Handsome-Veal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

$130

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 07-02 09:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

44% 50% $-10

Politics

43% 0% $-30

Crypto

9% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	+387	$87	18¢	$72	$-15	06-27 18:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-30	$-26	94¢	$-28	$-3	06-04 08:36
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	Yes	+81	$20	22¢	$18	$-2	06-16 08:40
Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	-105	$-18	11¢	$-12	+$6	05-28 10:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	2	$237	144	244	-100	open	—	06-14 18:47
will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	2	$179	186	186	+0	open	—	06-14 18:43
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	3	$141	120	120	+0	open	—	03-22 07:35
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$127	93	93	+0	open	—	05-10 09:37
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$113	64	64	+0	open	—	03-21 23:52
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	2	$112	96	96	+0	open	—	06-09 14:45
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$110	60	60	+0	Yes	+$10	05-12 11:30
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	2	$104	89	89	+0	open	—	05-28 14:17
will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	2	$91	66	66	+0	open	—	04-12 14:36
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	5	$87	387	0	+387	open	—	06-27 18:10
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	3	$81	181	56	+125	open	—	06-14 14:30
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$78	47	47	+0	open	—	04-12 14:37
will solana reach 100 in march 2026	2	$74	53	53	+0	open	—	03-26 11:36
will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	2	$71	74	74	+0	open	—	03-25 13:10
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$70	70	70	+0	open	—	03-26 11:36
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	2	$69	44	44	+0	open	—	04-09 15:36
will bitcoin dip to 68k march 16 22	2	$69	39	39	+0	open	—	03-22 21:28
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	2	$69	41	41	+0	open	—	03-27 11:56
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$68	42	42	+0	open	—	03-27 11:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$66	45	45	+0	open	—	04-01 09:28
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	2	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	03-26 11:37
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	2	$62	38	38	+0	open	—	03-26 11:36
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	1	$59	0	102	-102	open	—	06-07 22:31
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$59	44	44	+0	open	—	03-29 19:50
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	3	$57	107	107	+0	open	—	06-10 09:31
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	3	$53	34	34	+0	open	—	05-14 14:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$44	28	27	+0	open	—	04-13 18:10
will tisza win at least 100 seats	2	$44	29	29	+0	open	—	04-12 14:37
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	2	$42	26	26	+0	open	—	05-12 11:29
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	2	$31	73	73	+0	open	—	03-23 08:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 09:03:49	will openais valuation hit low 500b by december 31 785 717	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x111857…
06-27 18:10:52	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	68	25¢	$17	0x1c4db5…
06-27 18:09:05	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xf4079d…
06-27 18:08:34	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	86	23¢	$20	0x030338…
06-27 18:02:14	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0x78ab7f…
06-27 17:59:10	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	101	20¢	$20	0x348af6…
06-16 08:40:42	Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	25¢	$20	0xe6b2bf…
06-14 18:47:31	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	SELL	244	85¢	$207	0xdee1d7…
06-14 18:43:34	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	SELL	186	69¢	$129	0x5d5f6b…
06-14 15:06:55	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	Yes	BUY	144	21¢	$30	0xab1f34…
06-14 14:30:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x7ad293…
06-14 14:23:55	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	186	27¢	$50	0x1a3563…
06-10 09:31:15	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	45	37¢	$16	0x55dfef…
06-09 21:10:00	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	62	32¢	$20	0xc3db07…
06-09 14:45:04	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	96	65¢	$62	0x30b707…
06-09 12:14:45	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	No	BUY	209	10¢	$20	0xc3dea7…
06-09 06:49:49	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xfe45c2…
06-09 06:48:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	107	19¢	$20	0x064e49…
06-07 22:31:15	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	58¢	$59	0xbc8a36…
06-07 20:19:31	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	56	28¢	$16	0x08778e…
06-07 19:26:52	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0xeab6cf…
06-04 08:36:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	30	85¢	$26	0xcc9cb9…
06-04 08:35:09	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	BUY	117	9¢	$10	0xd2a631…
06-04 08:33:51	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	4¢	$10	0xf19384…
05-28 14:17:55	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	Yes	SELL	89	71¢	$64	0xe628bc…
05-28 11:06:47	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	Yes	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x9e5447…
05-28 10:58:02	Will Greece recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	105	18¢	$18	0x6f5906…
05-17 15:04:23	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x3c8dfa…
05-14 14:41:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x3d65ca…
05-14 14:24:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	SELL	27	82¢	$22	0x5a3791…
05-12 11:37:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x9d6003…
05-12 11:30:01	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x189300…
05-12 11:29:50	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	26	86¢	$22	0xa8ceea…
05-10 09:42:39	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x48c375…
05-10 09:41:23	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x489309…
05-10 09:37:13	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	93	72¢	$67	0x6c3b44…
04-23 14:06:34	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	49	62¢	$30	0x32b3ba…
04-13 18:10:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	27	89¢	$24	0x577216…
04-12 14:42:05	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	93	65¢	$60	0xe270ab…
04-12 14:37:37	will tisza win at least 100 seats	Yes	SELL	29	82¢	$24	0x721b60…
04-12 14:37:19	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	47	91¢	$43	0xdf0eee…
04-12 14:36:35	will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	No	SELL	66	77¢	$51	0x56debf…
04-09 15:36:29	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	44	88¢	$39	0xbda886…
04-06 06:04:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x85563e…
04-06 06:03:23	will tisza win at least 100 seats	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xa4d834…
04-05 14:25:27	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x266fa5…
04-01 20:45:45	Claude 4.7 released by May 31?	No	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x7778eb…
04-01 09:28:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	45	80¢	$36	0x0a48d7…
03-29 19:50:26	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	44	77¢	$34	0x87b68d…
03-29 17:04:22	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0xcc5f8f…
03-28 20:54:28	ethereum above 2000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x4deba3…
03-27 14:17:11	will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	No	BUY	66	60¢	$40	0xf3fbbb…
03-27 11:56:03	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	SELL	41	93¢	$39	0x3eb9f5…
03-27 11:55:31	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	42	90¢	$38	0x538631…
03-26 15:58:45	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0x8cb601…
03-26 11:37:15	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x975d2d…
03-26 11:36:51	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	70	57¢	$40	0xe66dbe…
03-26 11:36:41	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	SELL	38	89¢	$34	0x09fc95…
03-26 11:36:31	will solana reach 100 in march 2026	No	SELL	53	86¢	$45	0x868c8e…
03-25 13:30:53	will solana reach 100 in march 2026	No	BUY	53	55¢	$29	0xb94722…
03-25 13:30:03	will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	No	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x359ac8…
03-25 13:10:57	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	No	SELL	74	55¢	$41	0xbd74a6…
03-24 08:33:43	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x8a2655…
03-23 15:56:51	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	41	72¢	$30	0x3522a8…
03-23 08:40:43	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x56333e…
03-23 08:38:43	will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0xf5cf30…
03-23 08:37:47	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	No	SELL	73	1¢	$1	0x4cddaa…
03-23 08:25:55	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x9d7a26…
03-23 08:23:19	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x37b0b0…
03-23 08:22:07	will global temperature increase by between 1pt25c and 1pt29c in march 2026	No	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xdf6c0a…
03-22 21:28:05	will bitcoin dip to 68k march 16 22	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x1fb789…
03-22 20:28:11	will bitcoin dip to 68k march 16 22	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x81d1fd…
03-22 20:26:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x906ec1…
03-22 07:35:51	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	SELL	120	67¢	$81	0x9ac87b…
03-21 23:52:21	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0x6d11c1…
03-21 17:05:51	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xbcab3d…
03-21 16:42:29	will luis fernando camacho win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 723	Yes	BUY	62	49¢	$30	0x72c81d…
03-21 16:38:51	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x1af546…
03-21 14:45:03	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x2f94f3…
03-21 14:38:23	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	No	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x096c52…
03-21 14:34:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0xa69512…
03-21 14:19:37	will israel strike 3 countries in march 2026	No	BUY	74	40¢	$30	0xbeb19c…