Strong-Effacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$239

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

185

Trades

575

lifetime

Volume

$69.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 05-22 13:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

96% 31% -$6

Politics

4% 25% -$233

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	9	$4.7K	2,521	2,521	+0	No	+$226	03-13 16:00
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	6	$4.5K	2,683	2,683	+0	No	+$345	03-31 08:29
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	4	$4.1K	2,108	2,108	+0	Yes	+$93	02-27 17:16
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	5	$4.0K	2,331	2,331	+0	Yes	+$240	02-20 16:45
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	4	$3.6K	2,822	2,822	+0	Yes	+$797	03-17 15:50
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	3	$2.8K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$148	03-13 15:23
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	3	$2.2K	1,295	1,295	+0	Yes	+$367	01-30 16:41
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	2	$2.2K	1,276	1,276	+0	No	+$195	02-06 13:25
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	8	$2.2K	1,547	1,546	+0	Yes	-$59	05-05 15:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2.2K	1,176	1,176	+0	No	+$171	04-27 11:32
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	4	$2.1K	2,422	192	+2,230	No	-$1,921	04-14 15:13
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$2.1K	1,150	1,150	+0	Yes	+$234	05-19 15:50
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	3	$1.8K	1,085	1,085	+0	No	+$384	03-17 15:30
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	14	$1.6K	1,983	980	+1,003	Yes	-$596	03-13 15:46
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$1.6K	892	892	+0	No	+$191	04-02 06:51
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	6	$1.4K	1,136	1,136	+0	Yes	+$409	03-03 14:12
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	3	$1.3K	790	775	+14	Yes	+$282	04-10 14:53
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	1	$1.2K	1,376	0	+1,376	Yes	+$188	02-06 13:25
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	4	$1.1K	1,455	0	+1,455	Yes	+$365	02-10 15:53
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	1	$1000	1,111	0	+1,111	Yes	+$111	04-03 15:30
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 320 339	11	$830	544	544	+0	No	+$170	03-10 13:12
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	24	$813	3,198	2,021	+1,177	No	+$17	05-08 13:24
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	7	$783	487	487	+0	Yes	+$123	04-14 02:10
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	4	$763	554	554	+0	No	+$103	03-10 14:51
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	4	$736	448	440	+7	No	+$143	04-10 14:53
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 260 279	4	$731	529	529	+0	No	+$71	02-20 07:37
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	8	$619	615	498	+117	Yes	+$143	03-10 15:39
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	3	$603	1,139	339	+800	No	-$297	03-25 07:08
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	4	$578	411	411	+0	No	+$70	03-13 13:41
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	8	$560	60,786	786	+60,000	No	-$120	04-28 12:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 13:06:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	860	35¢	$300	0x018bc9…
05-21 14:56:19	Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x5119d8…
05-21 11:53:07	Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0x84efab…
05-21 11:17:14	Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x499346…
05-21 04:38:02	Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x25e595…
05-21 04:36:43	Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0xc1b1ed…
05-21 04:35:02	Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x608d4f…
05-21 04:30:36	Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0xefeacf…
05-20 23:44:37	Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	431	5¢	$19	0x0ea285…
05-20 21:02:34	Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x8055a7…
05-20 11:30:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	10¢	$13	0xa63a50…
05-20 11:29:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	11¢	$11	0xcfe1d2…
05-20 11:25:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	350	10¢	$37	0x41745a…
05-20 11:24:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x842a53…
05-20 11:22:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x5def70…
05-20 11:18:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x773e47…
05-20 11:17:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x30677e…
05-20 11:17:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xa359cc…
05-20 11:17:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x8ab707…
05-20 11:17:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x188b04…
05-20 11:16:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xe10ce2…
05-20 11:16:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x0a8225…
05-20 11:16:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xf17a02…
05-20 11:16:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xa3e3bd…
05-20 11:13:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x51a3d8…
05-20 11:12:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc099b5…
05-20 07:32:21	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	Yes	BUY	137	5¢	$7	0x0f2738…
05-20 07:31:32	Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?	Yes	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x514a45…
05-20 06:17:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	288	2¢	$5	0x5f494b…
05-20 06:17:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x016cc9…
05-20 06:17:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xeecf2e…
05-20 01:58:20	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x0647f8…
05-20 01:58:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xfa98bd…
05-20 01:58:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x083f5e…
05-20 01:58:16	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xba037b…
05-20 01:58:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x194545…
05-20 01:58:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xcc63b0…
05-20 01:57:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x4bfd5e…
05-20 01:56:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	26¢	$18	0x138bf5…
05-19 15:50:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,150	100¢	$1,148	0xac9ca6…
05-19 08:27:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	583	80¢	$464	0x5c0b58…
05-19 08:27:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	567	79¢	$451	0x2e0567…
05-17 09:25:33	Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	507	15¢	$78	0xff318a…
05-17 09:25:33	Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	180	15¢	$28	0xe8a71d…
05-16 02:15:44	Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x31be7f…
05-15 12:59:01	Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$1	0x4b2ef9…
05-14 14:25:36	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	800	2¢	$12	0x3b96bc…
05-11 05:26:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0xf278d7…
05-10 09:41:20	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	12¢	$48	0xe9bf28…
05-09 18:38:36	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	269	26¢	$70	0x2c37be…
05-09 18:38:11	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0xd4a7d2…
05-09 11:17:18	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	520	30¢	$153	0xbcba93…
05-08 13:24:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xc46b19…
05-08 13:23:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	242	3¢	$7	0xe35df1…
05-08 13:11:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	488	5¢	$22	0x632943…
05-08 13:11:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xa7e965…
05-08 13:09:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xa12f4e…
05-08 09:22:09	Trump out as President by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,200	1¢	$10	0x00c393…
05-08 08:06:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xd189d9…
05-08 07:02:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xf4bde7…
05-07 23:24:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6892c2…
05-07 23:00:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0xdccc5b…
05-07 23:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x647c8e…
05-07 23:00:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x515071…
05-07 22:59:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	665	10¢	$66	0x631858…
05-07 14:26:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x0f4c79…
05-07 06:14:06	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	10¢	$14	0xda0bfe…
05-07 06:14:06	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	10¢	$16	0x6fdae8…
05-07 05:54:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	126	18¢	$23	0x040e3f…
05-07 05:30:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	18¢	$20	0x617081…
05-07 05:29:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	191	18¢	$34	0x60c42f…
05-07 05:28:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xd357be…
05-07 05:27:20	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x4fbf54…
05-07 05:26:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x849ec2…
05-07 04:20:45	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	146	22¢	$32	0x231551…
05-07 04:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x8c4fb0…
05-07 03:35:59	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x27d283…
05-07 03:32:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	22¢	$6	0x848db3…
05-07 03:25:18	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0x530023…
05-07 03:18:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	22¢	$5	0x511170…
05-07 03:14:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0x8a63f2…
05-07 03:14:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0xe3638c…
05-07 03:14:05	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0x4baef5…
05-07 03:11:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x66a7a0…
05-06 21:53:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	17¢	$9	0x9f5235…
05-06 21:53:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	17¢	$10	0x57c0a1…
05-06 21:53:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	17¢	$10	0x0a4e6b…
05-06 21:53:06	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	508	17¢	$86	0x866a6f…
05-06 21:52:38	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	17¢	$10	0x24994e…
05-06 21:52:08	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	17¢	$10	0x3753d7…
05-06 21:51:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	17¢	$10	0x8efe37…
05-06 21:44:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x652964…
05-06 21:43:09	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	17¢	$10	0x275f26…
05-06 21:32:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	380	17¢	$65	0xf2f997…
05-06 19:55:14	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	3¢	$11	0x4916bf…
05-06 19:53:03	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	8¢	$9	0x7b0b22…
05-06 19:48:33	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	284	8¢	$22	0xcc209a…
05-06 19:18:13	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0x2be2c2…
05-06 19:18:03	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,211	8¢	$100	0x7296eb…
05-06 17:33:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xa68787…