…
07-26 10:21:27	ethereum above 1800 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x748413…
07-25 09:12:43	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x70dd18…
07-24 09:42:33	ethereum above 2000 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe10d18…