Realized P&L
-$39
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
5.4%
Resolved
10
Trades
77
lifetime
Volume
$392
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$106
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-08
last 06-11 18:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
67% 33% $-6
Crypto
27% 0% $-33
Politics
2%
Tech
2%
Sports
2% 0% $-0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +88 $72 78¢ $69 $-3 06-11 18:04
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -392 $-19 $-19 $-0 06-11 17:22
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No -8 $-8 96¢ $-8 +$0 06-11 17:24
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes -7 $-4 64¢ $-5 $-1 06-11 17:29
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No -9 $-2 28¢ $-2 $-0 06-11 17:26
OPEC dissolves in 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-11 17:24
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? Yes -15 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-11 17:28
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $-0 12¢ $-0 +$0 06-11 17:28
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? No -7 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-11 17:27